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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Pathé Ndong            14    1   15     Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko    13    2   15
Sw Yarik Sidorenko         5    2    7     Df Léon Velardi           10    2   12
Df Jordan Cummings        13    2   15     Df Marek Murphy           10    2   12
Df Bonturo Ferrari        11    2   13     Df Rory Kelly              7    2    9
Df Min-Seong Jung          7    2    9     Df Amine Harit             3    2    5
Mf Kwasi Twumasi          12    1   13     Mf Denis Fellaini         13    2   15
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard        9    1   10     Mf Andrej Kovac           12    2   14
Fw Dario Vasilj           13    1   14     Mf Cesar Beto              7    2    9
Fw Yeltsin Venegas        13    2   15     Mf Cadwaladr Harding       3    2    5
Fw Renato Cabanas         16    2   18     Fw Danny Rose              7    2    9
Fw Gerry Maclaren          9    1   10     Fw Eddie McBride           7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  7 37 23 57        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 38 43 18    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  2  5  0    
=======================================================================
      15  7 46 23 57         T O T A L S       16  0 40 48 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.94 (no red card)

Sw Yarik Sidorenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.23 (no red card)

Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.08 (no red card)

Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.53 (no red card)

Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.71 (no red card)

Mf Kwasi Twumasi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.1 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.98 (no red card)

Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.92 (no red card)

Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.91 (no red card)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.72 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.49 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 12.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 40.07 (no red card)

Df Léon Velardi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.61 (no red card)

Df Marek Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.6 (no red card)

Df Rory Kelly: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.3 (no red card)

Df Amine Harit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.2 (no red card)

Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.61 (no red card)

Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.55 (no red card)

Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.12 (no red card)

Mf Cadwaladr Harding: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.63 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Cadwaladr Harding new match skill level =  2
      Cadwaladr Harding new match total level =  4

Fw Danny Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.89 (no red card)

Fw Eddie McBride: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.79 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 7.28 (no injury) 
Sw Yarik Sidorenko: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.19 (no injury) 
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.88 (no injury) 
Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.63 (no injury) 
Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.7 (no injury) 
Mf Kwasi Twumasi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.9 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.31 (no injury) 
Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.26 (no injury) 
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.8 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.97 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.04 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 86.68 (no injury) 
Df Léon Velardi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.68 (no injury) 
Df Marek Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.32 (no injury) 
Df Rory Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.75 (no injury) 
Df Amine Harit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.27 (no injury) 
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.15 (no injury) 
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.39 (no injury) 
Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.29 (no injury) 
Mf Cadwaladr Harding: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.1 (no injury) 
Fw Danny Rose: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.08 (no injury) 
Fw Eddie McBride: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.74 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Renato Cabanas SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Valentyn Tymoshenko SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 64 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Denis Fellaini SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 14

     intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         15   7  46  23  57
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    16   0  40  47  18

Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 9 (57 - 40) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 10 ((46 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Bonturo Ferrari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 64.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 38.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 14.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 48.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 95.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Df Bonturo Ferrari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 25.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Df Bonturo Ferrari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 97.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 55.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    16   0  40  47  18
  Swansea City AFC         15   7  46  23  57

Weston-super-Mare AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 46)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 6 ((47 - 23) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 57) / 5;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Cesar Beto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 22.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Cesar Beto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 40.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 22.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 3  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
 
Match Notes
tricky away game which we will most likely lose..... sigh
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/06 - 9:32 PM
our Gulls are big but no match for the mighty Swans.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/07 - 11:38 AM
 
 
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