(H)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SOUTHEND UNITED OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Bako Klostermann 7 2 9 Gk Mikkel Fly Mikkelsen 3 2 5
Sw Andres Godin 3 2 5 Sw Ian Butler 6 2 8
Df Eric Kompany 13 1 14 Df Giancarlo Astua 6 2 8
Df Johan Teulet 12 2 14 Df Jamie Mooy 3 2 5
Df William Kwadwo 7 2 9 Mf Duje Kramaric 6 -2 4
Mf Cyril Chadli 8 2 10 Mf Abdel Baya 6 2 8
Mf Leo Gaillot 7 2 9 Mf Ablaye Ndour 3 2 5
Mf Seol Sun 6 2 8 Fw Bienvenido Godoy 14 2 16
Fw Marek Grabara 13 2 15 Fw Alhassan Baffoe 12 1 13
Fw Percy Maguire 16 2 18 Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez 6 2 8
Fw Yvan Thijs 7 2 9 Fw Bello Chepkurui 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
9 5 37 27 42 ROSTER TOTALS 5 8 13 17 42
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 2 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
9 5 37 27 51 T O T A L S 5 8 15 17 42
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Bako Klostermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.69 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.57 (no red card)
Sw Andres Godin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.09 (no red card)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.55 (no red card)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.74 (no red card)
Df William Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.45 (no red card)
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.55 (no red card)
Mf Leo Gaillot: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.64 (no red card)
Mf Seol Sun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.39 (no red card)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.6 (no red card)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.91 (no red card)
Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.62 (no red card)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mikkel Fly Mikkelsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.64 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.63 (no red card)
Sw Ian Butler: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 66.6 (no red card)
Df Giancarlo Astua: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 8.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.7 (no red card)
Df Jamie Mooy: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 71.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.48 (no red card)
Mf Duje Kramaric: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.5 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 85.32 (no second yellow)
Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 1.07 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.82 (no second yellow)
Mf Ablaye Ndour: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 8.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 4.22 (no red card)
Fw Bienvenido Godoy: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 32.71 (no red card)
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 53.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 26.68 (no red card)
Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 98.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.35 (no red card)
Fw Bello Chepkurui: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.37 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.4 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 0
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Bako Klostermann: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 1.15 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Bako Klostermann is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Sw Andres Godin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.8 (no injury)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.93 (no injury)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 50.82 (no injury)
Df William Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.48 (no injury)
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.71 (no injury)
Mf Leo Gaillot: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.62 (no injury)
Mf Seol Sun: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 69.85 (no injury)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.38 (no injury)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.23 (no injury)
Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 11.39 (no injury)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
- Southend United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Mikkel Fly Mikkelsen: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 48.33 (no injury)
Sw Ian Butler: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 84.32 (no injury)
Df Giancarlo Astua: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.64 (no injury)
Df Jamie Mooy: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 37.58 (no injury)
Mf Duje Kramaric: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 70.03 (no injury)
Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 16.52 (no injury)
Mf Ablaye Ndour: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.46 (no injury)
Fw Bienvenido Godoy: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 56.42 (no injury)
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 53.23 (no injury)
Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 56.32 (no injury)
Fw Bello Chepkurui: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 52.23 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Percy Maguire SL 16
- Defending Gk: Mikkel Fly Mikkelsen SL 3
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Bienvenido Godoy SL 14
- Defending Gk: Bako Klostermann SL 7
intRndPk = 36
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 9 5 37 27 51
Oldham Athletic AFC 5 8 15 17 42
Southend United Fw Attacks = 36 (51 - 15); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 5 ((27 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 42) / 3; rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 41
1: Attack for Mf Cyril Chadli
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Leo Gaillot
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Cyril Chadli
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Cyril Chadli
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Cyril Chadli
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Yvan Thijs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 79.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 48.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 90.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Fw Yvan Thijs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 58.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Yvan Thijs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 50.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 97.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
19: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Yvan Thijs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target)
28: Attack for Fw Yvan Thijs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
29: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
30: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 8.31 (Shot Saved by Gk)
31: Attack for Fw Yvan Thijs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 91.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
32: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 28.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
33: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 56.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
34: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
35: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
36: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
37: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
38: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 25.76 (Shot Saved by Gk)
39: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target)
40: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 14.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
41: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 34.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Oldham Athletic AFC 5 8 15 17 42
Southend United 9 5 37 27 51
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 5 (42 - 37); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 27) / 2; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((15 - 51) / 3; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 9.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Bienvenido Godoy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Bello Chepkurui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 41.98 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SOUTHEND UNITED 6 - OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0
Match Notes
Antoine taking his lads to Southend — tough ask. Colin will have them organised and ready. Should be a proper battle this one.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/25 - 6:30 PM
Our last meeting went in Oldham’s favor. This match will be tough.
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 05/29 - 6:16 PM