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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Bako Klostermann        8    2   10     Gk Alex Lauritsen          8    2   10
Sw Gilbert Tchato         16    2   18     Sw Krzysztof Brozek        4    2    6
Df William Kwadwo          8    2   10     Df Bozidar Šimic          14    2   16
Df Donal Reid              4    2    6     Df Abdoul N'day            8    2   10
Mf Leo Gaillot             8    2   10     Df Stewart Stones          4    2    6
Mf Seol Sun                7    2    9     Mf Nazariy Gusak          14    2   16
Mf Oscar Sosa              3    2    5     Mf Marcos Gomez            8    2   10
Fw Marek Grabara          14    2   16     Mf Jordan Fassnacht        4    2    6
Fw Percy Maguire          16    2   18     Fw Luís Oliveira          14    2   16
Fw Yvan Thijs              8    2   10     Fw Alexis Havet            8    2   10
Fw Jacob White             4    2    6     Fw Messaoud Diop           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 18 16 24 50        ROSTER TOTALS      10  6 32 32 32    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  1  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  2  2  2    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 18 17 24 50         T O T A L S       12  9 34 34 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Bako Klostermann: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 56.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 45.11 (no red card)

Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.22 (no red card)

Df William Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.57 (no red card)

Df Donal Reid: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.4 (no red card)

Mf Leo Gaillot: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.87 (no red card)

Mf Seol Sun: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.53 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Sosa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.96 (no red card)

Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.46 (no red card)

Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.19 (no red card)

Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.49 (no red card)

Fw Jacob White: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.98 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alex Lauritsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.48 (no red card)

Sw Krzysztof Brozek: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 72.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 95.13 (no red card)

Df Bozidar Šimic: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 64.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 11.48 (no red card)

Df Abdoul N'day: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 62.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 26.14 (no red card)

Df Stewart Stones: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 19.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 65.16 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 33.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 58.67 (no red card)

Mf Marcos Gomez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 8.87 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 60.65 (no second yellow)

Mf Jordan Fassnacht: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 32.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 28.75 (no red card)

Fw Luís Oliveira: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 74.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 53.42 (no red card)

Fw Alexis Havet: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 69.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 95.74 (no red card)

Fw Messaoud Diop: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 92.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 98.57 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Bako Klostermann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.23 (no injury) 
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 54.86 (no injury) 
Df William Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 72.1 (no injury) 
Df Donal Reid: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 91.06 (no injury) 
Mf Leo Gaillot: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 46.02 (no injury) 
Mf Seol Sun: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 27.44 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Sosa: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 76.96 (no injury) 
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 49.69 (no injury) 
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 98.6 (no injury) 
Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 29.18 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob White: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 15.39 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Alex Lauritsen: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 21.33 (no injury) 
Sw Krzysztof Brozek: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.64 (no injury) 
Df Bozidar Šimic: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.5 (no injury) 
Df Abdoul N'day: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 49.66 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Stones: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.02 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 25.33 (no injury) 
Mf Marcos Gomez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 12.16 (no injury) 
Mf Jordan Fassnacht: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.46 (no injury) 
Fw Luís Oliveira: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.02 (no injury) 
Fw Alexis Havet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.65 (no injury) 
Fw Messaoud Diop: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 85.75 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Percy Maguire SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Alex Lauritsen SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bozidar Šimic SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Bako Klostermann SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          13  18  17  24  50
  Dorchester Town          12   9  34  34  34

Southend United Fw Attacks = 16 (50 - 34); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((17 - 34) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 34.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Jacob White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 25.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Jacob White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Yvan Thijs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 53.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Yvan Thijs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          12   9  34  34  34
  Southend United          13  18  17  24  50

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 17 (34 - 17); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 5 ((34 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 78.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Messaoud Diop
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 62.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Messaoud Diop
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 23.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 76.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Alexis Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 66.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Alexis Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Alexis Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 70.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Alexis Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 67.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Alexis Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 0  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 3
 
Match Notes
Shaw's come all the way down from Boro to park a bus on neutral ground. Colin better have the tools to crack that open or it's going to be a long afternoon.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/10 - 6:30 PM  
We meet Southend yet again after a very close opening game.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/12 - 1:38 PM  
That is disappointing. Well done Andy.
Colin (Southend United) 06/13 - 9:27 PM  
That worked out better than expected.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/14 - 7:05 PM  
 
 
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