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Sunday, February 15th, 2026 - 01:48:22 AM (gmt)
 
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Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jonathan Kome          16    2   18     Gk Samir Bouaziz          16    2   18
Sw Thiago Boniek          16    2   18     Df Nazariy Kozak          10    2   12
Df Mbaye Dieng            13    2   15     Df Javi Flores            14    2   16
Df Martin Persson         13    2   15     Df Cássio Alisson         14    2   16
Df Nicomedes Martino      11   -1   10     Df Rodrygo Paulinho       10    1   11
Df Jean Courtial           9    1   10     Mf Imed Ahmed             13    2   15
Mf Taha Tagnaouti         10    2   12     Mf Damian Nabbout         11    2   13
Mf Kaue de Santos         10    2   12     Mf Luis Jarquin            7    2    9
Fw Keiron Chamberlain     13    2   15     Fw Roberto Bonano         16    2   18
Fw Atef Omar              13   -2   11     Mf Gregorio Caballero      9    2   11
Fw Paul Dumont            14    2   16     Fw Amadou Wagué           10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 50 24 42        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 55 48 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 18 50 24 51         T O T A L S       19  0 55 48 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.61 (no red card)

Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.07 (no red card)

Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.15 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.16 (no red card)

Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.68 (no red card)

Df Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.87 (no red card)

Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.82 (no red card)

Mf Kaue de Santos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.78 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.35 (no second yellow)

Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.96 (no red card)

Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.12 (no red card)

Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.11 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 32.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 84.51 (no red card)

Df Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.74 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.01 (no second yellow)

Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.66 (no red card)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.31 (no red card)

Df Rodrygo Paulinho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.95 (no red card)

Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.02 (no red card)

Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.81 (no red card)

Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.96 (no red card)

Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.9 (no red card)

Mf Gregorio Caballero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.17 (no red card)

Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.49 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 23.46 (no injury) 
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.12 (no injury) 
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.65 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.46 (no injury) 
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.84 (no injury) 
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.89 (no injury) 
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.24 (no injury) 
Mf Kaue de Santos: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.84 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Kaue de Santos is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Kaue de Santos new match skill level =  5
      Kaue de Santos new match total level =  7
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.76 (no injury) 
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.48 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.35 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 87.62 (no injury) 
Df Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.7 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Nazariy Kozak is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Nazariy Kozak new match skill level =  5
      Nazariy Kozak new match total level =  7
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.37 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.9 (no injury) 
Df Rodrygo Paulinho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.79 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Rodrygo Paulinho is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Rodrygo Paulinho new match skill level =  5
      Rodrygo Paulinho new match total level =  6
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.67 (no injury) 
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.94 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.4 (no injury) 
Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.84 (no injury) 
Mf Gregorio Caballero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.95 (no injury) 
Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.56 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Paul Dumont SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 22 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Roberto Bonano SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Jonathan Kome SL 16

     intRndPk = 100
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        18  18  50  19  51
  Lewes FC                 19   0  45  48  30

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 3 (51 - 45) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 48) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 7 ((50 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Jean Courtial
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Martin Persson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Nicomedes Martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 42.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Nicomedes Martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Nicomedes Martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 94.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Nicomedes Martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 99.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Df Martin Persson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 92.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 19   0  45  48  30
  Nottingham Forest        18  18  50  19  51

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 50)
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 15 ((48 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 51) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Mf Imed Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Luis Jarquin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Imed Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 95.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Imed Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Imed Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Luis Jarquin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 59.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Imed Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Imed Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 4  -  LEWES FC 1
 
Match Notes
Big 3 points up for grabs here
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/14 - 3:10 PM
Samir used all of his saves in the Bristol match….thought we had enough for a draw here
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/14 - 6:31 PM
You did but Olmec had other ideas.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/14 - 7:43 PM
 
 
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