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Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARDIFF CITY FC                            NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos     12    0   12     Gk Jonathan Kome          15    2   17
Sw Lewis Kane              7    2    9     Sw Nicomedes Martino       7    2    9
Df Gregory Robinson       13    2   15     Df Jean Courtial           9    2   11
Df Mark O'Byrne            7    2    9     Df Gualberto Burgos        8    1    9
Mf Artur Zalewski         15    2   17     Df Victor Rui              7    2    9
Mf Jeong Yong              9    0    9     Mf Marwan Sforza           6    2    8
Fw Leonardo Alonso        12    2   14     Mf Fernando Bentancur      6    2    8
Fw Fabrice Ndi            12    2   14     Mf Paul Simons             3    2    5
Fw Jean Diouf             11    1   12     Mf Ederson Fabinho         9    2   11
Fw Jair Sanchez            7    2    9     Fw Rico Santambrogio       6    2    8
Fw Edson Blanco            6    2    8     Fw Ghaith Abid             3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  9 24 26 57        ROSTER TOTALS      17  9 29 32 13    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  9 24 26 66         T O T A L S       17 12 33 32 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.98 (no red card)

Sw Lewis Kane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.23 (no red card)

Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.55 (no red card)

Df Mark O'Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.5 (no red card)

Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.2 (no red card)

Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.16 (no second yellow)

Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.13 (no red card)

Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.79 (no red card)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.84 (no red card)

Fw Jair Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.49 (no red card)

Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.91 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.71 (no red card)

Sw Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.09 (no red card)

Df Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.92 (no red card)

Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.76 (no red card)

Df Victor Rui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.44 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.7 (no second yellow)

Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.77 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.46 (no red card)

Mf Paul Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.75 (no red card)

Mf Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.19 (no red card)

Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.45 (no red card)

Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.37 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 77.34 (no injury) 
Sw Lewis Kane: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.83 (no injury) 
Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.52 (no injury) 
Df Mark O'Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.38 (no injury) 
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.41 (no injury) 
Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.65 (no injury) 
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.13 (no injury) 
Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.06 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.18 (no injury) 
Fw Jair Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.79 (no injury) 
Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.66 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 49.97 (no injury) 
Sw Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.89 (no injury) 
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.66 (no injury) 
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.49 (no injury) 
Df Victor Rui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.73 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Victor Rui is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Victor Rui new match skill level =  4
      Victor Rui new match total level =  6
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.12 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.18 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.27 (no injury) 
Mf Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.36 (no injury) 
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.13 (no injury) 
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.57 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Artur Zalewski SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Jonathan Kome SL 15

     intRndPk = 40
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jean Courtial SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Ronaldo Marquinhos SL 12

     intRndPk = 93
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          12   9  24  26  66
  Nottingham Forest        17  12  30  32  13

Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 36 (66 - 30); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 4 ((24 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 40

1: Attack for Df Gregory Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Mark O'Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Mark O'Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Mark O'Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 41.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 89.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 16.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 98.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 49.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 23.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 66.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 26.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
36: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 77.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
37: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 21.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
40: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        17  12  30  32  13
  Cardiff City FC          12   9  24  26  66

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 24)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 2 ((32 - 26) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Fernando Bentancur
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Paul Simons
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARDIFF CITY FC 2  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 
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