(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST TRANMERE ROVERS
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Jonathan Kome 16 2 18 Gk Alexander Bach 15 2 17
Sw Thiago Boniek 12 0 12 Sw Blerim Omlin 16 2 18
Df Ibra Gueye 13 2 15 Df Joseph Okoro 11 2 13
Df Mbaye Dieng 16 2 18 Df Carsten Eriksen 11 2 13
Df Nicomedes Martino 12 2 14 Mf José Salvio 11 2 13
Df Pieter Willems 8 2 10 Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi 10 2 12
Mf Fernando Bentancur 10 2 12 Mf Benigno D'amato 8 2 10
Mf Paul Simons 8 2 10 Fw Kwadwo Djiku 16 2 18
Fw Ederson Fabinho 14 2 16 Fw Chibuikem Thomas 16 2 18
Mf Rico Santambrogio 11 2 13 Fw Minato Nishino 12 2 14
Fw Ghaith Abid 8 2 10 Fw Secundino Frondizi 11 1 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 12 57 35 26 ROSTER TOTALS 17 18 26 35 62
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 3 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 7 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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21 15 73 35 26 T O T A L S 18 18 26 35 62
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.47 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.29 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.66 (no red card)
Df Ibra Gueye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.62 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.7 (no red card)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.4 (no red card)
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.74 (no red card)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.07 (no red card)
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.96 (no red card)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.51 (no red card)
Mf Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.72 (no red card)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.79 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.95 (no second yellow)
******* TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 53.72 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 74.38 (no red card)
Sw Blerim Omlin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.11 (no red card)
Df Joseph Okoro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.96 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.02 (no second yellow)
Df Carsten Eriksen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.06 (no red card)
Mf José Salvio: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.2 (no red card)
Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.33 (no red card)
Mf Benigno D'amato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.94 (no red card)
Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.29 (no red card)
Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.44 (no red card)
Fw Minato Nishino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.52 (no red card)
Fw Secundino Frondizi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.51 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 41.59 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.65 (no injury)
Df Ibra Gueye: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.84 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.97 (no injury)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.18 (no injury)
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.92 (no injury)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.97 (no injury)
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.78 (no injury)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.19 (no injury)
Mf Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.76 (no injury)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.45 (no injury)
******* TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 5.3 (no injury)
Sw Blerim Omlin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.55 (no injury)
Df Joseph Okoro: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.72 (no injury)
Df Carsten Eriksen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.4 (no injury)
Mf José Salvio: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.27 (no injury)
Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.4 (no injury)
Mf Benigno D'amato: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.49 (no injury)
Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.23 (no injury)
Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.14 (no injury)
Fw Minato Nishino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.63 (no injury)
Fw Secundino Frondizi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.69 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mbaye Dieng SL 16
- Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 27 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Kwadwo Djiku SL 16
- Defending Gk: Jonathan Kome SL 16
intRndPk = 52
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 21 15 73 35 26
Tranmere Rovers 18 18 26 35 62
Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 26)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 35) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 2 ((73 - 62) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Df Nicomedes Martino
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Ibra Gueye
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 46.33 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Tranmere Rovers 18 18 26 35 62
Nottingham Forest 21 15 73 35 26
Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 0 (62 - 73)
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 35) / 2; rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 26) / 3; rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 0
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F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1 - TRANMERE ROVERS 0
Match Notes
Olmec Steve hosting Tranmere — that's a tough day at the office for any visitor. Forest at home with a point to prove. Should be a proper contest.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/16 - 12:16 AM
Wow……Nott enjoyed 2 PKs this session against 1 Hard
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/20 - 6:20 PM
Game looked very drawish till they got the PK
Alon (Tranmere Rovers) 06/20 - 6:33 PM
Hey spoilers!
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/20 - 7:46 PM