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Thursday, June 11th, 2026 - 04:42:49 PM (gmt)
 
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Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
FA Shield Round 1
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE                       WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Amir Hamdi             13    0   13     Gk Mads Frost             15    2   17
Sw Jun-Seo Min            11    0   11     Sw Nico Lehmann           10    2   12
Df Sebastien Barbet       13    0   13     Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk       17    2   19
Df Ike Isah               12    0   12     Df Shoichi Morita         12    1   13
Df Papis Sall              9    1   10     Df José Mendes             6    2    8
Mf Lyn Rogers             13   -2   11     Mf Dmitry Soroka          14    1   15
Mf Arona Baldé            12    0   12     Mf Octavio Barbosa         6    2    8
Fw Luiz Fabinho           15    0   15     Fw Djonno De boer         13    2   15
Fw Benvenuto Di martino   12    0   12     Fw Vitalik Semenyuk       10    2   12
Fw Kwame Karikari         12    0   12     Fw Takao Soma              9    1   10
Fw Haris Streller          8    0    8     Fw Trefor Lloyd            6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 11 35 23 47        ROSTER TOTALS      17 12 40 23 45    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 11 35 23 56         T O T A L S       20 12 40 23 45    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Amir Hamdi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.83 (no red card)

Sw Jun-Seo Min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.4 (no red card)

Df Sebastien Barbet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.52 (no red card)

Df Ike Isah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.03 (no red card)

Df Papis Sall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.93 (no red card)

Mf Lyn Rogers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.37 (no red card)

Mf Arona Baldé: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.85 (no red card)

Fw Luiz Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.99 (no red card)

Fw Benvenuto Di martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.59 (no red card)

Fw Kwame Karikari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.98 (no red card)

Fw Haris Streller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.82 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.85 (no red card)

Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.38 (no red card)

Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.81 (no red card)

Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.1 (no red card)

Df José Mendes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.4 (no red card)

Mf Dmitry Soroka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.64 (no red card)

Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.58 (no red card)

Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.65 (no red card)

Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.14 (no red card)

Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.06 (no red card)

Fw Trefor Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.21 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Amir Hamdi: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 1.28 (no injury) 
Sw Jun-Seo Min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.03 (no injury) 
Df Sebastien Barbet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.98 (no injury) 
Df Ike Isah: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.23 (no injury) 
Df Papis Sall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.4 (no injury) 
Mf Lyn Rogers: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.62 (no injury) 
Mf Arona Baldé: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.9 (no injury) 
Fw Luiz Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.7 (no injury) 
Fw Benvenuto Di martino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.08 (no injury) 
Fw Kwame Karikari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.95 (no injury) 
Fw Haris Streller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.93 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 47.47 (no injury) 
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.04 (no injury) 
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.68 (no injury) 
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.56 (no injury) 
Df José Mendes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.32 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      José Mendes is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      José Mendes new match skill level =  3
      José Mendes new match total level =  5
Mf Dmitry Soroka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.38 (no injury) 
Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.12 (no injury) 
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.43 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Djonno De boer is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.06 (no injury) 
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.73 (no injury) 
Fw Trefor Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.35 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luiz Fabinho SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 15

     intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mykhailo Pavlyuk SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Amir Hamdi SL 13

     intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     13  11  35  23  56
  Watford                  20  12  37  23  45

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 19 (56 - 37); result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Haris Streller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Haris Streller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 98.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Benvenuto Di martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 88.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Benvenuto Di martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Benvenuto Di martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Benvenuto Di martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 85.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Haris Streller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Benvenuto Di martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 76.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Luiz Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Luiz Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Luiz Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 87.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Luiz Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Luiz Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  20  12  37  23  45
  Dagenham & Redbridge     13  11  35  23  56

Watford Fw Attacks = 10 (45 - 35); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 99.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 37.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 50.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 22.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 16.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 81.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 4  -  WATFORD 2
 
Match Notes
JT rocking up to Dagenham with schoolboys up front and a tactical philosophy best described as a coin toss. First ever league winners, apparently — though the trajectory since suggests that coin has been landing the wrong way for some time.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/18 - 6:30 PM  
Four two. JT deploying his trademark tactical flexibility — somewhere between all out attack and all out defence, ending predictably in neither. Alex will have seen better days from the sofa.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/23 - 6:30 PM  
Feels a bit unlucky, considering the relative strengths of the keepers.
James (Watford) 05/23 - 7:49 PM  
 
 
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