(H)
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
League Round 8
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRISTOL CITY FC CARDIFF CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Eugene Vasilev 13 2 15 Gk Andres Ruiz 7 2 9
Sw Oberto Agustini 7 2 9 Sw Ciaran O'Connor 5 2 7
Df Jeppe Bach 7 2 9 Df Gregory Robinson 10 0 10
Df Joseph Kameni 3 2 5 Df Ji-Hun Seung-gyu 3 2 5
Mf Sebastiaan Blind 14 1 15 Df Adesoji Ismaila 3 2 5
Mf Samim Skov 7 2 9 Mf Artur Zalewski 10 1 11
Mf Nikita Yakovenko 3 2 5 Mf Junho Sang-chul 3 2 5
Fw José Oliveira 13 2 15 Mf Antonio Muñoz 3 1 4
Fw Jacob Jones 12 2 14 Fw Gustavo Pavon 11 1 12
Fw Thomas Williams 7 2 9 Fw Tomas Eriksson 7 2 9
Fw Gilbert Jones 3 2 5 Fw Julio Guidice 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 9 14 29 43 ROSTER TOTALS 9 7 20 20 26
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 9 23 29 43 T O T A L S 9 7 20 20 26
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.98 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.87 (no red card)
Sw Oberto Agustini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.39 (no red card)
Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.07 (no red card)
Df Joseph Kameni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.03 (no red card)
Mf Sebastiaan Blind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.35 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.8 (no second yellow)
Mf Samim Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.72 (no red card)
Mf Nikita Yakovenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.71 (no red card)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.49 (no red card)
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.43 (no red card)
Fw Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.33 (no red card)
Fw Gilbert Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.86 (no red card)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Andres Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.81 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.74 (no red card)
Sw Ciaran O'Connor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.7 (no red card)
Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.54 (no red card)
Df Ji-Hun Seung-gyu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.78 (no red card)
Df Adesoji Ismaila: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.88 (no red card)
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.67 (no red card)
Mf Junho Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.08 (no red card)
Mf Antonio Muñoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.76 (no red card)
Fw Gustavo Pavon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.1 (no red card)
Fw Tomas Eriksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.05 (no red card)
Fw Julio Guidice: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.91 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 44.09 (no injury)
Sw Oberto Agustini: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.63 (no injury)
Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.48 (no injury)
Df Joseph Kameni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.56 (no injury)
Mf Sebastiaan Blind: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.54 (no injury)
Mf Samim Skov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.31 (no injury)
Mf Nikita Yakovenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.09 (no injury)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.71 (no injury)
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.72 (no injury)
Fw Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.37 (no injury)
Fw Gilbert Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.87 (no injury)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andres Ruiz: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 7.36 (no injury)
Sw Ciaran O'Connor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.26 (no injury)
Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.25 (no injury)
Df Ji-Hun Seung-gyu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.92 (no injury)
Df Adesoji Ismaila: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.02 (no injury)
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.37 (no injury)
Mf Junho Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.4 (no injury)
Mf Antonio Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.33 (no injury)
Fw Gustavo Pavon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.88 (no injury)
Fw Tomas Eriksson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.28 (no injury)
Fw Julio Guidice: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.36 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Sebastiaan Blind SL 14
- Defending Gk: Andres Ruiz SL 7
intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Gustavo Pavon SL 11
- Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 13
intRndPk = 23
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bristol City FC 15 9 23 29 43
Cardiff City FC 9 7 20 20 26
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 23 (43 - 20); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((29 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 26) / 3; rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 28
1: Attack for Mf Sebastiaan Blind
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Sebastiaan Blind
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Sebastiaan Blind
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Sebastiaan Blind
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 27.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Sebastiaan Blind
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Thomas Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Thomas Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 86.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 12.64 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 77.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Gilbert Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 92.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw Thomas Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Thomas Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 9.97 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Gilbert Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Thomas Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 47.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Thomas Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Cardiff City FC 9 7 20 20 26
Bristol City FC 15 9 23 29 43
Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 3 (26 - 23); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 29) / 2; rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 43) / 3; rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Fw Julio Guidice
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 39.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Gustavo Pavon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Tomas Eriksson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 61.96 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BRISTOL CITY FC 3 - CARDIFF CITY FC 0
Match Notes
Halpin's attacking instincts against a Cardiff side still deciding what they are. Should be instructive, if not entirely comfortable viewing.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/30 - 6:31 PM
Severnside Derby . Let there be blood
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 06/05 - 3:39 PM
This is an all-coach match.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 06/06 - 3:46 PM
We need a win here to boost our survival hopes.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 06/06 - 3:46 PM
Three nil and a clean sheet. Halpin's men were efficient today — Cardiff never really troubled the scoreboard, which tells you something about Wilkes finding his feet in this division.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/06 - 6:30 PM