(H)
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
Southend United
Colin Scott
League Round 10
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRISTOL CITY FC SOUTHEND UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Eugene Vasilev 13 2 15 Gk Yassine Amara 16 2 18
Sw Atsushi Oshima 15 1 16 Sw Bastien Rami 9 2 11
Df Willy Cerfbeer 13 1 14 Df Johan Teulet 11 2 13
Df Yahya Cheddira 11 1 12 Df Eric Kompany 9 2 11
Mf Isaac Juhlin 14 2 16 Df Alain Teulet 9 2 11
Mf Valentin Gavranovic 8 2 10 Df Aymen Mansour 7 1 8
Fw José Oliveira 14 2 16 Df Mario Egli 6 2 8
Fw Julius Nwosu 13 1 14 Mf Nuno Miguel Vara 9 2 11
Fw Faber Hernandez 11 1 12 Mf Quentin Meunier 8 2 10
Fw Ulf Helander 10 2 12 Fw Jamie Behich 10 2 12
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car 8 2 10 Fw Franco Almada 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 16 26 26 64 ROSTER TOTALS 18 11 51 21 21
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
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15 16 26 26 73 T O T A L S 19 14 55 21 21
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.67 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.72 (no red card)
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.22 (no red card)
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.41 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.33 (no second yellow)
Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.83 (no red card)
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.18 (no red card)
Mf Valentin Gavranovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.94 (no red card)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.67 (no red card)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.05 (no red card)
Fw Faber Hernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.19 (no red card)
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.67 (no red card)
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.71 (no red card)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 63.48 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 68.15 (no red card)
Sw Bastien Rami: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.16 (no red card)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.53 (no red card)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.85 (no red card)
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.1 (no red card)
Df Aymen Mansour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.97 (no red card)
Df Mario Egli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.15 (no red card)
Mf Nuno Miguel Vara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.47 (no red card)
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.31 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.51 (no red card)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.54 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 10.38 (no injury)
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.51 (no injury)
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.61 (no injury)
Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.63 (no injury)
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.77 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Isaac Juhlin is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Isaac Juhlin new match skill level = 7
Isaac Juhlin new match total level = 9
Mf Valentin Gavranovic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.77 (no injury)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.48 (no injury)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.26 (no injury)
Fw Faber Hernandez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.71 (no injury)
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.17 (no injury)
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.24 (no injury)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 61.1 (no injury)
Sw Bastien Rami: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.59 (no injury)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.61 (no injury)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.07 (no injury)
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.24 (no injury)
Df Aymen Mansour: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.43 (no injury)
Df Mario Egli: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.58 (no injury)
Mf Nuno Miguel Vara: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.29 (no injury)
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.46 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.13 (no injury)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.9 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: José Oliveira SL 14
- Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Johan Teulet SL 11
- Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 13
intRndPk = 35
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bristol City FC 15 16 26 19 73
Southend United 19 14 55 21 21
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 18 (73 - 55); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 21) / 2; rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 2 ((26 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 20
1: Attack for Df Willy Cerfbeer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 6.1 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Willy Cerfbeer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 44.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 33.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Faber Hernandez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 91.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 49.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Faber Hernandez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 77.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 38.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Faber Hernandez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 41.47 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 19 14 55 21 21
Bristol City FC 15 16 26 19 73
Southend United is Playing For A Draw!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 26)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 1 ((21 - 19) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((55 - 73) / 3; rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Mf Quentin Meunier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BRISTOL CITY FC 1 - SOUTHEND UNITED 0
Match Notes
We need to win our home games if we're going to avoid the drop.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 02/14 - 1:55 PM