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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mousa Boffin           13    1   14     Gk Jonas Lien             15    1   16
Sw Jakob Petersen         12    1   13     Sw Bradley Perry           6    2    8
Df William Baker          12    1   13     Df Niklas Köhler           9    0    9
Df Hans Murphy            11    1   12     Df Alain Debast            7    1    8
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan        6    2    8     Df Jaap De wit             6    2    8
Mf Weston Williamson      13    1   14     Df Joshua Partey           3    2    5
Mf Aliou Sow              10    1   11     Mf Ryan Brady              8    0    8
Mf Babou Kebe              6    2    8     Mf Yuriy Taran             6    2    8
Fw Sérgio da Rocha        13    0   13     Mf Jacques Mefire          3    2    5
Fw Jay Hanny              16    0   16     Fw Takao Soma              6    2    8
Fw Marcel M'Boma          12    0   12     Fw Vukmir Kovalenko        3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 13 33 33 41        ROSTER TOTALS      16  8 30 21 13    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  3  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 13 36 36 44         T O T A L S       16  8 30 21 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.9 (no red card)

Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.81 (no red card)

Df William Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.66 (no red card)

Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.79 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.82 (no second yellow)

Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.77 (no red card)

Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.63 (no red card)

Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.84 (no red card)

Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.03 (no red card)

Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.43 (no red card)

Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.54 (no red card)

Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.92 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.81 (no red card)

Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.09 (no red card)

Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.62 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Niklas Köhler new match skill level =  5
      Niklas Köhler new match total level =  5

Df Alain Debast: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.96 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.41 (no red card)

Df Joshua Partey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.99 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Brady: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.82 (no red card)

Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.25 (no red card)

Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.98 (no red card)

Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.31 (no red card)

Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.21 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 35.42 (no injury) 
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.51 (no injury) 
Df William Baker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.36 (no injury) 
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.85 (no injury) 
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.48 (no injury) 
Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.54 (no injury) 
Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.61 (no injury) 
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.38 (no injury) 
Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.88 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.32 (no injury) 
Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.38 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 48.1 (no injury) 
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.95 (no injury) 
Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.26 (no injury) 
Df Alain Debast: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.51 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.02 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Partey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.39 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Brady: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.92 (no injury) 
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.03 (no injury) 
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.06 (no injury) 
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.9 (no injury) 
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.84 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jay Hanny SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 15

     intRndPk = 58
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ryan Brady SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 13

     intRndPk = 64
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          14  13  36  36  44
  Brighton & Hove Albion   16   8  26  21  13

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 18 (44 - 26); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((36 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 8 ((36 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 34

1: Attack for Df William Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 40.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df William Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df William Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df William Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 33.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df William Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df William Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 72.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 55.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 64.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 46.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 96.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
29: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 60.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
34: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 64.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   16   8  26  21  13
  Lincoln City FC          14  13  36  36  44

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 36)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 44) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 1  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0
 
Match Notes
Pretty close rivalry. Mike, best of luck to Brighton.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/29 - 12:19 PM
Yes, old foes with good history, hearkens back to early Third Shift!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 06/01 - 1:03 PM
No loss is ever a win, but holding Lincoln to 1 with our lineup is a bit of a success. Cheers on the win, Mike!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/01 - 6:30 PM
 
 
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