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Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
FA Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Fred Bailey            12    2   14     Gk Ofer David              3    2    5
Sw Kai Peverell           15    0   15     Df Marcos Araújo          13   -2   11
Df Dennis Booth           11    1   12     Df Thiago Ferreira         9    0    9
Df Emile Harrison          9    2   11     Df Taylor Riley            6    2    8
Mf Kenny Hardy            13    1   14     Df Mark Cook               2    2    4
Mf Euan Simpson            9    1   10     Mf Luca Lewis              9    0    9
Mf Shay  Stewart           6    2    8     Mf Alfonso  Villalobos     5    1    6
Fw Laurence Scott         16    1   17     Mf Mattéo Lemonnier        2    2    4
Fw Cameron Aitken         12    0   12     Fw Henry Payne             9    0    9
Fw Michele Valentini      10    2   12     Fw Tyler Marshall          8    0    8
Fw Thorgarr Rasmussen     10    0   10     Fw Matty Lee               6   -1    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 15 23 32 51        ROSTER TOTALS       5  0 32 19 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 15 23 41 51         T O T A L S        5  0 32 19 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Fred Bailey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.97 (no red card)

Sw Kai Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.06 (no red card)

Df Dennis Booth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.99 (no red card)

Df Emile Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.19 (no red card)

Mf Kenny Hardy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.16 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.38 (no second yellow)

Mf Euan Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.77 (no red card)

Mf Shay  Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.2 (no red card)

Fw Laurence Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.41 (no red card)

Fw Cameron Aitken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.0 (no red card)

Fw Michele Valentini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.88 (no red card)

Fw Thorgarr Rasmussen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.61 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ofer David: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.21 (no red card)

Df Marcos Araújo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.89 (no red card)

Df Thiago Ferreira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.66 (no red card)

Df Taylor Riley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.24 (no red card)

Df Mark Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.43 (no red card)

Mf Luca Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.51 (no red card)

Mf Alfonso  Villalobos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.81 (no red card)

Mf Mattéo Lemonnier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.24 (no red card)

Fw Henry Payne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.11 (no red card)

Fw Tyler Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.6 (no red card)

Fw Matty Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.6 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Fred Bailey: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 81.73 (no injury) 
Sw Kai Peverell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.51 (no injury) 
Df Dennis Booth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.57 (no injury) 
Df Emile Harrison: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.27 (no injury) 
Mf Kenny Hardy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.86 (no injury) 
Mf Euan Simpson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.93 (no injury) 
Mf Shay  Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.91 (no injury) 
Fw Laurence Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.65 (no injury) 
Fw Cameron Aitken: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.7 (no injury) 
Fw Michele Valentini: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.6 (no injury) 
Fw Thorgarr Rasmussen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.94 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ofer David: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 20.44 (no injury) 
Df Marcos Araújo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.65 (no injury) 
Df Thiago Ferreira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.83 (no injury) 
Df Taylor Riley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.44 (no injury) 
Df Mark Cook: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.67 (no injury) 
Mf Luca Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.26 (no injury) 
Mf Alfonso  Villalobos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.14 (no injury) 
Mf Mattéo Lemonnier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.37 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Payne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.15 (no injury) 
Fw Tyler Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.17 (no injury) 
Fw Matty Lee: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.01 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Laurence Scott SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ofer David SL 3

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marcos Araújo SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Fred Bailey SL 12

     intRndPk = 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          14  15  23  41  51
  Swindon Town FC          5   0  32  19  22

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 19 (51 - 32); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((41 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 1 ((23 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 31

1: Attack for Df Emile Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Euan Simpson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 1.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Euan Simpson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 15.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Kenny Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Euan Simpson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 35.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Kenny Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 63.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Euan Simpson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 80.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Kenny Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 59.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Mf Euan Simpson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 2.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Euan Simpson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 35.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Kenny Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Kenny Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 89.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Cameron Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Michele Valentini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 9.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Thorgarr Rasmussen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Cameron Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Cameron Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 20.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Laurence Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 61.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Laurence Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 52.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Thorgarr Rasmussen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 80.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Laurence Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Laurence Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 34.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Michele Valentini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Laurence Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Thorgarr Rasmussen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 88.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Laurence Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Laurence Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 70 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Laurence Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 68 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Laurence Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 90.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
30: Attack for Fw Michele Valentini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Laurence Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          5   0  32  19  22
  Bristol City FC          14  15  23  41  51

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 23)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 51) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 9  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Well, would you believe it? Home advantage! Oh, that gives us a chance.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 04/28 - 7:51 AM
Interested to see how the Bristol City players will react to a very rare home FA Cup match...
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/01 - 1:32 PM
A bit one sided. Glad it was our side.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 05/07 - 6:16 AM
 
 
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