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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Michel Vargas          11    1   12     Gk Finlay Palmer          14    1   15
Df Tony Ford              12    0   12     Sw Bryn Gough              6    2    8
Df Lucas Stuhr            11    0   11     Df John MacDonald         13    0   13
Df Gharib Alami            9    2   11     Df Bassirou Mbaye         12    0   12
Df Enrique Masis           6    2    8     Df Hugo Rabiot             6    2    8
Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene     13    0   13     Mf Dominic Robinson       12    0   12
Mf Jacob King             13    2   15     Mf Oscar Bremer            3    2    5
Mf Khalid Idrissi         11    0   11     Fw Charles Sweeney        13    0   13
Fw Maximillian Hoffmann   14    0   14     Fw Luis Calvo             16    0   16
Fw Michaël Van der heijden11    1   12     Fw Hayden Kerr             9    2   11
Fw Ollie Hart             14    2   16     Fw Si-Won Min-woo          6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 42 39 42        ROSTER TOTALS      15  8 33 17 48    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  0 42 39 51         T O T A L S       15  8 33 17 48    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Michel Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.67 (no red card)

Df Tony Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.25 (no red card)

Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.16 (no red card)

Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.88 (no red card)

Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.37 (no red card)

Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.92 (no red card)

Mf Jacob King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.25 (no red card)

Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.1 (no red card)

Fw Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.03 (no red card)

Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.61 (no red card)

Fw Ollie Hart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.26 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.14 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.23 (no red card)

Df John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.93 (no red card)

Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.05 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.15 (no second yellow)

Df Hugo Rabiot: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.17 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.04 (no second yellow)

Mf Dominic Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.18 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.72 (no red card)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.84 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.82 (no second yellow)

Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.18 (no red card)

Fw Hayden Kerr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.86 (no red card)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.87 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Michel Vargas: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 0.86 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Michel Vargas is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Michel Vargas new match skill level =  6
      Michel Vargas new match total level =  7
Df Tony Ford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.15 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.32 (no injury) 
Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.57 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.01 (no injury) 
Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.0 (no injury) 
Mf Jacob King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.58 (no injury) 
Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.55 (no injury) 
Fw Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.47 (no injury) 
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.05 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Michaël Van der heijden is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Michaël Van der heijden new match skill level =  6
      Michaël Van der heijden new match total level =  7
Fw Ollie Hart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.28 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 7.8 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.88 (no injury) 
Df John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.44 (no injury) 
Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.28 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Rabiot: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.57 (no injury) 
Mf Dominic Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.29 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.59 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.41 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.69 (no injury) 
Fw Hayden Kerr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.81 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.85 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Maximillian Hoffmann SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 14

     intRndPk = 39
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis Calvo SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Michel Vargas SL 6

     intRndPk = 23
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         7   0  42  39  46
  Plymouth Argyle FC       15   8  33  17  48

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 13 (46 - 33); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 11 ((39 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 48) / 5;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 97.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 81.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 86.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Jacob King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Jacob King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 39.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Jacob King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 30.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 91.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 40.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 4.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 37.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 78.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       15   8  33  17  48
  Swansea City AFC         7   0  42  39  46

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 6 (48 - 42); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 12.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 71.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 29.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 9.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 5  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1
 
Match Notes
The goal each session will be 4 points. Hopefully we can make that happen here.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 02/10 - 4:48 PM
We put out an SL 15 GK and an SL 8 SW and give up 5 goals. We face an SL 12 GK and NO SW and score 1 goal. OLMEC!!!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 02/11 - 4:41 PM
 
 
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