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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Marcos Cruz            15    2   17     Gk Valentin Lugn          17    2   19
Sw Nazariy Kozak          15    2   17     Sw Tjoris Dumfried        15    2   17
Df Shay Given             13    1   14     Df Hayden Goodwin         15    2   17
Df Marco Sibaja           10    1   11     Df Miguel Torres          10    2   12
Df André Bukari           10    2   12     Df Oribe Vega              8    2   10
Mf Luis Jarquin           11    2   13     Mf Didier Mendy           12    0   12
Mf Faber Ruiz             10    1   11     Mf Angus McKay            13   -1   12
Fw Jean Diouf             13    2   15     Fw Eduardo Luna           15    2   17
Fw Ichiro Sakai           13    2   15     Fw Šime Sucic             10    2   12
Fw Justice Shorunmu       14    1   15     Fw Geovanny Arley          8    2   10
Fw Juan Carlos Parra       9    2   11     Fw Sebastian Murillo       8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 17 37 24 56        ROSTER TOTALS      19 17 39 24 49    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 17 37 24 65         T O T A L S       19 17 39 24 49    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 38.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 1.99 (no red card)

Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.24 (no red card)

Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.96 (no red card)

Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.0 (no red card)

Df André Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.05 (no red card)

Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.7 (no red card)

Mf Faber Ruiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.2 (no red card)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.52 (no red card)

Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.64 (no red card)

Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.08 (no red card)

Fw Juan Carlos Parra: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.55 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.94 (no red card)

Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.33 (no red card)

Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.2 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.89 (no second yellow)

Df Miguel Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.97 (no red card)

Df Oribe Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.35 (no red card)

Mf Didier Mendy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.68 (no red card)

Mf Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.48 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.93 (no red card)

Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.88 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.66 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Murillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.73 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 0.54 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Marcos Cruz is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Marcos Cruz new match skill level =  8
      Marcos Cruz new match total level =  10
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.25 (no injury) 
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.84 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.42 (no injury) 
Df André Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.29 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.15 (no injury) 
Mf Faber Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.31 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.71 (no injury) 
Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.6 (no injury) 
Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.24 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Carlos Parra: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.38 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 80.06 (no injury) 
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.37 (no injury) 
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.15 (no injury) 
Df Miguel Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.15 (no injury) 
Df Oribe Vega: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.42 (no injury) 
Mf Didier Mendy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.12 (no injury) 
Mf Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.0 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.73 (no injury) 
Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.56 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.32 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Murillo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.92 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Justice Shorunmu SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17

     intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 13  17  37  24  65
  Preston North End FC     19  17  39  24  49

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 26 (65 - 39); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 46.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 37.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 76.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 22.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 49.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 11.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     19  17  39  24  49
  Lewes FC                 13  17  37  24  65

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 12 (49 - 37); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Fw Sebastian Murillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Sebastian Murillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 14.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 60.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Sebastian Murillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 29.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 0  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 0
 
Match Notes
Has Dave been saving GPPs for this?
Allan (Brentford FC) 01/25 - 1:36 AM
These two managers do not like each other!
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/01 - 6:38 PM
 
 
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