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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         PORT VALE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Per Holmdahl           10    2   12     Gk Dylan De boer          15    2   17
Sw Piotr Sobolewski       13    2   15     Sw Pablo Odriozola        14    2   16
Df Festus Abubakar        13    2   15     Df Jerome De Ketelaere    12    2   14
Df Magnus Waering         12    2   14     Df Philipp Vogel          10    1   11
Df Dominique Coltorti      7    1    8     Df Meliton López           7    2    9
Mf Óscar Cota             13    2   15     Mf Benedicto González     10    2   12
Mf Ivan Jackson           12    2   14     Mf Charlie Maclaren        7    2    9
Mf Clement Harouna         7    2    9     Fw Hermidio Rivera        13    0   13
Fw Olivier Havet          13    2   15     Fw Adam Vasilev           15    0   15
Fw Bassem Mkademi         13    2   15     Fw Martin Aguilera        11    2   13
Fw Gonzalo Lopez          14    2   16     Fw Ayrton Chamot           7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 15 37 38 46        ROSTER TOTALS      17 16 34 21 50    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 15 37 40 53         T O T A L S       18 16 34 21 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.59 (no red card)

Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.29 (no red card)

Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.87 (no red card)

Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.64 (no red card)

Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.37 (no red card)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.99 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.14 (no red card)

Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.56 (no red card)

Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.31 (no red card)

Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.78 (no red card)

Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.03 (no red card)

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 54.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 92.46 (no red card)

Sw Pablo Odriozola: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.22 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Pablo Odriozola new match skill level =  7
      Pablo Odriozola new match total level =  9

Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.84 (no red card)

Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.02 (no red card)

Df Meliton López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.34 (no red card)

Mf Benedicto González: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.67 (no red card)

Mf Charlie Maclaren: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.3 (no red card)

Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.91 (no red card)

Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.39 (no red card)

Fw Martin Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.73 (no red card)

Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.19 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 50.83 (no injury) 
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.17 (no injury) 
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.57 (no injury) 
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.4 (no injury) 
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.44 (no injury) 
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.08 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.47 (no injury) 
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.23 (no injury) 
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.13 (no injury) 
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.9 (no injury) 
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.64 (no injury) 

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 55.81 (no injury) 
Sw Pablo Odriozola: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.99 (no injury) 
Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.05 (no injury) 
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.09 (no injury) 
Df Meliton López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.11 (no injury) 
Mf Benedicto González: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.62 (no injury) 
Mf Charlie Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.5 (no injury) 
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.47 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.44 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.74 (no injury) 
Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.58 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Ayrton Chamot is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ayrton Chamot new match skill level =  4
      Ayrton Chamot new match total level =  6
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gonzalo Lopez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Dylan De boer SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Adam Vasilev SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 10

     intRndPk = 86
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  15  37  40  53
  Port Vale FC             18   9  34  21  47

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 19 (53 - 34); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((40 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 25.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Clement Harouna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 56.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Clement Harouna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 10.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 67.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 60.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 62.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 42.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             18   9  34  21  47
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  15  37  40  53

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 10 (47 - 37); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 6.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 57.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 52.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1  -  PORT VALE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Got to take advantage of home advantage
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/31 - 8:45 AM  
Cautious Carl at home — he'll have his system drilled and his checklist ticked. Port Vale won't care. Should be a decent scrap.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/01 - 6:30 PM  
Checklist Carl hosting Port Vale — expect something organised, cautious, and almost certainly trophy-free. Division 2 neutrals setting their alarms for this one.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/03 - 6:30 PM  
That’s a big 3 points for Hyde
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/08 - 9:15 AM  
 
 
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