(H)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CARLISLE UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Ethan Maddison 14 1 15 Gk Gregory Reyna 13 1 14
Sw Bradley Perry 12 2 14 Sw Ramires Jesus 13 0 13
Df Jason McDiarmid 10 0 10 Df Eirwyn Davey 13 0 13
Df Jaap De wit 10 0 10 Df Marco Sa 11 1 12
Df Joshua Partey 8 0 8 Df Nicola Panucci 5 2 7
Mf Minki Sung-yeung 10 1 11 Mf Aliyu Edet 13 0 13
Mf Jacques Mefire 8 0 8 Df Marco D'amato 8 1 9
Mf Gearoid O'Rourke 7 1 8 Mf Minato Morishima 5 2 7
Fw Bastien Troussier 13 0 13 Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 15 1 16
Fw Elias Mayer 11 2 13 Mf Jordan Pérez 9 1 10
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko 11 0 11 Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue 5 2 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 14 28 27 37 ROSTER TOTALS 14 13 41 30 23
1 1 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
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16 15 28 27 46 T O T A L S 14 13 48 30 23
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 80.37 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 6.93 (no red card)
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.09 (no red card)
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 11.47 (no red card)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 22.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 38.03 (no red card)
Df Joshua Partey: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.94 (no red card)
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 95.75 (no red card)
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 30.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 48.31 (no red card)
Mf Gearoid O'Rourke: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.35 (no red card)
Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 72.83 (no red card)
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 34.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 69.86 (no red card)
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 78.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 83.99 (no red card)
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.61 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.14 (no red card)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.94 (no red card)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.25 (no red card)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.87 (no red card)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.01 (no red card)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.61 (no red card)
Df Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.55 (no red card)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.53 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.99 (no red card)
Mf Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.67 (no red card)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.79 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 79.52 (no injury)
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.08 (no injury)
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 37.97 (no injury)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 88.76 (no injury)
Df Joshua Partey: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 3.46 (no injury)
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 34.93 (no injury)
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 42.23 (no injury)
Mf Gearoid O'Rourke: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 39.1 (no injury)
Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 35.0 (no injury)
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 41.79 (no injury)
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 69.23 (no injury)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 35.13 (no injury)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.47 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.1 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 34.06 (no injury)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 18.52 (no injury)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 34.48 (no injury)
Df Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.85 (no injury)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 40.82 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 28.92 (no injury)
Mf Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.11 (no injury)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 51.1 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Bastien Troussier SL 13
- Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 13
intRndPk = 36
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Emmanuel Krzynówek SL 15
- Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 20 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 34 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
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Brighton & Hove Albion 16 15 28 27 46
Carlisle United 14 13 48 30 23
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (46 - 48)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 2 ((28 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Df Joshua Partey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Jason McDiarmid
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 56.34 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 14 13 48 30 23
Brighton & Hove Albion 16 15 28 27 46
Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 28)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 1 ((30 - 27) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 1 ((48 - 46) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Df Marco Sa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Minato Morishima
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 43.53 (Shot Saved by Gk)
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F I N A L S C O R E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0 - CARLISLE UNITED 2
Match Notes
Home advantage might be enough to get as a Draw.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/13 - 3:59 PM
Yuck.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/17 - 10:40 PM
I think my response would have been somewhat stronger if I was in your shoes, Brian. That's the luckiest of lucky wins for us.
Dave (Carlisle United) 01/18 - 1:50 AM