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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Leicester City FC
Hazel Hawker
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      LEICESTER CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko    14    2   16     Gk Rami Gyan               7    2    9
Sw Ronal Castro            6    2    8     Sw Zvonko Šimic            3    2    5
Df Marek Murphy            8    2   10     Df Jules Giguere          10    0   10
Df Amine Harit             6    2    8     Df Julius Solomon          6    2    8
Df Genki Suzuki            3    2    5     Df Andrija Olic            3    2    5
Mf Andrej Kovac           12    1   13     Mf Beranger Steffen       12    1   13
Mf Denis Fellaini          9    2   11     Mf Tom Schäfer             6    2    8
Fw Younes Regragui        13    1   14     Mf Asbjorn Meyer           3    2    5
Fw Eddie McBride          10    2   12     Fw Curro Raya              9    0    9
Fw Benjamin Tchato         6    2    8     Fw Werner Kompany          6    2    8
Fw Miguel Alves            3    2    5     Fw Francis Aidoo           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  8 23 24 39        ROSTER TOTALS       9  5 23 26 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  8 23 24 48         T O T A L S        9  8 27 26 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.81 (no red card)

Sw Ronal Castro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.5 (no red card)

Df Marek Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.95 (no red card)

Df Amine Harit: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.01 (no red card)

Df Genki Suzuki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.89 (no red card)

Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.75 (no red card)

Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.58 (no red card)

Fw Younes Regragui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.91 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.65 (no second yellow)

Fw Eddie McBride: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.68 (no red card)

Fw Benjamin Tchato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.45 (no red card)

Fw Miguel Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.87 (no red card)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Rami Gyan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.59 (no red card)

Sw Zvonko Šimic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.38 (no red card)

Df Jules Giguere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.09 (no red card)

Df Julius Solomon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.75 (no red card)

Df Andrija Olic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.37 (no red card)

Mf Beranger Steffen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.57 (no red card)

Mf Tom Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.21 (no red card)

Mf Asbjorn Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.76 (no red card)

Fw Curro Raya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.1 (no red card)

Fw Werner Kompany: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.3 (no red card)

Fw Francis Aidoo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.5 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.66 (no injury) 
Sw Ronal Castro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.73 (no injury) 
Df Marek Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.68 (no injury) 
Df Amine Harit: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.66 (no injury) 
Df Genki Suzuki: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.42 (no injury) 
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.77 (no injury) 
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.64 (no injury) 
Fw Younes Regragui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.75 (no injury) 
Fw Eddie McBride: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.01 (no injury) 
Fw Benjamin Tchato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.47 (no injury) 
Fw Miguel Alves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.05 (no injury) 

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Rami Gyan: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 97.18 (no injury) 
Sw Zvonko Šimic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.44 (no injury) 
Df Jules Giguere: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.31 (no injury) 
Df Julius Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.77 (no injury) 
Df Andrija Olic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.96 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Andrija Olic is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Beranger Steffen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.93 (no injury) 
Mf Tom Schäfer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.39 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Tom Schäfer is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Tom Schäfer new match skill level =  3
      Tom Schäfer new match total level =  5
Mf Asbjorn Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.27 (no injury) 
Fw Curro Raya: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.21 (no injury) 
Fw Werner Kompany: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.96 (no injury) 
Fw Francis Aidoo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.81 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Younes Regragui SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Rami Gyan SL 7

     intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Beranger Steffen SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Valentyn Tymoshenko SL 14

     intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    16   8  23  24  48
  Leicester City FC        9   8  27  23  22

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 21 (48 - 27); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((24 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((23 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Df Marek Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Miguel Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Eddie McBride
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 70.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Benjamin Tchato
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Eddie McBride
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Benjamin Tchato
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 84.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Eddie McBride
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 98.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Benjamin Tchato
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 27.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 59.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Eddie McBride
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Eddie McBride
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 32.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Eddie McBride
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 28.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Eddie McBride
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Benjamin Tchato
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Eddie McBride
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leicester City FC        9   8  27  23  22
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    16   8  23  24  48

Leicester City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Leicester City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 23)
Leicester City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Leicester City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 48) / 3;  rounded up)
Leicester City FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 3  -  LEICESTER CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Weston at home in the cup. Big occasion for that club. Leicester better not walk in thinking it's a foregone conclusion.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/29 - 6:30 PM  
I think Olmec Ray is getting his competitions mixed up.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/29 - 7:45 PM  
 
 
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