(H)
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
FA Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CARLISLE UNITED Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Finlay Palmer 15 2 17 Gk Dara Hays 13 2 15 Sw Bryn Gough 7 2 9 Sw Cristhian Dybala 12 2 14 Df Leonardo Marino 13 0 13 Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 13 1 14 Df John MacDonald 13 0 13 Df Owen Sansom 12 1 13 Df Bassirou Mbaye 12 2 14 Df Toshihiro Nakamura 7 2 9 Mf Daniel Kelly 13 0 13 Mf Duško Kolomyets 13 1 14 Mf Jorge Perez 7 0 7 Mf Jacek Frankowski 7 2 9 Fw Nenad Kovtun 13 2 15 Fw Noah Zimmermann 15 1 16 Fw Syam Arfaoui 13 2 15 Fw Salem Bejaoui 12 1 13 Fw Luis Calvo 16 0 16 Fw Ellis Dury 11 0 11 Fw Hayden Kerr 9 2 11 Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 7 2 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 9 40 20 57 ROSTER TOTALS 15 14 36 23 49 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 9 40 22 64 T O T A L S 15 14 36 26 49 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.02 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.3 (no red card) Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.72 (no red card) Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.07 (no red card) Df John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.59 (no red card) Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.86 (no red card) Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.77 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.06 (no second yellow) Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.6 (no red card) Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.87 (no red card) Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.54 (no red card) Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.0 (no red card) Fw Hayden Kerr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.1 (no red card) ******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.83 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.18 (no red card) Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.66 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.47 (no second yellow) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.06 (no red card) Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.35 (no red card) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.61 (no red card) Mf Duško Kolomyets: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.3 (no red card) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.22 (no red card) Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.49 (no red card) Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.36 (no red card) Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.25 (no red card) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.39 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 58.51 (no injury) Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.43 (no injury) Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.65 (no injury) Df John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.55 (no injury) Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.46 (no injury) Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.42 (no injury) Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.5 (no injury) Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.25 (no injury) Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.24 (no injury) Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.33 (no injury) Fw Hayden Kerr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.48 (no injury) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 42.74 (no injury) Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.95 (no injury) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.98 (no injury) Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.13 (no injury) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.21 (no injury) Mf Duško Kolomyets: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.81 (no injury) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.75 (no injury) Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.08 (no injury) Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.57 (no injury) Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.84 (no injury) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.86 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Luis Calvo SL 16 - Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 13 intRndPk = 13 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Noah Zimmermann SL 15 - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 15 intRndPk = 8 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Plymouth Argyle FC 17 9 40 22 64 Carlisle United 15 14 36 26 49 Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 28 (64 - 36); result rounded up Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 26) / 2; rounded up) Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 49) / 3; rounded up) Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 28 1: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 62.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 22.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 46.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 80.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Hayden Kerr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 17.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Hayden Kerr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 20.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 0.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Hayden Kerr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 72.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 17.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Hayden Kerr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 93.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 22: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 34.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 26: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 46.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 27: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 28: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 82.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) ******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlisle United 15 14 36 26 49 Plymouth Argyle FC 17 9 40 22 64 Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 9 (49 - 40); result rounded up Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 2 ((26 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 64) / 3; rounded up) Carlisle United Total Attacks = 11 1: Attack for Mf Jacek Frankowski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 47.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Jacek Frankowski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 74.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 3 - CARLISLE UNITED 0
Match Notes
Good luck Dave. I'm expecting a highly competitive match here. Carlisle is not a team to be taken lightly.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 02/23 - 8:14 PM
And to you, Rob. Plymouth do tend to get the better of us so we do need to be at our best (or luckiest?).
Dave (Carlisle United) 02/24 - 10:46 AM
And the better of us they get again. Good luck for the rest of the competition, Ron.
Dave (Carlisle United) 02/25 - 12:16 AM
Good match Dave. We'll do our best to win the whole thing!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/02 - 1:30 AM