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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Yassine Amara           4    2    6     Gk Ryan Vukovic            4    2    6
Sw Jordan Bukari           7    2    9     Sw Bryn Gough             14    2   16
Df Manuel Ortiz           12    2   14     Df Nestor Omlin           13    2   15
Df Mauricio López          7    2    9     Df Mohamadou Sy            8    2   10
Df Alain Teulet            4    2    6     Df Robert Bak              3    2    5
Mf Randall Navarrete      15    2   17     Mf Oscar Bremer            8    2   10
Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri      6    2    8     Mf Faustino Verón          4    2    6
Mf Ludwig Troell           4    2    6     Mf Antoine Guendouzi       3    2    5
Fw Cássio Lemos           14    2   16     Fw Charles Sweeney        16    1   17
Fw Jamie Behich            7    2    9     Fw Evaristo Masis          8    2   10
Fw Pedro Viera             4    2    6     Fw Farzan Vestergaard      4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       6  9 29 31 31        ROSTER TOTALS       6 16 30 21 33    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  9 29 31 31         T O T A L S        6 16 30 21 33    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 85.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 21.58 (no red card)

Sw Jordan Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.11 (no red card)

Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.66 (no red card)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.88 (no red card)

Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.4 (no red card)

Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.72 (no red card)

Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.56 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.9 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.99 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.69 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.73 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.61 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.45 (no red card)

Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.89 (no red card)

Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.94 (no red card)

Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.41 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.23 (no second yellow)

Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.26 (no red card)

Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.91 (no red card)

Mf Antoine Guendouzi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.95 (no red card)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.1 (no red card)

Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.34 (no red card)

Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.33 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 53.67 (no injury) 
Sw Jordan Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.8 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.93 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.4 (no injury) 
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.78 (no injury) 
Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.92 (no injury) 
Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.49 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.31 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.39 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.26 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.0 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 93.59 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.62 (no injury) 
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.27 (no injury) 
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.92 (no injury) 
Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.64 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.41 (no injury) 
Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.05 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Faustino Verón is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Faustino Verón new match skill level =  2
      Faustino Verón new match total level =  4
Mf Antoine Guendouzi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.67 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.23 (no injury) 
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.73 (no injury) 
Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.65 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Randall Navarrete SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Vukovic SL 4

     intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Charles Sweeney SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 4

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          9   9  29  31  31
  Plymouth Argyle FC       6  16  30  19  33

Southend United Fw Attacks = 1 (31 - 30); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 6 ((31 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 33) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Randall Navarrete
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Randall Navarrete
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 42.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Randall Navarrete
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Randall Navarrete
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       6  16  30  19  33
  Southend United          9   9  29  31  31

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 4 (33 - 29); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 31) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 44.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 25.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
SOUTHEND UNITED 0  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - Southend United Gk (Home): Yassine Amara SL 4

   - Plymouth Argyle FC Gk (Away): Ryan Vukovic SL 4

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Randall Navarrete (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 46 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 1  :  PLY - 0)

 Round 1: Charles Sweeney (PLY) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 47 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 1  :  PLY - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Cássio Lemos (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 35 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 2  :  PLY - 1)

 Round 2: Bryn Gough (PLY) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 11 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 2  :  PLY - 2)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Manuel Ortiz (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 63 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 3  :  PLY - 2)

 Round 3: Nestor Omlin (PLY) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 42 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 3  :  PLY - 3)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Jordan Bukari (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 4  :  PLY - 3)

 Round 4: Mohamadou Sy (PLY) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 94 (PK BLOCKED!!) (SU - 4  :  PLY - 3)

************   ROUND 5    ************
 Round 5: Mauricio López (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 94 (PK BLOCKED!!) (SU - 4  :  PLY - 3)

 Round 5: Oscar Bremer (PLY) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 48 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 4  :  PLY - 4)

************   ROUND 6    ************
 Round 6: Jamie Behich (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 96 (PK BLOCKED!!) (SU - 4  :  PLY - 4)

 Round 6: Evaristo Masis (PLY) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 43 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 4  :  PLY - 5)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 0  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
SOUTHEND UNITED 4  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 5
 
Match Notes
We haven't lost against Southend in the Youth Cup. Crossing our fingers that that streak continues!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/22 - 2:45 AM
VERY fortunate to have escaped the first round.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/29 - 2:03 AM
 
 
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