(N)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Youth Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION PRESTON NORTH END FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Emilio Jimenez 7 2 9 Gk Onel Rönnlund 16 2 18
Df Matheus Robinho 14 2 16 Df Anders Jacobsen 8 2 10
Df Federico Zanetti 13 1 14 Df Joseph Jean 4 2 6
Df Ali Chukwu 8 0 8 Mf Arthur Goodwin 17 2 19
Df Dariusz Kaminski 4 2 6 Mf Carlos Nuñez 8 2 10
Mf Renato Ortega 12 1 13 Mf Walid Benoun 4 2 6
Mf Boris Perisic 8 2 10 Fw Geovanny Arley 13 2 15
Mf Ogunsakin Okafor 4 2 6 Fw Felix Jimenez 8 2 10
Mf William Ejide 3 2 5 Fw Fabrice Thabet 8 2 10
Fw Michaël Fellaini 9 0 9 Fw Kamel Hamza 4 2 6
Fw Noman Sellimi 4 2 6 Fw Frenkie Dumfried 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
9 0 44 34 15 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 16 35 47
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
10 0 44 34 15 T O T A L S 21 0 16 35 47
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Emilio Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 32.9 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 9.63 (no red card)
Df Matheus Robinho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.63 (no red card)
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.82 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.55 (no second yellow)
Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.19 (no red card)
Df Dariusz Kaminski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.95 (no red card)
Mf Renato Ortega: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.68 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.73 (no second yellow)
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.28 (no red card)
Mf Ogunsakin Okafor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.54 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.04 (no second yellow)
Mf William Ejide: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.34 (no red card)
Fw Michaël Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.35 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.09 (no second yellow)
Fw Noman Sellimi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.0 (no red card)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Onel Rönnlund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.65 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.11 (no red card)
Df Anders Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.07 (no red card)
Df Joseph Jean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.09 (no red card)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.04 (no red card)
Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.78 (no red card)
Mf Walid Benoun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.78 (no red card)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.52 (no red card)
Fw Felix Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.67 (no red card)
Fw Fabrice Thabet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.89 (no red card)
Fw Kamel Hamza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.02 (no red card)
Fw Frenkie Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.67 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Emilio Jimenez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 17.23 (no injury)
Df Matheus Robinho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.1 (no injury)
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.87 (no injury)
Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.72 (no injury)
Df Dariusz Kaminski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.82 (no injury)
Mf Renato Ortega: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.5 (no injury)
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.79 (no injury)
Mf Ogunsakin Okafor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.15 (no injury)
Mf William Ejide: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.9 (no injury)
Fw Michaël Fellaini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.43 (no injury)
Fw Noman Sellimi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.0 (no injury)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Onel Rönnlund: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 24.53 (no injury)
Df Anders Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.34 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 5
Anders Jacobsen is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Anders Jacobsen new match skill level = 4
Anders Jacobsen new match total level = 6
Df Joseph Jean: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.61 (no injury)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.16 (no injury)
Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.34 (no injury)
Mf Walid Benoun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.76 (no injury)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.42 (no injury)
Fw Felix Jimenez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.73 (no injury)
Fw Fabrice Thabet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.0 (no injury)
Fw Kamel Hamza: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.26 (no injury)
Fw Frenkie Dumfried: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.59 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Matheus Robinho SL 14
- Defending Gk: Onel Rönnlund SL 16
intRndPk = 76
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Arthur Goodwin SL 17
- Defending Gk: Emilio Jimenez SL 7
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 10 0 44 34 15
Preston North End FC 21 0 12 35 47
Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap!
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 2 (15 - 12) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 35) / 2; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 47) / 5; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Fw Michaël Fellaini
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 74.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Michaël Fellaini
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 73.49 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 21 0 12 35 47
Brighton & Hove Albion 10 0 44 34 15
Brighton & Hove Albion is using Offside Trap!
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 2 (47 - 44) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((35 - 34) / 2) * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((12 - 15) / 5; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Mf Walid Benoun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 18.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Felix Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
E N D O F R E G U L A T I O N
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 0
===============================================
===============================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S H O O T O U T
===============================================
- Brighton & Hove Albion Gk (Home): Emilio Jimenez SL 7
- Preston North End FC Gk (Away): Onel Rönnlund SL 16
************ ROUND 1 ************
Round 1: Matheus Robinho (BHA) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 31 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BHA - 1 : PNE - 0)
Round 1: Arthur Goodwin (PNE) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 51 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BHA - 1 : PNE - 1)
************ ROUND 2 ************
Round 2: Federico Zanetti (BHA) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 51 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BHA - 2 : PNE - 1)
Round 2: Onel Rönnlund (PNE) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BHA - 2 : PNE - 2)
************ ROUND 3 ************
Round 3: Renato Ortega (BHA) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 16 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BHA - 3 : PNE - 2)
Round 3: Geovanny Arley (PNE) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 33 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BHA - 3 : PNE - 3)
************ ROUND 4 ************
Round 4: Michaël Fellaini (BHA) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 54% | Random number = 18 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BHA - 4 : PNE - 3)
Round 4: Carlos Nuñez (PNE) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 68% | Random number = 82 (PK BLOCKED!!) (BHA - 4 : PNE - 3)
************ ROUND 5 ************
Round 5: Ali Chukwu (BHA) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 57 (PK BLOCKED!!) (BHA - 4 : PNE - 3)
Round 5: Felix Jimenez (PNE) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 68% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BHA - 4 : PNE - 4)
************ ROUND 6 ************
Round 6: Boris Perisic (BHA) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 78 (PK BLOCKED!!) (BHA - 4 : PNE - 4)
Round 6: Fabrice Thabet (PNE) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 68% | Random number = 27 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BHA - 4 : PNE - 5)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 0
===============================================
P K S H O O T O U T
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 4 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 5
Match Notes
This week in the Youth Cup, the following Saturday in the FA Cup semifinals. History is not on our side against Ian’s Lilywhites (what is a lily white?). 😬
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/15 - 1:47 AM
Brighton youth against Preston at a neutral. Beerman's floor is unpredictable, I'll give him that — though unpredictable and Preston in the same fixture has historically meant disappointment for the Seagulls.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/16 - 12:16 AM
Brighton bring home the fish and chips
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 06/20 - 4:10 PM
Surprised Ian doesn't have another non-league side at this stage of the competition. The tick marks all say Brian Beerman today...
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/20 - 4:27 PM
After the last non league side we faced injured our SL15 DF with a -5 FIT injury?
Ian (Preston North End FC) 06/20 - 5:56 PM
The GK came good in the end, in an otherwise close fought match. Another -4 injury though.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 06/20 - 6:08 PM
Ugh, we just can’t beat Ian. I’m sure it will be another loss in the FA Cup next weekend.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/20 - 6:17 PM
Best of luck to you Ian. We’ll get the better of you one day.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/20 - 6:17 PM
Nil-nil in ninety. Preston avoiding defeat against Brighton is practically a heritage event at this point. Extra time awaits — I suspect Beerman's already mentally preparing his penalty excuse.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/20 - 6:30 PM
OLMEC is right - we were definitely robbed in the pk’s. I. Fact we’re always robbed against PNE (jk)
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/21 - 2:42 PM