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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           CHESTERFIELD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk João Azevedo           15    1   16     Gk Luke Blair             16    2   18
Df Paulo Dominguez        14    2   16     Sw Youssef Bennani        12    1   13
Df Ryan Bunyan            11    2   13     Df Ruairidh Thomson       13    0   13
Df Sean Russell           10    2   12     Df William Ryan           13    0   13
Df Tony Ford               7    1    8     Df Sam Wood                8    2   10
Mf Jack Kerr              13    0   13     Mf Marcos Castro          16    0   16
Mf Simon Watkins          10    2   12     Mf Danny Cleverley         9    1   10
Mf Christopher Sinclair    6    0    6     Mf Connor Patel            8    2   10
Mf Roberto Arias           6    2    8     Fw Andres Gimenez         11    0   11
Fw Alexander Öberg        16    2   18     Fw Kai Whyte               8    2   10
Fw Pontus Lundgren        15    2   17     Fw Aaron Moore             8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 49 39 35        ROSTER TOTALS      18 13 36 36 31    
       2  0  1  1  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  2  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 53 42 37         T O T A L S       18 13 36 36 31    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk João Azevedo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 49.63 (no red card)

Df Paulo Dominguez: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 45.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 5.9 (no red card)

Df Ryan Bunyan: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 37.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 52.44 (no red card)

Df Sean Russell: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 30.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 40.46 (no red card)

Df Tony Ford: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 68.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 94.11 (no red card)

Mf Jack Kerr: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 95.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 26.5 (no red card)

Mf Simon Watkins: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 86.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 44.72 (no red card)

Mf Christopher Sinclair: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 76.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 34.54 (no red card)

Mf Roberto Arias: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 73.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 63.47 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Öberg: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 89.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 6.66 (no red card)

Fw Pontus Lundgren: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 9.33 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 98.21 (no second yellow)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Luke Blair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.66 (no red card)

Sw Youssef Bennani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.75 (no red card)

Df Ruairidh Thomson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.1 (no red card)

Df William Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.08 (no red card)

Df Sam Wood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.68 (no red card)

Mf Marcos Castro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.87 (no red card)

Mf Danny Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.2 (no red card)

Mf Connor Patel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.79 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.12 (no second yellow)

Fw Andres Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.29 (no red card)

Fw Kai Whyte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.79 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.98 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 4
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk João Azevedo: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 36.98 (no injury) 
Df Paulo Dominguez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.87 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Bunyan: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.78 (no injury) 
Df Sean Russell: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 93.6 (no injury) 
Df Tony Ford: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 43.46 (no injury) 
Mf Jack Kerr: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 1.19 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Jack Kerr is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jack Kerr new match skill level =  7
      Jack Kerr new match total level =  7
Mf Simon Watkins: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 36.31 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher Sinclair: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 91.67 (no injury) 
Mf Roberto Arias: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 84.44 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Öberg: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 16.41 (no injury) 
Fw Pontus Lundgren: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 4.96 (no injury) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Luke Blair: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.79 (no injury) 
Sw Youssef Bennani: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 3.42 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Youssef Bennani is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Youssef Bennani new match skill level =  6
      Youssef Bennani new match total level =  7
Df Ruairidh Thomson: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 83.4 (no injury) 
Df William Ryan: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 59.54 (no injury) 
Df Sam Wood: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 76.48 (no injury) 
Mf Marcos Castro: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 94.57 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Cleverley: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 83.57 (no injury) 
Mf Connor Patel: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 59.59 (no injury) 
Fw Andres Gimenez: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 23.71 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Whyte: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 90.21 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Moore: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 47.27 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alexander Öberg SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Luke Blair SL 16

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Marcos Castro SL 16
   - Defending Gk: João Azevedo SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 96 (pk blocked)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         18   0  53  36  37
  Chesterfield FC          18   7  36  36  31

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 1 (37 - 36); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 5 ((53 - 31) / 5); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Paulo Dominguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Sean Russell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Ryan Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Tony Ford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Ryan Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Alexander Öberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          18   7  36  36  31
  Swansea City AFC         18   0  53  36  37

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 53)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 0  -  CHESTERFIELD FC 0
 
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