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Sunday, February 8th, 2026 - 10:21:44 AM (gmt)
 
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Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DORCHESTER TOWN                            WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kris Vermant           12    2   14     Gk Mads Frost             14    2   16
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han         13    2   15     Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk       14    1   15
Df Sim Young-gwon         13    2   15     Df Keita Hattori          13    2   15
Df Hugo Quintero          10    2   12     Df Shoichi Morita         10    2   12
Df Andre Ngwa             10    2   12     Df Oskar Qvist             6    2    8
Df Bozidar Šimic           7    2    9     Mf Kevin Castex           16    2   18
Mf Nazariy Gusak          13    2   15     Mf Seth Sibley             8    2   10
Mf Dragan Shvets          12    2   14     Mf Valerio Paredes        13   -1   12
Mf Peter Roldan            7    2    9     Fw Djonno De boer         13    2   15
Fw Teun Van der berg      13    2   15     Mf Takao Soma             11    1   12
Fw Aaron Jones            16    1   17     Fw Juliano Ganso          11    2   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 15 48 38 32        ROSTER TOTALS      16  0 50 52 28    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  3  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 15 48 41 38         T O T A L S       18  0 50 52 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 84.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 63.88 (no red card)

Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 50.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 23.72 (no red card)

Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 24.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 5.17 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 26.98 (no red card)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.57 (no red card)

Df Bozidar Šimic: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 93.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 55.27 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.59 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 19.76 (no second yellow)

Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 38.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.26 (no red card)

Mf Peter Roldan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 73.14 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 32.1 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 14.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 75.51 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 87.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 65.39 (no red card)

Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.79 (no red card)

Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.45 (no red card)

Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.5 (no red card)

Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.09 (no red card)

Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.22 (no red card)

Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.35 (no red card)

Mf Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.89 (no red card)

Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.72 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.46 (no second yellow)

Mf Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.15 (no red card)

Fw Juliano Ganso: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.32 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.0 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 89.01 (no injury) 
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 86.68 (no injury) 
Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 79.35 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 76.55 (no injury) 
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 1.37 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Andre Ngwa is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Andre Ngwa new match skill level =  5
      Andre Ngwa new match total level =  7
Df Bozidar Šimic: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 3.57 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Bozidar Šimic is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Bozidar Šimic new match skill level =  4
      Bozidar Šimic new match total level =  6
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 47.42 (no injury) 
Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 86.62 (no injury) 
Mf Peter Roldan: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 56.8 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 87.79 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 17.85 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 86.34 (no injury) 
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 83.45 (no injury) 
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 29.96 (no injury) 
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 48.08 (no injury) 
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 88.59 (no injury) 
Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 29.21 (no injury) 
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 37.78 (no injury) 
Mf Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 13.79 (no injury) 
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 0.85 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Djonno De boer is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Djonno De boer new match skill level =  7
      Djonno De boer new match total level =  9
Mf Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 81.26 (no injury) 
Fw Juliano Ganso: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 98.52 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aaron Jones SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 84 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Kevin Castex SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kris Vermant SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 58 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          16  15  40  41  38
  Watford                  18   0  50  52  22

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 50)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((41 - 52) / 2;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 6 ((40 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Hugo Quintero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 3.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Hugo Quintero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 3.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Bozidar Šimic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 94.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  18   0  50  52  22
  Dorchester Town          16  15  40  41  38

Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 40)
Watford Mf Attacks = 6 ((52 - 41) / 2) ; result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 3 ((50 - 38) / 5); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Shoichi Morita
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 17.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 90.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Kevin Castex
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 65.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Seth Sibley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Kevin Castex
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DORCHESTER TOWN 2  -  WATFORD 2
 
Match Notes
Leaders Watford come to town. Hopefully we can peg their lead back.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/01 - 6:18 PM
 
 
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