(H)
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
Watford
James Tucker
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
LINCOLN CITY FC WATFORD
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Steven Chapuisat 14 1 15 Gk Mads Frost 15 2 17
Sw Woo Hyun-soo 14 0 14 Sw Saul Aquino 10 1 11
Df Emir Selmi 14 1 15 Df Keita Hattori 15 2 17
Df Percy Triggs 12 2 14 Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 15 1 16
Df Aldair Gallardo 8 2 10 Df Shoichi Morita 11 2 13
Mf Fabio Luis 12 0 12 Mf Kevin Castex 16 2 18
Mf Akira Nagatomo 12 1 13 Mf Callum Rowles 10 1 11
Mf Marc Bürki 8 2 10 Fw Valerio Paredes 15 0 15
Fw Martin Jashari 13 1 14 Fw Djonno De boer 14 1 15
Fw Benedicto Ortega 15 0 15 Fw Takao Soma 13 1 14
Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong 12 2 14 Fw Juliano Ganso 11 2 13
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 14 39 35 43 ROSTER TOTALS 17 11 46 29 57
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 14 39 35 52 T O T A L S 17 11 46 29 58
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Steven Chapuisat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.94 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.61 (no red card)
Sw Woo Hyun-soo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.17 (no red card)
Df Emir Selmi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.47 (no red card)
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.31 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.94 (no second yellow)
Df Aldair Gallardo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.11 (no red card)
Mf Fabio Luis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.55 (no red card)
Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.02 (no red card)
Mf Marc Bürki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.89 (no red card)
Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.27 (no red card)
Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.91 (no red card)
Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.58 (no red card)
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.91 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.06 (no red card)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.24 (no red card)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.37 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.77 (no second yellow)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.72 (no red card)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.16 (no red card)
Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.09 (no red card)
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.28 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.51 (no red card)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.21 (no red card)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.16 (no red card)
Fw Juliano Ganso: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.38 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Steven Chapuisat: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 91.15 (no injury)
Sw Woo Hyun-soo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.71 (no injury)
Df Emir Selmi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.22 (no injury)
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.65 (no injury)
Df Aldair Gallardo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.23 (no injury)
Mf Fabio Luis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.01 (no injury)
Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.06 (no injury)
Mf Marc Bürki: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.29 (no injury)
Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.49 (no injury)
Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.85 (no injury)
Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.79 (no injury)
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 7.21 (no injury)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.42 (no injury)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.92 (no injury)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.95 (no injury)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.23 (no injury)
Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.8 (no injury)
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.77 (no injury)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.34 (no injury)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.24 (no injury)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.0 (no injury)
Fw Juliano Ganso: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.94 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Benedicto Ortega SL 15
- Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Kevin Castex SL 16
- Defending Gk: Steven Chapuisat SL 14
intRndPk = 99
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Lincoln City FC 15 14 39 35 52
Watford 17 11 46 29 58
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 6 (52 - 46); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((35 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 58) / 3; rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Mf Fabio Luis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 85.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 17 11 46 29 58
Lincoln City FC 15 14 39 35 52
Watford Fw Attacks = 19 (58 - 39); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 35) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 52) / 3; rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 19
1: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Juliano Ganso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Juliano Ganso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 44.15 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Juliano Ganso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
LINCOLN CITY FC 1 - WATFORD 0
Match Notes
Watford only team not to have lost away in all leagues this season (league games only ) this could be fun
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 02/20 - 11:40 PM
Only team unbeaten in the league all season! There I have jinxed it. Mike is a tough competitor so not very confident.
James (Watford) 02/21 - 11:12 AM
Oh wow, we had no idea what was at play here. We got lucky, James, sorry.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 02/23 - 1:47 PM