(H)
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 7
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SWINDON TOWN FC CARLISLE UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Federico Curbelo 7 2 9 Gk Dani Cassio 7 2 9
Df Hajime Tanaka 12 0 12 Sw Philippe Manago 13 2 15
Df Yahaya Etim 11 0 11 Df Marco Sa 13 2 15
Df Secundino López 11 1 12 Df Eirwyn Davey 13 1 14
Df Quentin Mertens 7 -2 5 Df Nicola Panucci 7 2 9
Mf Gustavo Moreno 13 0 13 Df Kyria Brozovic 3 2 5
Mf Fernando Militao 11 0 11 Mf Marco D'amato 12 2 14
Mf Toby Llewellyn 7 0 7 Mf Minato Morishima 6 2 8
Fw Conway Roberts 13 0 13 Mf Ousmane Laforest 3 0 3
Fw Valeriy Yastenko 11 0 11 Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue 7 2 9
Fw Francois Abdou 6 2 8 Fw Agustin Martinez 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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9 0 40 31 32 ROSTER TOTALS 9 15 43 25 14
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 3 4 0
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9 0 40 31 41 T O T A L S 12 15 46 29 14
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.33 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.57 (no red card)
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.79 (no red card)
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.9 (no red card)
Df Secundino López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.48 (no red card)
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.28 (no red card)
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.26 (no red card)
Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.76 (no red card)
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.78 (no red card)
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.82 (no red card)
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.18 (no red card)
Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.62 (no red card)
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.75 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.12 (no red card)
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.54 (no red card)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.98 (no red card)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.35 (no red card)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.11 (no red card)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.42 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Kyria Brozovic new match skill level = 2
Kyria Brozovic new match total level = 4
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.28 (no red card)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.17 (no red card)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.65 (no red card)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.81 (no red card)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.4 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 46.83 (no injury)
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.59 (no injury)
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.93 (no injury)
Df Secundino López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.32 (no injury)
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.13 (no injury)
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.75 (no injury)
Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.75 (no injury)
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.6 (no injury)
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.38 (no injury)
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.95 (no injury)
Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.26 (no injury)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.93 (no injury)
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.55 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.8 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.43 (no injury)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.05 (no injury)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.92 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Kyria Brozovic is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.37 (no injury)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.82 (no injury)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.21 (no injury)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.69 (no injury)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.64 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Gustavo Moreno SL 13
- Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 7
intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Marco Sa SL 13
- Defending Gk: Federico Curbelo SL 7
intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swindon Town FC 9 0 40 31 41
Carlisle United 12 15 45 29 14
Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (41 - 45)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((31 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 6 ((40 - 14) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 7
1: Attack for Df Yahaya Etim
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Quentin Mertens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 35.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Quentin Mertens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 75.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Df Quentin Mertens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Yahaya Etim
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Df Yahaya Etim
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 12 15 45 29 14
Swindon Town FC 9 0 40 31 41
Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 40)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 31) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 1 ((45 - 41) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Df Kyria Brozovic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
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F I N A L S C O R E
SWINDON TOWN FC 1 - CARLISLE UNITED 0