(H)
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Port Vale FC
John Holden
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PRESTON NORTH END FC PORT VALE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Valentin Lugn 16 2 18 Gk Dylan De boer 14 2 16
Sw Walter Olivera 16 2 18 Df Philipp Vogel 13 1 14
Df Joseph Jones 11 2 13 Df Sven Thoren 12 2 14
Df Angel Cabrera 11 1 12 Df Carsten Kragelund 12 1 13
Df Harry Martyn 10 2 12 Df Ricardo Fernandes 11 2 13
Mf Issa Daouda 10 2 12 Df Jerome De Ketelaere 8 2 10
Mf Kazuo Kawashima 8 2 10 Mf Alan Herdman 13 1 14
Fw Martyn Palmer 13 2 15 Mf Santiago Villa 13 1 14
Fw Victor Pino 10 2 12 Mf Benedicto González 8 2 10
Fw Atsushi Morioka 10 2 12 Fw Adam Vasilev 15 1 16
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul 8 2 10 Fw Martin Aguilera 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 18 37 22 49 ROSTER TOTALS 16 0 64 38 26
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 18 37 22 58 T O T A L S 17 0 64 38 26
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.17 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.81 (no red card)
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.21 (no red card)
Df Joseph Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.12 (no red card)
Df Angel Cabrera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.3 (no red card)
Df Harry Martyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.79 (no red card)
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.43 (no red card)
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.1 (no red card)
Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.75 (no red card)
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.47 (no red card)
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.8 (no red card)
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.74 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.77 (no second yellow)
******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 15.64 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 54.01 (no red card)
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.43 (no red card)
Df Sven Thoren: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.88 (no red card)
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.29 (no red card)
Df Ricardo Fernandes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.03 (no red card)
Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.59 (no red card)
Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.91 (no red card)
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.03 (no red card)
Mf Benedicto González: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.83 (no red card)
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.45 (no red card)
Fw Martin Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.19 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Martin Aguilera new match skill level = 4
Martin Aguilera new match total level = 6
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 64.02 (no injury)
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.32 (no injury)
Df Joseph Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.38 (no injury)
Df Angel Cabrera: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.17 (no injury)
Df Harry Martyn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.96 (no injury)
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.86 (no injury)
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.48 (no injury)
Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.03 (no injury)
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.78 (no injury)
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.01 (no injury)
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.05 (no injury)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 59.4 (no injury)
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.77 (no injury)
Df Sven Thoren: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.24 (no injury)
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.45 (no injury)
Df Ricardo Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.02 (no injury)
Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.83 (no injury)
Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.57 (no injury)
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.47 (no injury)
Mf Benedicto González: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.09 (no injury)
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.42 (no injury)
Fw Martin Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.1 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Martyn Palmer SL 13
- Defending Gk: Dylan De boer SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Adam Vasilev SL 15
- Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 16
intRndPk = 92
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 18 18 37 22 58
Port Vale FC 17 0 64 38 22
Port Vale FC is using Offside Trap!
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (58 - 64)
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 38) / 2; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 5 ((37 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Df Joseph Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 21.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Harry Martyn
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 96.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Df Harry Martyn
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Df Angel Cabrera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 89.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Df Joseph Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Port Vale FC 17 0 64 38 22
Preston North End FC 18 18 37 22 58
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 37)
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((38 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 2 ((64 - 58) / 5); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 10
1: Attack for Df Philipp Vogel
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Ricardo Fernandes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.1 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Santiago Villa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Santiago Villa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Santiago Villa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Alan Herdman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 74.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Alan Herdman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Mf Santiago Villa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Benedicto González
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Alan Herdman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 3 - PORT VALE FC 0
Match Notes
Ian did have the better odds here but this is still flagrantly unlucky
John (Port Vale FC) 02/21 - 9:11 PM
PK given up, straight red card, two out of five shots scored
John (Port Vale FC) 02/21 - 9:11 PM
Preston wins all 4 games this weekend. Amazing!!
Abe (Leeds United) 02/26 - 1:15 AM