(H)

Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral

Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S LINCOLN CITY FC LEWES FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Finn Lehmann 15 2 17 Gk Owen O'Neill 16 2 18 Sw Bryan Wilkins 15 2 17 Sw Agostino Moretti 13 2 15 Df Ruairi Nolan 13 -1 12 Df Lucas Harvey 13 2 15 Df Jason Austin 11 2 13 Df Robert Walsh 13 2 15 Df Dylan Evans 10 2 12 Fw Simone Giordano 11 2 13 Mf Barry Cooper 16 1 17 Mf Ryan Smith 11 2 13 Mf Lucas Lee 12 1 13 Mf Patrick Parslow 9 2 11 Mf Darragh Mahoney 11 2 13 Fw Giles Mitchell 16 2 18 Mf Mustapha Kettani 8 2 10 Fw Paul Benoist 14 2 16 Fw Tony Khan 12 0 12 Fw H?lder Gouveia 13 2 15 Fw Linus Frings 11 2 13 Fw Taylor Stevenson 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 17 37 53 25 ROSTER TOTALS 18 15 30 24 72 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 17 37 62 25 T O T A L S 19 15 30 24 72 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Finn Lehmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.31 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.72 (no red card) Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.92 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.59 (no red card) Df Ruairi Nolan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.2 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.4 (no red card) Df Jason Austin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.45 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.72 (no red card) Df Dylan Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.19 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.81 (no second yellow) Mf Barry Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.01 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.5 (no red card) Mf Lucas Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.05 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.44 (no second yellow) Mf Darragh Mahoney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.08 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.39 (no red card) Mf Mustapha Kettani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.79 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.48 (no red card) Fw Tony Khan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.65 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.9 (no red card) Fw Linus Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.0 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.38 (no red card) ******* LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Owen O'Neill: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 8.75 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 64.73 (no red card) Sw Agostino Moretti: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 14.71 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 95.74 (no red card) Df Lucas Harvey: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 28.43 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 61.58 (no red card) Df Robert Walsh: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 23.44 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 16.97 (no red card) Fw Simone Giordano: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 65.69 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 8.47 (no red card) Mf Ryan Smith: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 19.18 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 95.79 (no red card) Mf Patrick Parslow: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 87.51 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 4.26 (no red card) Fw Giles Mitchell: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 53.5 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 15.82 (no red card) Fw Paul Benoist: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 76.66 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 61.68 (no red card) Fw H?lder Gouveia: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 40.79 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 91.9 (no red card) Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 94.33 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 58.95 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0 - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Finn Lehmann: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 69.65 (no injury) Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.87 (no injury) Df Ruairi Nolan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.34 (no injury) Df Jason Austin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.85 (no injury) Df Dylan Evans: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.61 (no injury) Mf Barry Cooper: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.21 (no injury) Mf Lucas Lee: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.98 (no injury) Mf Darragh Mahoney: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.46 (no injury) Mf Mustapha Kettani: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.34 (no injury) Fw Tony Khan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.65 (no injury) Fw Linus Frings: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.49 (no injury) ******* LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1 - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Owen O'Neill: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 27.87 (no injury) Sw Agostino Moretti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.2 (no injury) Df Lucas Harvey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.2 (no injury) Df Robert Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.93 (no injury) Fw Simone Giordano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.73 (no injury) Mf Ryan Smith: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.75 (no injury) Mf Patrick Parslow: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.25 (no injury) Fw Giles Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.07 (no injury) Fw Paul Benoist: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.9 (no injury) Fw H?lder Gouveia: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.48 (no injury) Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.03 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Barry Cooper SL 16 - Defending Gk: Owen O'Neill SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick) ******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Giles Mitchell SL 16 - Defending Gk: Finn Lehmann SL 15 intRndPk = 96 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Lincoln City FC 17 17 37 62 25 Lewes FC 19 15 30 24 72 Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 30) Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 19 ((62 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 72) / 3; rounded up) Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 19 1: Attack for Mf Darragh Mahoney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Barry Cooper Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 84.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Mf Lucas Lee Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 66.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Darragh Mahoney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 57.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Barry Cooper Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Mf Barry Cooper Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Mf Darragh Mahoney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Mf Darragh Mahoney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 70.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Mf Lucas Lee Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 70.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Mf Barry Cooper Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Mf Mustapha Kettani Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 99.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 12: Attack for Mf Darragh Mahoney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Mf Barry Cooper Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Mf Barry Cooper Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Mf Barry Cooper Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 33.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Mf Barry Cooper Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Mf Lucas Lee Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Mf Lucas Lee Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Mf Barry Cooper Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) ******* LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Lewes FC 19 15 30 24 72 Lincoln City FC 17 17 37 62 25 Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 35 (72 - 37); result rounded up Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 62) / 2; rounded up) Lewes FC Df Attacks = 2 ((30 - 25) / 3); result rounded up Lewes FC Total Attacks = 37 1: Attack for Df Lucas Harvey Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Robert Walsh Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Paul Benoist Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Paul Benoist Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Paul Benoist Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Paul Benoist Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Giles Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw H?lder Gouveia Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Giles Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Giles Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw H?lder Gouveia Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 73.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Paul Benoist Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Simone Giordano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 1.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Giles Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Giles Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Simone Giordano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Simone Giordano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Paul Benoist Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 57.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Paul Benoist Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Giles Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw H?lder Gouveia Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Simone Giordano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw H?lder Gouveia Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Paul Benoist Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Simone Giordano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 82.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 27: Attack for Fw H?lder Gouveia Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Giles Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Giles Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw H?lder Gouveia Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 57.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 31: Attack for Fw Simone Giordano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Paul Benoist Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 77.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 33: Attack for Fw Simone Giordano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 34: Attack for Fw Paul Benoist Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 58.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 35: Attack for Fw Paul Benoist Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 36: Attack for Fw H?lder Gouveia Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 37: Attack for Fw Paul Benoist Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E LINCOLN CITY FC 2 - LEWES FC 1
Match Notes

I saw this one on the schedule and was like...what is Lewes doing here in D2!?
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 05/20 - 5:17 PM

Spotless season for LEW in league? We think not.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 05/20 - 5:23 PM


Crucial win for Lincoln here, keeps alive the possibility Dave will win the league by fewer than 10 points.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 05/20 - 6:13 PM

Disappointed, but congrats Cball
Dave (Lewes FC) 05/20 - 6:25 PM