(H)
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
AP Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
DORCHESTER TOWN CARLISLE UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Kris Vermant 7 2 9 Gk Gregory Reyna 14 2 16
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han 11 2 13 Sw Ramires Jesus 13 2 15
Df Hugo Quintero 13 2 15 Df Jacob Beynon 13 2 15
Df Tobias Kimmich 12 2 14 Df Eirwyn Davey 12 2 14
Df Vieira Mendes 10 2 12 Df Marco Sa 7 2 9
Df Sim Young-gwon 7 2 9 Mf Aliyu Edet 12 2 14
Mf Bastiaan de Jong 13 2 15 Mf Marco D'amato 7 2 9
Mf Harold Thorne 7 2 9 Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 13 2 15
Mf Dragan Shvets 7 2 9 Fw Javier Gimenez 14 2 16
Fw Aaron Jones 15 2 17 Fw Ki Seon-min 12 1 13
Fw Boris Rudenko 13 2 15 Fw Jordan Pérez 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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9 13 50 33 32 ROSTER TOTALS 16 15 38 23 53
2 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 4 5 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 5
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
11 13 50 37 37 T O T A L S 16 15 38 23 58
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 2
Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 63.02 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 89.04 (no red card)
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 74.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.13 (no red card)
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 35.18 (no red card)
Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.27 (no red card)
Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.14 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.52 (no second yellow)
Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 0.12 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Sim Young-gwon new match skill level = 4
Sim Young-gwon new match total level = 6
Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 67.63 (no red card)
Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 13.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 79.31 (no red card)
Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 88.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 81.87 (no red card)
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 30.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.34 (no red card)
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.28 (no red card)
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.81 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.41 (no red card)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.44 (no red card)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.06 (no red card)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.85 (no red card)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.74 (no red card)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.29 (no red card)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.4 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.08 (no red card)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.4 (no red card)
Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.17 (no red card)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.9 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 7.3 (no injury)
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 62.29 (no injury)
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 34.28 (no injury)
Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 31.56 (no injury)
Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 39.32 (no injury)
Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 79.86 (no injury)
Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 73.15 (no injury)
Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 33.93 (no injury)
Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 0.26 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 6
Dragan Shvets is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Dragan Shvets new match skill level = 4
Dragan Shvets new match total level = 6
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 34.92 (no injury)
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 64.19 (no injury)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 34.37 (no injury)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.27 (no injury)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.24 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.85 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.13 (no injury)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.37 (no injury)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 85.41 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.68 (no injury)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.92 (no injury)
Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.18 (no injury)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.98 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Aaron Jones SL 15
- Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 14
intRndPk = 97
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
******* DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Javier Gimenez SL 14
- Defending Gk: Kris Vermant SL 7
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Dorchester Town 11 13 47 34 37
Carlisle United 16 15 38 23 58
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (37 - 38)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 6 ((34 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 58) / 3; rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Harold Thorne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 16 15 38 23 58
Dorchester Town 11 13 47 34 37
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 11 (58 - 47); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 34) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 1 ((38 - 37) / 3); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Df Marco Sa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 89.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 46.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 33.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 64.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
DORCHESTER TOWN 0 - CARLISLE UNITED 1
Match Notes
The stats are pretty close and we have home advantage. Good luck Dave.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/18 - 9:30 PM
Good luck to you too, Andy - should be an interesting match.
Dave (Carlisle United) 06/20 - 11:30 PM
Our first AP Cup Semi-final since Season 32 beckons. I think I need the smelling salts....
Dave (Carlisle United) 06/21 - 11:46 PM
Disappointed but we didn’t deserve any better. Good luck in the semifinals Dave.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/28 - 1:37 PM