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Saturday, June 3rd, 2023 - 12:11:10 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 44 // Landing
 
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Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC                        WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Giles Kelly            16    2   18     Gk Ryan Cockayne          16    2   18
Sw Frank Barnes           14    2   16     Df Daniel Ramírez         10    2   12
Df Rian Mahoney           13    2   15     Df Ronald Smith           10    2   12
Df Jared Melendez         12    2   14     Mf Andrew James           10    2   12
Mf Gabriel Watson         13    1   14     Mf João Alves             10   -2    8
Mf Giuseppe Conti         10    2   12     Mf Luiz Santos             8    2   10
Mf Mason McDermott         7    2    9     Mf Isaac Eton-Hogg        11    2   13
Fw Christopher Milner     13    2   15     Mf Trevor Barmby           7    2    9
Fw Cameron Ferdinand      12    2   14     Fw Mael Mayer              9    2   11
Fw Domingo  Madrigal       9    2   11     Fw Domingo Crespo          8    2   10
Fw Robert Wood             9    2   11     Fw Robert Fawlty           7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 16 29 35 51        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 24 52 30    
       0  0  0  0  3          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 16 29 35 63         T O T A L S       19  0 24 52 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Giles Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.09 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.9 (no second yellow)

Sw Frank Barnes: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 59.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 96.28 (no red card)

Df Rian Mahoney: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 22.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 73.39 (no red card)

Df Jared Melendez: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 6.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.87% | Random number = 2.16 (no second yellow)

Mf Gabriel Watson: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 14.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 45.4 (no red card)

Mf Giuseppe Conti: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 86.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 18.08 (no red card)

Mf Mason McDermott: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 36.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 67.46 (no red card)

Fw Christopher Milner: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 22.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 38.1 (no red card)

Fw Cameron Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 66.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 39.54 (no red card)

Fw Domingo  Madrigal: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 29.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 60.71 (no red card)

Fw Robert Wood: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 69.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 18.36 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ryan Cockayne: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 12.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 97.46 (no red card)

Df Daniel Ramírez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 67.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 61.29 (no red card)

Df Ronald Smith: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 14.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 95.86 (no red card)

Mf Andrew James: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 85.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 3.65 (no red card)

Mf João Alves: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 85.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 82.46 (no red card)

Mf Luiz Santos: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 69.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 4.95 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Eton-Hogg: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 51.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 44.8 (no red card)

Mf Trevor Barmby: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 45.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 83.66 (no red card)

Fw Mael Mayer: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 3.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 63.38 (no second yellow)

Fw Domingo Crespo: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 42.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 31.42 (no red card)

Fw Robert Fawlty: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 40.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 76.37 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Giles Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 8.48 (no injury) 
Sw Frank Barnes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.19 (no injury) 
Df Rian Mahoney: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.75 (no injury) 
Df Jared Melendez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.54 (no injury) 
Mf Gabriel Watson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.9 (no injury) 
Mf Giuseppe Conti: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 18.77 (no injury) 
Mf Mason McDermott: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.58 (no injury) 
Fw Christopher Milner: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.99 (no injury) 
Fw Cameron Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 13.41 (no injury) 
Fw Domingo  Madrigal: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 84.12 (no injury) 
Fw Robert Wood: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.34 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Ryan Cockayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.2 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Ryan Cockayne is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Daniel Ramírez: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 61.54 (no injury) 
Df Ronald Smith: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 26.65 (no injury) 
Mf Andrew James: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 85.47 (no injury) 
Mf João Alves: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 11.72 (no injury) 
Mf Luiz Santos: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 92.4 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Eton-Hogg: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 33.1 (no injury) 
Mf Trevor Barmby: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 91.6 (no injury) 
Fw Mael Mayer: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 70.57 (no injury) 
Fw Domingo Crespo: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 93.73 (no injury) 
Fw Robert Fawlty: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 37.77 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Rian Mahoney SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Cockayne SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Isaac Eton-Hogg SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Giles Kelly SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      18  16  29  35  63
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    19   0  24  52  30

Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 20 (63 - 24) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 52) / 2;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Fw Domingo  Madrigal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 74.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Robert Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 48.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Christopher Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 81.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Domingo  Madrigal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 93.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Christopher Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Cameron Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 14.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Domingo  Madrigal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Robert Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 61.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Cameron Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 12.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Robert Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 50.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Christopher Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Cameron Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Christopher Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 6.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Christopher Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 60.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Christopher Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 79.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Christopher Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Cameron Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Robert Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 76.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Cameron Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 36.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Robert Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    19   0  24  52  30
  Northampton Town FC      18  16  29  35  63

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 1 (30 - 29); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 9 ((52 - 35) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 63) / 5;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Isaac Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Andrew James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Isaac Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 27.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Andrew James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 1.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Isaac Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Isaac Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Trevor Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Andrew James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Trevor Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Robert Fawlty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 1  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
 
Match Notes
We don´t feel very confident about getting a result here. So that is another two league losses this session!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/10 - 8:20 PM
down to the relegation zone!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/10 - 8:20 PM
Do we dare to dream
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 05/13 - 6:34 PM
Phew closer than we wanted
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 05/13 - 6:35 PM
 
 
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