(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
League Round 10
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD CREWE ALEXANDRA FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Mads Frost 15 2 17 Gk Per Holmdahl 13 2 15
Sw Saul Aquino 10 1 11 Sw Tommy McGree 8 1 9
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 14 1 15 Df Jack Nabbout 13 2 15
Df Shoichi Morita 10 2 12 Df Festus Abubakar 12 2 14
Df Oskar Qvist 7 2 9 Df Edwin O'Doherty 12 2 14
Mf Kevin Castex 16 2 18 Mf Óscar Cota 12 2 14
Mf Oliwer Säfström 7 2 9 Mf Mario Pletikosa 12 2 14
Fw Valerio Paredes 15 -1 14 Mf Ivan Jackson 8 2 10
Fw Djonno De boer 14 1 15 Fw Gonzalo Lopez 14 0 14
Fw Takao Soma 13 1 14 Fw Bassem Mkademi 13 2 15
Fw Juliano Ganso 11 2 13 Fw Zvonimir Bradaric 15 2 17
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 11 36 27 56 ROSTER TOTALS 15 9 43 38 46
0 0 0 0 1 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 11 36 27 66 T O T A L S 15 9 43 38 46
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.0 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.14 (no red card)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.6 (no red card)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.13 (no red card)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.63 (no red card)
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.3 (no red card)
Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.56 (no red card)
Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.73 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.78 (no red card)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.92 (no red card)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.25 (no red card)
Fw Juliano Ganso: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.39 (no red card)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.03 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.44 (no red card)
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.19 (no red card)
Df Jack Nabbout: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.04 (no red card)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.06 (no red card)
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.29 (no red card)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.71 (no red card)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.22 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.67 (no second yellow)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.59 (no red card)
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.19 (no red card)
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.16 (no red card)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.04 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 60.38 (no injury)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.33 (no injury)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.12 (no injury)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.32 (no injury)
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.33 (no injury)
Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.72 (no injury)
Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.71 (no injury)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.5 (no injury)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.51 (no injury)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.79 (no injury)
Fw Juliano Ganso: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.87 (no injury)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 29.36 (no injury)
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.22 (no injury)
Df Jack Nabbout: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.87 (no injury)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.13 (no injury)
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.72 (no injury)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.75 (no injury)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.02 (no injury)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.49 (no injury)
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.54 (no injury)
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.88 (no injury)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.35 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Kevin Castex SL 16
- Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 13
intRndPk = 42
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Zvonimir Bradaric SL 15
- Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 17 11 36 27 66
Crewe Alexandra FC 15 9 43 38 46
Watford Fw Attacks = 23 (66 - 43); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 38) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 46) / 3; rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 23
1: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 3.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 29.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Juliano Ganso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 4.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 81.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Juliano Ganso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 26.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Juliano Ganso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 75.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Juliano Ganso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 23.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 73.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 26.59 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Juliano Ganso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Juliano Ganso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
23: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 15 9 43 38 46
Watford 17 11 36 27 66
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 10 (46 - 36); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((38 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 66) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 16
1: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 80.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 9.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 54.13 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 84.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
14: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 2 - CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2
Match Notes
We can’t get a win at Vicarage Road
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/08 - 9:11 AM
Still can’t get that elusive win but that’s a great away point
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/15 - 10:09 AM