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Sunday, March 15th, 2026 - 08:19:33 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
FA Cup Final
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Per Holmdahl           13    1   14     Gk Samir Bouaziz          16    2   18
Sw Piotr Sobolewski       15    1   16     Df Cássio Alisson         16    1   17
Df Festus Abubakar        14    2   16     Df Javi Flores            15    0   15
Df Jack Nabbout           13    2   15     Df Jeff Gallagher         14    1   15
Df Edwin O'Doherty        12    2   14     Mf Damian Nabbout         14    2   16
Mf Óscar Cota             14    2   16     Mf Imed Ahmed             13    2   15
Mf Mario Pletikosa        12    2   14     Fw Roberto Bonano         18    1   19
Mf Marko Zabel            11    2   13     Fw Gregorio Caballero     14    2   16
Fw Bassem Mkademi         15    2   17     Fw Shinya Soma            13    2   15
Fw Gonzalo Lopez          14    2   16     Mf Héctor Vasquez         11    2   13
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric      15    2   17     Fw Jose Pérez             11    2   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 16 45 43 50        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 47 44 63    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  1  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  7  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 16 45 43 57         T O T A L S       18  0 48 44 63    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.98 (no red card)

Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.08 (no red card)

Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.16 (no red card)

Df Jack Nabbout: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.27 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.11 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.08 (no second yellow)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.15 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.49 (no red card)

Mf Marko Zabel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.39 (no red card)

Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.11 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.43 (no second yellow)

Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.48 (no red card)

Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.22 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.88 (no red card)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.31 (no red card)

Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.88 (no red card)

Df Jeff Gallagher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.58 (no red card)

Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.02 (no red card)

Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.9 (no red card)

Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.12 (no red card)

Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.41 (no red card)

Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.74 (no red card)

Mf Héctor Vasquez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.84 (no red card)

Fw Jose Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.7 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 58.24 (no injury) 
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.32 (no injury) 
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.72 (no injury) 
Df Jack Nabbout: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.33 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.54 (no injury) 
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.45 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Óscar Cota is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Óscar Cota new match skill level =  7
      Óscar Cota new match total level =  9
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.1 (no injury) 
Mf Marko Zabel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.06 (no injury) 
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.57 (no injury) 
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.24 (no injury) 
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.19 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 14.04 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.83 (no injury) 
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.85 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Gallagher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.51 (no injury) 
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.24 (no injury) 
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.07 (no injury) 
Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.44 (no injury) 
Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.13 (no injury) 
Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.27 (no injury) 
Mf Héctor Vasquez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.06 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.95 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bassem Mkademi SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Roberto Bonano SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 13

     intRndPk = 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       17  16  45  36  57
  Lewes FC                 18   0  48  44  63

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 5 (57 - 48) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 44) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 89.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 78.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 29.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 40.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 18   0  48  44  63
  Crewe Alexandra FC       17  16  45  36  57

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 18 (63 - 45); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((44 - 36) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((48 - 57) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Héctor Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Imed Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 74.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 27.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1  -  LEWES FC 0
 
Match Notes
I believe this is Lewes 14th FA Cup Final. Dave can neither promote or relegate, so I imagine the two cup finals will see “all in” tactics.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/07 - 7:51 PM  
It’s a cup final and we seldom reach them but this season could see us relegated if we are not careful.
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/08 - 8:48 AM  
Save something for next session, gentlemen.
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 03/09 - 3:23 AM  1
Its almost like Phil has told an "AI" program to "say random things that Phil might say" and then paste them in...
Allan (Brentford FC) 03/13 - 11:50 PM  
Crewe looking to knock off the Evil Empire. Good Luck Carl!
Allan (Brentford FC) 03/13 - 11:51 PM  
Two cup finals for the EE here, win one of the little guys, Carl!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 03/14 - 1:04 PM  
Don´t worry about relegation. Go all out for the Cup!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 03/14 - 2:50 PM  
You have to for any chance against the Lewes Monster
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 03/14 - 2:51 PM  
Go for broke Carl! You probably only need one draw in the league to avoid relegation.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 03/14 - 3:42 PM  
Good point Al. I'm waiting for Phil's AI to say "back in 1989, my team won the inaugural MSWL Olmec championship..."

Not heard that one in a while
Ian (Preston North End FC) 03/14 - 5:44 PM  
Congrats Carl….too many shots off target
Dave (Lewes FC) 03/14 - 7:26 PM  
 
 
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