(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Bristol City FC
Roger Mendonça
League Round 10
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S NOTTINGHAM FOREST BRISTOL CITY FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Charlie Cockayne 15 2 17 Gk Alberto Flores 15 2 17 Sw Édouard Gning 12 2 14 Sw Reece Gregory 16 2 18 Df Laurence Clarke 13 2 15 Df Marcus Bergman 13 2 15 Df Pathé Sané 14 2 16 Df Mario Rojas 12 2 14 Df Harley Mason 10 2 12 Df Luiz Correia 10 2 12 Mf Freddie Cockham 13 2 15 Mf Tyler Page 13 2 15 Mf Derek Holmes 10 2 12 Mf Steven Simons 12 2 14 Fw Kian Clarke 16 2 18 Fw Armand Songo'o 13 2 15 Fw Josh Watson 13 1 14 Fw Jørn Nielsen 12 2 14 Fw Ilija Caleta-Car 13 2 15 Fw John Jackson 12 2 14 Fw Jon Dahl Lund 11 2 13 Fw Domingo Crespo 10 2 12 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 14 43 27 60 ROSTER TOTALS 17 18 41 29 55 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 14 43 27 69 T O T A L S 18 18 41 29 55 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.43 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.03 (no red card) Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.02 (no red card) Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.33 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.92 (no second yellow) Df Pathé Sané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.27 (no red card) Df Harley Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.04 (no red card) Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.59 (no red card) Mf Derek Holmes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.7 (no red card) Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.9 (no red card) Fw Josh Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.78 (no red card) Fw Ilija Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.71 (no red card) Fw Jon Dahl Lund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.41 (no red card) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 30.48 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 36.26 (no red card) Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.12 (no red card) Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.15 (no red card) Df Mario Rojas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.12 (no red card) Df Luiz Correia: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.92 (no red card) Mf Tyler Page: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.46 (no red card) Mf Steven Simons: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.47 (no red card) Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.57 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.38 (no second yellow) Fw Jørn Nielsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.46 (no red card) Fw John Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.86 (no red card) Fw Domingo Crespo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.45 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 25.41 (no injury) Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.44 (no injury) Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.57 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Laurence Clarke is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Laurence Clarke new match skill level = 7 Laurence Clarke new match total level = 9 Df Pathé Sané: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.54 (no injury) Df Harley Mason: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.18 (no injury) Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.6 (no injury) Mf Derek Holmes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.97 (no injury) Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.85 (no injury) Fw Josh Watson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.78 (no injury) Fw Ilija Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.72 (no injury) Fw Jon Dahl Lund: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.82 (no injury) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1 - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 32.04 (no injury) Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.96 (no injury) Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.28 (no injury) Df Mario Rojas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.07 (no injury) Df Luiz Correia: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.03 (no injury) Mf Tyler Page: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.69 (no injury) Mf Steven Simons: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.9 (no injury) Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.59 (no injury) Fw Jørn Nielsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.38 (no injury) Fw John Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.18 (no injury) Fw Domingo Crespo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.61 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Kian Clarke SL 16 - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 15 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Marcus Bergman SL 13 - Defending Gk: Charlie Cockayne SL 15 intRndPk = 55 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Nottingham Forest 17 14 37 27 69 Bristol City FC 18 18 41 29 55 Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 28 (69 - 41); result rounded up Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 29) / 2; rounded up) Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 55) / 3; rounded up) Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 28 1: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 42.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Ilija Caleta-Car Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 9.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 13.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Ilija Caleta-Car Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Ilija Caleta-Car Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Ilija Caleta-Car Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 1.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Ilija Caleta-Car Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 66.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 24: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 24.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 25: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Ilija Caleta-Car Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 33.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Bristol City FC 18 18 41 29 55 Nottingham Forest 17 14 37 27 69 Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 18 (55 - 37); result rounded up Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((29 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 69) / 3; rounded up) Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 19 1: Attack for Mf Steven Simons Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 86.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 54.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw John Jackson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 21.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw John Jackson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw John Jackson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 95.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Fw Domingo Crespo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 36.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 47.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw John Jackson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Domingo Crespo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 53.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 52.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw John Jackson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 61.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1 - BRISTOL CITY FC 2
Match Notes
Might need help from Olmec here…
Roger (Bristol City FC) 02/24 - 9:43 PM
It's us, Roger, help is guaranteed.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 03/02 - 6:36 PM
See?
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 03/02 - 7:44 PM
Yes. Yes I do. Terrible performance from your SW.
Best of luck for the rest of the season
Best of luck for the rest of the season
Roger (Bristol City FC) 03/02 - 9:33 PM