(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
League Round 10
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED CARDIFF CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Dani Cassio 14 2 16 Gk Andres Ruiz 8 2 10
Sw Philippe Manago 13 0 13 Sw Lewis Kane 11 2 13
Df Marco Sa 13 -1 12 Df Nick Jacobs 10 2 12
Df Eirwyn Davey 11 1 12 Df Ji-Hun Seung-gyu 3 2 5
Mf Minato Morishima 13 2 15 Mf Russell Baccus 10 1 11
Mf Brian Murray 10 2 12 Mf Tim Murphy 9 2 11
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue 14 1 15 Mf Ricardo Salcedo 8 2 10
Fw Jordan Pérez 15 0 15 Mf Antonio Muñoz 3 1 4
Fw Yannick Vanaken 12 1 13 Fw Leonardo Alonso 13 1 14
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 11 1 12 Fw Edson Blanco 12 1 13
Fw Javier Gimenez 7 2 9 Fw Eddy Perez 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
16 13 24 27 64 ROSTER TOTALS 10 13 17 36 36
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
16 13 33 27 64 T O T A L S 10 13 17 36 36
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.71 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.33 (no red card)
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.58 (no red card)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.41 (no red card)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.08 (no red card)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.57 (no red card)
Mf Brian Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.87 (no red card)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.06 (no red card)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.89 (no red card)
Fw Yannick Vanaken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.34 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.26 (no red card)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.88 (no red card)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Andres Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.11 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.26 (no red card)
Sw Lewis Kane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.85 (no red card)
Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.06 (no red card)
Df Ji-Hun Seung-gyu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.22 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.01 (no second yellow)
Mf Russell Baccus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.92 (no red card)
Mf Tim Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.76 (no red card)
Mf Ricardo Salcedo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.51 (no red card)
Mf Antonio Muñoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.64 (no red card)
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.56 (no red card)
Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.48 (no red card)
Fw Eddy Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.4 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 51.31 (no injury)
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.87 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.27 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.08 (no injury)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.05 (no injury)
Mf Brian Murray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.03 (no injury)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.9 (no injury)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.66 (no injury)
Fw Yannick Vanaken: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.28 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.22 (no injury)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.81 (no injury)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andres Ruiz: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 90.66 (no injury)
Sw Lewis Kane: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.09 (no injury)
Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.24 (no injury)
Df Ji-Hun Seung-gyu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.42 (no injury)
Mf Russell Baccus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.54 (no injury)
Mf Tim Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.54 (no injury)
Mf Ricardo Salcedo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.4 (no injury)
Mf Antonio Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.91 (no injury)
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.66 (no injury)
Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.78 (no injury)
Fw Eddy Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.92 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jordan Pérez SL 15
- Defending Gk: Andres Ruiz SL 8
intRndPk = 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Leonardo Alonso SL 13
- Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 14
intRndPk = 60
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 16 13 33 27 64
Cardiff City FC 10 13 17 36 36
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 47 (64 - 17); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 36) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 36) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 47
1: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 23.78 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 83.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 43.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 67.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 12.4 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 45.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
29: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
30: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 65.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
33: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
34: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
35: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
36: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 95.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
37: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
38: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
39: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
40: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 42.13 (Shot Saved by Gk)
41: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
42: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
43: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 25.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
44: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
45: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 46.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
46: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 94.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
47: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Cardiff City FC 10 13 17 36 36
Carlisle United 16 13 33 27 64
Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 3 (36 - 33); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((36 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((17 - 64) / 3; rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Mf Tim Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Tim Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Ricardo Salcedo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Tim Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Russell Baccus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Eddy Perez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 23.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 45.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 5 - CARDIFF CITY FC 0
Match Notes
Cardiff travelling from the Cotswolds to Carlisle is quite the commute for a team still deciding what they actually are. Wilkes has the bounce-back rhetoric — the question is whether the legs agree.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/10 - 6:30 PM
This will be tough
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 06/13 - 6:09 AM