(H)
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 3
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
DERBY COUNTY CARLISLE UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Carlos Ferreto 6 2 8 Gk Dani Cassio 12 1 13
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo 11 0 11 Sw Alistair Robinson 6 2 8
Df Kwadwo Danlad 14 0 14 Df Eirwyn Davey 11 0 11
Df Gregory Reilly 6 2 8 Df Kyria Brozovic 6 2 8
Mf Muziano Doni 15 0 15 Df Jacob Beynon 6 2 8
Mf Martin Scholes 6 2 8 Df Deryn Cartwright 3 2 5
Fw Roque Ramos 12 0 12 Mf Minato Morishima 10 1 11
Fw Donal O'Moore 11 0 11 Mf Ousmane Laforest 6 2 8
Fw Sadou Moussa 11 0 11 Mf Alexander Dolberg 3 2 5
Fw Jose Leao 6 2 8 Fw Agustin Martinez 6 2 8
Fw Erik Christiansen 6 2 8 Fw Liam Harries 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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8 11 22 23 50 ROSTER TOTALS 13 8 32 24 13
0 0 0 0 2 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
8 11 22 23 61 T O T A L S 13 8 39 24 13
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============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.67 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.53 (no red card)
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 60.33 (no red card)
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 9.13 (no red card)
Df Gregory Reilly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 43.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.05 (no red card)
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.44 (no red card)
Mf Martin Scholes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 69.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.19 (no red card)
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 47.59 (no red card)
Fw Donal O'Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 54.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.48 (no red card)
Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 78.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.7 (no red card)
Fw Jose Leao: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 29.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 54.59 (no red card)
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 6.21 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.39 (no second yellow)
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.13 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.25 (no red card)
Sw Alistair Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.61 (no red card)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.67 (no red card)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.53 (no red card)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.17 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.77 (no second yellow)
Df Deryn Cartwright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.12 (no red card)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.68 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.69 (no second yellow)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.43 (no red card)
Mf Alexander Dolberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.22 (no red card)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.6 (no red card)
Fw Liam Harries: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.41 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 53.06 (no injury)
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 81.49 (no injury)
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 60.56 (no injury)
Df Gregory Reilly: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 74.95 (no injury)
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 56.93 (no injury)
Mf Martin Scholes: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 68.07 (no injury)
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.12 (no injury)
Fw Donal O'Moore: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 8.26 (no injury)
Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 30.34 (no injury)
Fw Jose Leao: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 24.67 (no injury)
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 12.69 (no injury)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 47.7 (no injury)
Sw Alistair Robinson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.59 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 80.44 (no injury)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 0.23 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Kyria Brozovic is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Kyria Brozovic new match skill level = 3
Kyria Brozovic new match total level = 5
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 75.48 (no injury)
Df Deryn Cartwright: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 38.43 (no injury)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 36.67 (no injury)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.24 (no injury)
Mf Alexander Dolberg: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 93.07 (no injury)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 14.67 (no injury)
Fw Liam Harries: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 80.18 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Muziano Doni SL 15
- Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 12
intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Eirwyn Davey SL 11
- Defending Gk: Carlos Ferreto SL 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Derby County 8 11 22 23 61
Carlisle United 13 8 36 24 13
Derby County Fw Attacks = 25 (61 - 36); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 24) / 2; rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 3 ((22 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Derby County Total Attacks = 28
1: Attack for Df Gregory Reilly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Gregory Reilly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Kwadwo Danlad
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 84.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Jose Leao
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 64.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 43.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 54.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Jose Leao
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
23: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 69.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
26: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Jose Leao
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 13 8 36 24 13
Derby County 8 11 22 23 61
Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 22)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 23) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 61) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
DERBY COUNTY 2 - CARLISLE UNITED 1
Match Notes
Carlisle making the trip to Derby. Long way to go, but that's football. Derby at home won't be easy to break down.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/22 - 6:30 PM