(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Southend United
Colin Scott
League Round 8
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST SOUTHEND UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Jonathan Kome 16 2 18 Gk Yassine Amara 16 2 18
Sw Thiago Boniek 16 2 18 Sw Gilbert Tchato 12 2 14
Df Martin Persson 13 2 15 Df Vincent Hamidou 12 2 14
Df Jean Courtial 9 2 11 Df Johan Teulet 11 2 13
Mf Taha Tagnaouti 10 2 12 Df Mauricio López 10 2 12
Mf Noah Martinez 8 2 10 Df Eric Kompany 9 2 11
Mf Marwan Sforza 7 2 9 Df Mario Egli 6 2 8
Fw Keiron Chamberlain 13 2 15 Mf Orlando Valencia 11 2 13
Fw Atef Omar 13 2 15 Mf Cyril Chadli 10 2 12
Fw Ederson Fabinho 12 2 14 Fw Marek Grabara 11 2 13
Fw Rico Santambrogio 7 2 9 Fw Franco Almada 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 18 26 31 53 ROSTER TOTALS 18 14 58 25 22
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
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18 18 26 31 62 T O T A L S 21 17 62 25 22
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.02 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.31 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.0 (no red card)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.99 (no red card)
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.63 (no red card)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.41 (no red card)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.2 (no red card)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.87 (no red card)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.58 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.81 (no red card)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.9 (no red card)
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.15 (no red card)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 75.77 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 89.81 (no red card)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.12 (no red card)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.12 (no red card)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.05 (no red card)
Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.19 (no red card)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.96 (no red card)
Df Mario Egli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.13 (no red card)
Mf Orlando Valencia: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.69 (no red card)
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.34 (no red card)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.9 (no red card)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.23 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 94.04 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.3 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.32 (no injury)
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.92 (no injury)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.74 (no injury)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.83 (no injury)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.2 (no injury)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.01 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.35 (no injury)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.95 (no injury)
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.2 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Rico Santambrogio is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Rico Santambrogio new match skill level = 4
Rico Santambrogio new match total level = 6
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 58.99 (no injury)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.61 (no injury)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.54 (no injury)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.82 (no injury)
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.79 (no injury)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.24 (no injury)
Df Mario Egli: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.05 (no injury)
Mf Orlando Valencia: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.18 (no injury)
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.1 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Cyril Chadli is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Cyril Chadli new match skill level = 5
Cyril Chadli new match total level = 7
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.2 (no injury)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.07 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Martin Persson SL 13
- Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Vincent Hamidou SL 12
- Defending Gk: Jonathan Kome SL 16
intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 18 18 26 31 59
Southend United 21 17 62 20 22
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (59 - 62)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 6 ((31 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 2 ((26 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Df Jean Courtial
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 68.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Jean Courtial
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Noah Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Noah Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 72.76 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Taha Tagnaouti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Marwan Sforza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 89.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Mf Noah Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Noah Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 21 17 62 20 22
Nottingham Forest 18 18 26 31 59
Southend United is Playing For A Draw!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 26)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 31) / 2; rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 1 ((62 - 59) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Df Mauricio López
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 97.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
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F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1 - SOUTHEND UNITED 1
Match Notes
Sickening - a FW injury gives then 1 shot which neither our SL 18 SW nor SL 17 GK can stop
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/07 - 6:17 PM
Sickening is the word - I can’t stop crying. However, it could have been worse.
Colin (Southend United) 02/07 - 7:33 PM