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Wednesday, June 11th, 2025 - 09:37:21 AM (gmt)
 
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Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC                        LINCOLN CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Craig Carsley          13    1   14     Gk Steven Chapuisat        6    2    8
Sw Walter Wilson           9    2   11     Sw Woo Hyun-soo            6    2    8
Df Erik Richter           10   -1    9     Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan        8    1    9
Df Tranquillo Fernandes    8    0    8     Df Mohammed Fosu           4    1    5
Mf Shigeo Makino          10   -1    9     Df Aldair Gallardo         3    2    5
Mf Wayne Brees             5    2    7     Df Martin Paredes          2    2    4
Fw Greg Rashford          15    0   15     Df Akira Nagatomo          8    2   10
Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski   11    2   13     Mf Fabio Luis              6    2    8
Fw Thomas Richter          8    2   10     Mf Marc Bürki              3    2    5
Fw Anir Tahiri             5    2    7     Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong    6    2    8
Fw Bedwyr Brown            5    2    7     Fw Thiago Araujo           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 11 17 16 52        ROSTER TOTALS       8  8 33 13 13    
       0  0  0  1  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  2  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
      14 11 19 19 57         T O T A L S        8  8 33 20 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.08 (no red card)

Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.32 (no red card)

Df Erik Richter: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.52 (no red card)

Df Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.54 (no red card)

Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.29 (no red card)

Mf Wayne Brees: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.64 (no red card)

Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.1 (no red card)

Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.76 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Richter: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.63 (no red card)

Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.33 (no red card)

Fw Bedwyr Brown: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.08 (no second yellow)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Steven Chapuisat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.08 (no red card)

Sw Woo Hyun-soo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.03 (no red card)

Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.37 (no red card)

Df Mohammed Fosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.06 (no red card)

Df Aldair Gallardo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.94 (no red card)

Df Martin Paredes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.17 (no red card)

Df Akira Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.99 (no red card)

Mf Fabio Luis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.11 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.78 (no second yellow)

Mf Marc Bürki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.56 (no red card)

Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.64 (no red card)

Fw Thiago Araujo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.16 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 40.13 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.19 (no injury) 
Df Erik Richter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.27 (no injury) 
Df Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.89 (no injury) 
Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.26 (no injury) 
Mf Wayne Brees: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.32 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.85 (no injury) 
Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.82 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Richter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.02 (no injury) 
Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.34 (no injury) 
Fw Bedwyr Brown: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.3 (no injury) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Steven Chapuisat: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 23.05 (no injury) 
Sw Woo Hyun-soo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.54 (no injury) 
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.23 (no injury) 
Df Mohammed Fosu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.4 (no injury) 
Df Aldair Gallardo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.14 (no injury) 
Df Martin Paredes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.93 (no injury) 
Df Akira Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.0 (no injury) 
Mf Fabio Luis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.75 (no injury) 
Mf Marc Bürki: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.82 (no injury) 
Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.78 (no injury) 
Fw Thiago Araujo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.95 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Thiago Araujo is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Thiago Araujo new match skill level =  2
      Thiago Araujo new match total level =  4
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Greg Rashford SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Steven Chapuisat SL 6

     intRndPk = 79
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Si-Yun Jung-hwan SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Craig Carsley SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      14  11  19  19  57
  Lincoln City FC          8   8  33  20  12

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 24 (57 - 33); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((19 - 12) / 3); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Df Erik Richter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Tranquillo Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Erik Richter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Anir Tahiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Anir Tahiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Thomas Richter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 41.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 29.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Anir Tahiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 98.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 24.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 78.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Thomas Richter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Thomas Richter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Thomas Richter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Bedwyr Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Thomas Richter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 6.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Bedwyr Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Thomas Richter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          8   8  33  20  12
  Northampton Town FC      14  11  19  19  57

Lincoln City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 19)
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 19) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 2  -  LINCOLN CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
It's only Week 3, and I already need to deal with Simon being ahead of us in the table, geesh.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 06/01 - 1:02 PM
Send us off with a win
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 06/07 - 7:12 PM
Enjoy the steak mike glass of red as well 😉
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 06/07 - 7:12 PM
 
 
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