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Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON TOWN FC                            DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Bo Norlén               9    2   11     Gk Muhammed Asamoah       11    0   11
Df Hajime Tanaka          12    0   12     Df Johnny Müller          14    0   14
Df Yahaya Etim            11    0   11     Df Kwadwo Danlad          14    0   14
Df Secundino López        11    1   12     Mf Cédric Kenne           14    1   15
Mf Gustavo Moreno         13    0   13     Mf Muziano Doni           11    1   12
Mf Fernando Militao       11    0   11     Mf Henry Rowles           11    1   12
Mf Cameron Gates          10    1   11     Mf Krystian Sobolewski    10    1   11
Fw Conway Roberts         14    0   14     Mf Ezequiel Araujo         9    2   11
Fw Valeriy Yastenko       11    0   11     Mf Enoch Gyan              8    1    9
Fw Maxi Olivera           10    2   12     Fw Sadou Moussa           14    0   14
Fw Francois Abdou          7    2    9     Fw Stefan Ake              9    1   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  0 35 35 46        ROSTER TOTALS      11  0 28 70 24    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  0 35 35 55         T O T A L S       11  0 28 72 24    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.44 (no red card)

Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.3 (no red card)

Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.21 (no red card)

Df Secundino López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.29 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.42 (no second yellow)

Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.52 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.75 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.13 (no red card)

Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.48 (no red card)

Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.69 (no red card)

Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.22 (no red card)

Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.35 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.82 (no red card)

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 95.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.06 (no red card)

Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 46.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.84 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 42.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.0 (no red card)

Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 7.77 (no red card)

Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.41 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 17.85 (no second yellow)

Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 35.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 32.9 (no red card)

Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 66.05 (no red card)

Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 14.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 73.41 (no red card)

Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.35 (no red card)

Fw Stefan Ake: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 71.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.44 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 56.49 (no injury) 
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.58 (no injury) 
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 38.41 (no injury) 
Df Secundino López: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.48 (no injury) 
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.78 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.6 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 3.43 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Cameron Gates loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Cameron Gates new match skill level =  5
      Cameron Gates new match total level =  6
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 33.02 (no injury) 
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 77.29 (no injury) 
Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 9.19 (no injury) 
Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.38 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 32.22 (no injury) 
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 58.29 (no injury) 
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.88 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 74.72 (no injury) 
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 36.9 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 56.12 (no injury) 
Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 26.37 (no injury) 
Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 87.84 (no injury) 
Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 47.14 (no injury) 
Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 51.33 (no injury) 
Fw Stefan Ake: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 80.5 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Conway Roberts SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Muhammed Asamoah SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 86 (pk blocked)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Johnny Müller SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Bo Norlén SL 9

     intRndPk = 69
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          11   0  35  30  55
  Derby County             11   0  28  72  24

Derby County is using Offside Trap!
Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 14 (55 - 28) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 72) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((35 - 24) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Df Yahaya Etim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 75.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Hajime Tanaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 65.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Yahaya Etim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 92.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 66.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 16.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 91.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 90.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 56 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 51 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             11   0  28  72  24
  Swindon Town FC          11   0  35  30  55

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 35)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 21 ((72 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 55) / 5;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 97.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 23.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 98.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Enoch Gyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Enoch Gyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 75.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 67.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Ezequiel Araujo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 75.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Enoch Gyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 35.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 17.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 41.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Enoch Gyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 51.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 53 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 85.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 93.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON TOWN FC 6  -  DERBY COUNTY 7
 
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