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Saturday, February 7th, 2026 - 10:12:14 PM (gmt)
 
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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ian Valle               3    2    5     Gk Artyom Szczesny         7    2    9
Sw Tommy McGree            8    1    9     Sw Walter Wilson          13    2   15
Df Edwin O'Doherty        12    2   14     Df Edoardo Vecchi         10    2   12
Df Festus Abubakar        11    2   13     Df Sakariya Hedman        10    0   10
Df Magnus Waering          7    2    9     Df Gabriele Gentiloni      7    1    8
Mf Óscar Cota             11    2   13     Mf Clint Smith            18    1   19
Mf Patrice Djemba         10    2   12     Mf Tranquillo Fernandes   12    2   14
Mf Ivan Jackson            7    2    9     Mf Felipe Fernandez        7    2    9
Fw Bassem Mkademi         12    2   14     Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun       3    2    5
Fw Slava Levchenko        10    2   12     Fw Francisco Murillo      11    1   12
Fw Joel Zamora             8    1    9     Fw Anir Tahiri            10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       5  9 36 34 35        ROSTER TOTALS       9 15 30 47 24    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  3  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  4  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       8 12 40 36 42         T O T A L S        9 15 30 50 24    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ian Valle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.77 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.06 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.24 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.99 (no second yellow)

Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.83 (no red card)

Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.61 (no red card)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.84 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.93 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.09 (no red card)

Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.42 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Bassem Mkademi new match skill level =  6
      Bassem Mkademi new match total level =  8

Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.57 (no red card)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.59 (no red card)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Artyom Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.17 (no red card)

Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 71.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 90.64 (no red card)

Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 40.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 31.49 (no red card)

Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 94.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 40.75 (no red card)

Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 89.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 88.04 (no red card)

Mf Clint Smith: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 89.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 50.3 (no red card)

Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 11.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 18.67 (no red card)

Mf Felipe Fernandez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 76.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 10.07 (no red card)

Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 79.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 84.31 (no red card)

Fw Francisco Murillo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 59.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 40.24 (no red card)

Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 8.0 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 47.94 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Ian Valle: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 64.1 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 56.92 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 98.87 (no injury) 
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 52.85 (no injury) 
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 46.6 (no injury) 
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 75.38 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 22.08 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 85.77 (no injury) 
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 46.45 (no injury) 
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 19.97 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 4.75 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Joel Zamora is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Joel Zamora new match skill level =  4
      Joel Zamora new match total level =  5

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Artyom Szczesny: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 82.6 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.19 (no injury) 
Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.71 (no injury) 
Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.25 (no injury) 
Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.38 (no injury) 
Mf Clint Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.84 (no injury) 
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.45 (no injury) 
Mf Felipe Fernandez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.18 (no injury) 
Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.18 (no injury) 
Fw Francisco Murillo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.55 (no injury) 
Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.8 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Edwin O'Doherty SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Artyom Szczesny SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 61 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Clint Smith SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Ian Valle SL 3

     intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       8  12  40  36  32
  Northampton Town FC      9  15  30  50  24

Crewe Alexandra FC is Playing For A Draw!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 1 (32 - 30) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 3 ((40 - 24) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Magnus Waering
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 85.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Festus Abubakar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 16.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Magnus Waering
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      9  15  30  50  24
  Crewe Alexandra FC       8  12  40  36  32

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 40)
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((50 - 36) / 2) ; result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Felipe Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Tranquillo Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Felipe Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 6.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2  -  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
One of those must now lose games already in the season
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/01 - 9:26 AM
 
 
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