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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mousa Boffin           14    0   14     Gk Kurt Östman            15    2   17
Sw Jakob Petersen         15    0   15     Sw Édouard Gning          12   -1   11
Df Hans Murphy            13    0   13     Df Kazimierz Szczesny      8    2   10
Df Percy Triggs           11    0   11     Df Mbaye Dieng             6    2    8
Df Dante Geromel           6    2    8     Df Nicomedes Martino       3    2    5
Mf Aliou Sow              12    0   12     Df Jean Courtial           3    1    4
Mf Akira Nagatomo          6    2    8     Mf Abel Peeters            6    2    8
Fw Vieira Mario           15    0   15     Mf Bruno Freda             6    2    8
Fw Marcel M'Boma           9    2   11     Mf Taha Tagnaouti          3    2    5
Fw Jay Hanny               9    2   11     Fw Keiron Chamberlain      6    2    8
Fw Martin Jashari          6    2    8     Fw Ederson Fabinho         3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 15 32 20 45        ROSTER TOTALS      17 11 27 21 13    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 15 32 29 45         T O T A L S       17 14 31 21 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.7 (no red card)

Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.55 (no red card)

Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.92 (no red card)

Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.2 (no red card)

Df Dante Geromel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.37 (no red card)

Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.43 (no red card)

Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.25 (no red card)

Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.25 (no red card)

Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.06 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.71 (no second yellow)

Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.86 (no red card)

Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.05 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.23 (no red card)

Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.04 (no red card)

Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.36 (no red card)

Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.77 (no red card)

Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.8 (no red card)

Df Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.61 (no red card)

Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.52 (no red card)

Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.62 (no red card)

Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.16 (no red card)

Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.94 (no red card)

Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.1 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 57.13 (no injury) 
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.95 (no injury) 
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.0 (no injury) 
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.7 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Percy Triggs is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Percy Triggs new match skill level =  6
      Percy Triggs new match total level =  6
Df Dante Geromel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.22 (no injury) 
Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.21 (no injury) 
Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.6 (no injury) 
Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.28 (no injury) 
Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.68 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.58 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.23 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 50.32 (no injury) 
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.82 (no injury) 
Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.18 (no injury) 
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.19 (no injury) 
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.35 (no injury) 
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.01 (no injury) 
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.66 (no injury) 
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.43 (no injury) 
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.19 (no injury) 
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.08 (no injury) 
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.8 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Vieira Mario SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 15

     intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kazimierz Szczesny SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 14

     intRndPk = 4
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 54% | Random number = 97 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          14  15  27  29  45
  Nottingham Forest        17  14  31  21  13

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 14 (45 - 31); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((29 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 5 ((27 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Percy Triggs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Dante Geromel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Dante Geromel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 79.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 63.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        17  14  31  21  13
  Lincoln City FC          14  15  27  29  45

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 27)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 1  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1
 
Match Notes
We get lucky for once.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 01/18 - 6:20 PM
Haha, true, Steve! We had some luck in our other league match, so some evening out.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 01/18 - 6:35 PM
 
 
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