(H)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Watford
James Tucker
FA Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SOUTHEND UNITED WATFORD
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Yassine Amara 14 2 16 Gk Riccardo Di matteo 15 2 17
Sw Gilbert Tchato 7 2 9 Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 14 1 15
Df Vincent Hamidou 15 2 17 Df Walter McGree 12 0 12
Df Alain Teulet 10 2 12 Df Meliton Martinez 8 2 10
Mf Ludwig Troell 11 2 13 Df Felipe Pérez 8 2 10
Mf Cyril Chadli 7 2 9 Df Shoichi Morita 7 2 9
Mf Janek Pawlak 6 2 8 Mf Tin Perisic 15 1 16
Fw Cássio Lemos 19 2 21 Mf Federico Machado 9 2 11
Fw Percy Maguire 13 2 15 Fw Valerio Paredes 16 1 17
Fw Ignacio Pékerman 11 2 13 Fw Takao Soma 14 2 16
Fw Marek Grabara 7 2 9 Fw Claudio Prado 10 2 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
16 9 29 30 58 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 56 27 45
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 1 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
19 9 29 30 67 T O T A L S 20 0 57 27 45
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 26.56 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 78.79 (no red card)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.3 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.09 (no second yellow)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.51 (no red card)
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.85 (no red card)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.34 (no red card)
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.45 (no red card)
Mf Janek Pawlak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.23 (no red card)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.6 (no red card)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.35 (no red card)
Fw Ignacio Pékerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.38 (no red card)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.9 (no red card)
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.15 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.91 (no red card)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.17 (no red card)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.85 (no red card)
Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.42 (no red card)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.59 (no red card)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.97 (no red card)
Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.1 (no red card)
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.52 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.66 (no red card)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.03 (no red card)
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.75 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 82.98 (no injury)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 10.6 (no injury)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 90.54 (no injury)
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 38.74 (no injury)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 48.53 (no injury)
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.49 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Cyril Chadli is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Cyril Chadli new match skill level = 4
Cyril Chadli new match total level = 6
Mf Janek Pawlak: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 76.71 (no injury)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 62.47 (no injury)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.78 (no injury)
Fw Ignacio Pékerman: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 2.9 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Ignacio Pékerman is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 20.15 (no injury)
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 90.01 (no injury)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 77.43 (no injury)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 59.56 (no injury)
Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 72.49 (no injury)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 83.19 (no injury)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.57 (no injury)
Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.74 (no injury)
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 19.82 (no injury)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 72.6 (no injury)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 15.34 (no injury)
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 1.04 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Claudio Prado is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 19
- Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Valerio Paredes SL 16
- Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 19 9 29 27 67
Watford 20 0 57 27 45
Watford is using Offside Trap!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 5 (67 - 57) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 27) / 2; rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 45) / 3; rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 29.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 57.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 93.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 20 0 57 27 45
Southend United 19 9 29 27 67
Watford Fw Attacks = 16 (45 - 29); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 27) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((57 - 67) / 5; rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 16
1: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 13.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 18.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SOUTHEND UNITED 1 - WATFORD 0
Match Notes
A Cup game at home - surely not
Colin (Southend United) 06/16 - 6:39 AM
Two injuries and only five attacks. Riding my luck - a lot.
Colin (Southend United) 06/21 - 6:21 PM
Disappointing.
James (Watford) 06/21 - 7:13 PM