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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BLYTH SPARTANS AFC                         SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Miguel Angel Ramos     10    0   10     Gk Yassine Amara          15    2   17
Sw Marek Murray           10   -1    9     Sw Gilbert Tchato         13    2   15
Df Didier Courtial        12   -1   11     Df Eric Kompany           12    1   13
Df Marco Sosa             10   -1    9     Df Lars Koster            12    1   13
Df Duško Bondarenko        8   -2    6     Mf Quentin Meunier        10    2   12
Mf Romain Saidi           12   -1   11     Mf Leo Gaillot             6    2    8
Mf Gerald Gates            9   -2    7     Mf Oscar Sosa              2    2    4
Mf Per Alexandersson       8    0    8     Fw Marek Grabara          13    2   15
Mf Mateus Correa           7    2    9     Fw Percy Maguire          16    2   18
Fw Ludovic Lemaigre       12   -1   11     Fw Franco Almada          10    2   12
Fw Skander Ali             9   -1    8     Fw Yvan Thijs              6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  9 26 35 19        ROSTER TOTALS      17 15 26 24 53    
       0  2  1  0  1          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  2  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10 11 30 37 22         T O T A L S       20 15 26 24 53    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Miguel Angel Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.83 (no red card)

Sw Marek Murray: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 30.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 44.46 (no red card)

Df Didier Courtial: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 29.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 79.25 (no red card)

Df Marco Sosa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 69.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 29.79 (no red card)

Df Duško Bondarenko: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 8.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 67.23 (no second yellow)

Mf Romain Saidi: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 99.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 25.8 (no red card)

Mf Gerald Gates: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 9.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 17.9 (no second yellow)

Mf Per Alexandersson: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 14.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 5.74 (no red card)

Mf Mateus Correa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 99.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 90.71 (no red card)

Fw Ludovic Lemaigre: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 14.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 43.59 (no red card)

Fw Skander Ali: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 88.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 60.89 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 62.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 42.47 (no red card)

Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.25 (no red card)

Df Eric Kompany: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.76 (no red card)

Df Lars Koster: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.43 (no red card)

Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.08 (no red card)

Mf Leo Gaillot: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.36 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Sosa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.37 (no red card)

Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.71 (no red card)

Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.01 (no red card)

Fw Franco Almada: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.1 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.81 (no second yellow)

Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.31 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Blyth Spartans AFC Team Hardness = 4
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Miguel Angel Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 48.82 (no injury) 
Sw Marek Murray: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 1.03 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Marek Murray is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Didier Courtial: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 84.89 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sosa: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 21.85 (no injury) 
Df Duško Bondarenko: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 98.28 (no injury) 
Mf Romain Saidi: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 58.73 (no injury) 
Mf Gerald Gates: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 42.38 (no injury) 
Mf Per Alexandersson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 45.0 (no injury) 
Mf Mateus Correa: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 19.22 (no injury) 
Fw Ludovic Lemaigre: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 31.79 (no injury) 
Fw Skander Ali: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 4.81 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Blyth Spartans AFC Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 97.89 (no injury) 
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 90.71 (no injury) 
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 70.28 (no injury) 
Df Lars Koster: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 64.91 (no injury) 
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 13.62 (no injury) 
Mf Leo Gaillot: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 26.33 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Sosa: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 45.77 (no injury) 
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 65.1 (no injury) 
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 23.04 (no injury) 
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 42.64 (no injury) 
Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 71.86 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Didier Courtial SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)

*******  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Percy Maguire SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Miguel Angel Ramos SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Blyth Spartans AFC       10  11  30  37  22
  Southend United          20  15  26  24  53

Blyth Spartans AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 26)
Blyth Spartans AFC Mf Attacks = 7 ((37 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Blyth Spartans AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Blyth Spartans AFC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Mateus Correa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Romain Saidi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Romain Saidi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Per Alexandersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Romain Saidi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Per Alexandersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Romain Saidi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          20  15  26  24  53
  Blyth Spartans AFC       10  11  30  37  22

Southend United Fw Attacks = 23 (53 - 30); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 2 ((26 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Df Lars Koster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 81.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Eric Kompany
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 1.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Yvan Thijs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 49.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 99.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 59.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 9.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 36.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 68.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 72.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BLYTH SPARTANS AFC 0  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 4
 
Match Notes
Southend at home in the Cup. Colin Scott's made a long trip down from Lesmahagow — hope he enjoys the view from the losing end.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/17 - 12:08 AM  
Calm doon Ray. 0-0 and then a replay. Easy.
Colin (Southend United) 05/21 - 10:58 AM  
Colin, calm doon yourself pal. Spartans at home in the Cup — we don't do 0-0. We do jobs.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/22 - 6:30 PM  
Job on Ray
Colin (Southend United) 05/23 - 6:26 PM  
Gutted. Absolutely gutted. Colin, fair play — but we'll be back.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/23 - 6:30 PM  
Colin tried to get Ray into a replay situation but his efforts did not work... 😎
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/23 - 8:41 PM  
Battered at home. 0-4. No excuses. Colin from Lesmahagow came down and did a job on us — fair play. We dust off and come again.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/25 - 6:30 PM  
 
 
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