(H)
Port Vale FC
John Holden
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
AP Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PORT VALE FC NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Hyun Tae-yong 16 1 17 Gk Kurt Östman 16 2 18
Sw Fokke Taylor 14 1 15 Sw Édouard Gning 12 -1 11
Df Boško Shpak 13 0 13 Df Martin Persson 11 2 13
Df Sion Bowen 12 0 12 Df Mbaye Dieng 7 2 9
Df Carsten Kragelund 11 2 13 Df Nicomedes Martino 3 2 5
Mf Hélder Carvalho 13 0 13 Df Jean Courtial 3 1 4
Mf Albert Ohrel 11 1 12 Mf Bruno Freda 7 2 9
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi 14 1 15 Mf Abel Peeters 7 2 9
Fw Andres Gutierrez 16 0 16 Mf Taha Tagnaouti 3 2 5
Fw Peter Goossens 12 1 13 Fw Keiron Chamberlain 7 2 9
Fw Adam Vasilev 7 2 9 Fw Ederson Fabinho 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
17 15 38 25 53 ROSTER TOTALS 18 11 31 23 14
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 1 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
=======================================================================
20 16 38 25 62 T O T A L S 18 14 35 23 14
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 93.13 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 64.84 (no red card)
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.71 (no red card)
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.5 (no red card)
Df Sion Bowen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.63 (no red card)
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.45 (no red card)
Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.78 (no red card)
Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.6 (no red card)
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.8 (no red card)
Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.15 (no red card)
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.12 (no red card)
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.47 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.31 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.5 (no red card)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.51 (no red card)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.86 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.54 (no red card)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.77 (no red card)
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.8 (no red card)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.23 (no red card)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.19 (no red card)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.68 (no red card)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.66 (no red card)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.77 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 31.41 (no injury)
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.83 (no injury)
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.84 (no injury)
Df Sion Bowen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.84 (no injury)
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.86 (no injury)
Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.11 (no injury)
Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.37 (no injury)
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.29 (no injury)
Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.53 (no injury)
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.45 (no injury)
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.42 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 86.54 (no injury)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.37 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.84 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.35 (no injury)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.31 (no injury)
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.95 (no injury)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.34 (no injury)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.82 (no injury)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.74 (no injury)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.24 (no injury)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.05 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Andres Gutierrez SL 16
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16
intRndPk = 69
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Martin Persson SL 11
- Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Port Vale FC 20 16 38 25 62
Nottingham Forest 18 14 35 23 14
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 27 (62 - 35); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 8 ((38 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 36
1: Attack for Df Boško Shpak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Sion Bowen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Carsten Kragelund
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Df Carsten Kragelund
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Boško Shpak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Sion Bowen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 61.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Df Carsten Kragelund
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Df Sion Bowen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 28.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 23.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 10.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 21.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 1.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
27: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
32: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
33: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 38.84 (Shot Saved by Gk)
34: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 16.98 (Shot Saved by Gk)
35: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
36: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 18 14 35 23 14
Port Vale FC 20 16 38 25 62
Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 38)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 25) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 62) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PORT VALE FC 2 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
Match Notes
A difficult quarterfinal, at least we are at home.
John (Port Vale FC) 01/25 - 8:31 PM
My arch-nemesis across 3 Olmec games.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 01/25 - 10:56 PM
Final of a 4-match stretch for Mr. Turner. Can he beat his arch-nemesis John Holden?
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/01 - 3:59 PM
Not unhappy with this at all
John (Port Vale FC) 02/01 - 11:26 PM