(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Port Vale FC
John Holden
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED PORT VALE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Dani Cassio 13 2 15 Gk Dylan De boer 15 2 17
Sw Philippe Manago 13 0 13 Sw Pablo Odriozola 13 2 15
Df Marco Sa 13 0 13 Df Eddy Chadli 10 1 11
Df Nicola Panucci 12 0 12 Df Jerome De Ketelaere 11 1 12
Df Kyria Brozovic 6 2 8 Df Sven Thoren 11 0 11
Mf Marco D'amato 13 0 13 Df Meliton López 6 2 8
Mf Ousmane Laforest 6 2 8 Mf Alan Herdman 13 0 13
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue 13 1 14 Mf Charlie Maclaren 6 2 8
Fw Jordan Pérez 15 -1 14 Fw Hermidio Rivera 13 0 13
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 11 1 12 Fw Adam Vasilev 15 0 15
Fw Agustin Martinez 6 2 8 Fw Ayrton Chamot 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 13 33 21 48 ROSTER TOTALS 17 15 42 21 36
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 4 5 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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15 13 33 25 53 T O T A L S 18 15 42 21 36
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.69 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.03 (no red card)
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.6 (no red card)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.9 (no red card)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.23 (no red card)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.09 (no red card)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.44 (no red card)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.73 (no red card)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.23 (no red card)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.86 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.69 (no red card)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.77 (no red card)
******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 1.28 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 50.47 (no red card)
Sw Pablo Odriozola: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.7 (no red card)
Df Eddy Chadli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.45 (no red card)
Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.73 (no red card)
Df Sven Thoren: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.57 (no red card)
Df Meliton López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.28 (no red card)
Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.95 (no red card)
Mf Charlie Maclaren: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.11 (no red card)
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.86 (no red card)
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.44 (no red card)
Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.36 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 52.87 (no injury)
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.49 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.07 (no injury)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.52 (no injury)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.45 (no injury)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.4 (no injury)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.59 (no injury)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.31 (no injury)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.15 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.43 (no injury)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.37 (no injury)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 38.73 (no injury)
Sw Pablo Odriozola: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.23 (no injury)
Df Eddy Chadli: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.14 (no injury)
Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.27 (no injury)
Df Sven Thoren: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.85 (no injury)
Df Meliton López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.01 (no injury)
Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.58 (no injury)
Mf Charlie Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.44 (no injury)
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.45 (no injury)
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.27 (no injury)
Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.33 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Ayrton Chamot is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jordan Pérez SL 15
- Defending Gk: Dylan De boer SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Adam Vasilev SL 15
- Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 13
intRndPk = 2
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 93 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 15 13 33 25 53
Port Vale FC 18 15 42 21 36
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 11 (53 - 42); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 2 ((25 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 36) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Mf Ousmane Laforest
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Marco D'amato
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 60.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Agustin Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Port Vale FC 18 15 42 21 36
Carlisle United 15 13 33 25 53
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 3 (36 - 33); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 25) / 2; rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 53) / 3; rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 20.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
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F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 1 - PORT VALE FC 1
Match Notes
Dave usually gets the better of us.
John (Port Vale FC) 05/23 - 10:37 PM
Carlisle at home, Port Vale looking to nick something on the road. Tight one this. Both sets of lads will need to scrap for every inch.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/25 - 6:30 PM
Undone by the old dodgy penalty again.
Dave (Carlisle United) 05/30 - 8:50 PM