(N)
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Youth Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SWANSEA CITY AFC NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Jonas Suffo 11 2 13 Gk Kurt Östman 15 2 17
Df Enrique Masis 15 0 15 Sw Thiago Boniek 8 2 10
Df Miguel de la Cruz 8 2 10 Df Moez Mhedhebi 12 1 13
Df Jordan Cummings 4 2 6 Df Mbaye Dieng 4 2 6
Df Rivaldo da Silva 2 2 4 Mf Noah Martinez 8 1 9
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard 8 2 10 Mf Bruno Freda 4 2 6
Mf Kenneth Sani 6 2 8 Mf Abel Peeters 4 2 6
Mf Per Hamann 4 2 6 Fw Óscar Vargas 14 2 16
Fw Michaël Van der heijden15 2 17 Fw Atef Omar 8 2 10
Fw Renato Cabanas 8 2 10 Fw Fredrik Engberg 7 1 8
Fw Yeltsin Venegas 4 2 6 Fw Keiron Chamberlain 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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13 0 35 24 33 ROSTER TOTALS 17 10 19 21 40
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 7 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 3 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
13 0 35 24 40 T O T A L S 20 13 19 21 40
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonas Suffo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.13 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.6 (no red card)
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.57 (no red card)
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.06 (no red card)
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.04 (no red card)
Df Rivaldo da Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.81 (no red card)
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.73 (no red card)
Mf Kenneth Sani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.76 (no red card)
Mf Per Hamann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.81 (no red card)
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.01 (no red card)
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.91 (no red card)
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.09 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.98 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.54 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.1 (no red card)
Df Moez Mhedhebi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.11 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.93 (no red card)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.71 (no red card)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.44 (no red card)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.77 (no red card)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.69 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.48 (no red card)
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.13 (no red card)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.08 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jonas Suffo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 45.49 (no injury)
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.08 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Enrique Masis is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Enrique Masis new match skill level = 8
Enrique Masis new match total level = 8
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.91 (no injury)
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.77 (no injury)
Df Rivaldo da Silva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.37 (no injury)
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.42 (no injury)
Mf Kenneth Sani: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.1 (no injury)
Mf Per Hamann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.2 (no injury)
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.54 (no injury)
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.03 (no injury)
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.53 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 97.87 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.55 (no injury)
Df Moez Mhedhebi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.41 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.95 (no injury)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.19 (no injury)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.02 (no injury)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.84 (no injury)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.23 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.56 (no injury)
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.34 (no injury)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.97 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 15
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 15
intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Óscar Vargas SL 14
- Defending Gk: Jonas Suffo SL 11
intRndPk = 76
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swansea City AFC 13 0 28 24 40
Nottingham Forest 20 13 19 21 40
Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 21 (40 - 19); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((24 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 40) / 5; rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 23
1: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Kenneth Sani
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 57.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 57.06 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 58.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 51.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 55.15 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 20 13 19 21 40
Swansea City AFC 13 0 28 24 40
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 12 (40 - 28); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 24) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 40) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 68.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 93.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 80.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 44.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 69.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 50.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 98.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 28.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 0 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 4
Match Notes
I thought we'd met in the Youth Cup recently but didn't know it was last season.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/23 - 2:29 PM
If I recall correctly, this is former Forest manager Roy coming back against his old club.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 06/29 - 11:27 AM
Correct, Mike, I was original manager of Forest but quit after 1 season. When I came back I mentioned I was a Forest fan and Roy graciously let me swap.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/29 - 6:32 PM
Lucky with the injury though our GPP did it's job.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/29 - 6:32 PM
Expected goals without the injury almost exactly 1-1
The injury more than doubled our shots.
The injury more than doubled our shots.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/29 - 6:36 PM
You mean we would have had four times as many shots otherwise?...
Roy (Swansea City AFC) 07/05 - 12:39 AM