(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST BRENTFORD FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Kurt Östman 16 2 18 Gk Jordan Rose 16 2 18
Sw Thiago Boniek 15 2 17 Sw Tobias Damish 8 2 10
Df Martin Persson 13 2 15 Df Dragan Jedjav 10 2 12
Df Gualberto Burgos 13 2 15 Df Maciek Szymanski 8 2 10
Df Nour Zaroury 13 2 15 Df Kazu Fukunishi 4 2 6
Mf Noah Martinez 11 2 13 Df Chung Sung-yeung 4 2 6
Mf Abel Peeters 8 2 10 Mf Geert De Ketelaere 13 0 13
Fw Atef Omar 14 2 16 Mf Cédric Kamga 10 1 11
Fw Paul Dumont 13 2 15 Mf Victor Moreira 4 2 6
Fw Óscar Vargas 16 2 18 Fw Ye-jun Ji 8 2 10
Fw Kian Clarke 9 2 11 Fw Miguel Díaz 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 17 45 23 60 ROSTER TOTALS 18 10 34 30 16
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 3 3 4 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
18 17 45 23 69 T O T A L S 21 13 45 30 16
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.09 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.15 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.96 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.23 (no second yellow)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.25 (no red card)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.55 (no red card)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.32 (no red card)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.12 (no red card)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.41 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.69 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.27 (no red card)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.89 (no red card)
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.5 (no red card)
******* BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 10
- Gk Hardness = 3
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 5.29 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 76.37 (no red card)
Sw Tobias Damish: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 7.55 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 41.39 (no second yellow)
Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 89.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 91.3 (no red card)
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 48.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 17.49 (no red card)
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 89.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 61.2 (no red card)
Df Chung Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 45.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 92.5 (no red card)
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 36.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 57.49 (no red card)
Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 36.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 15.22 (no red card)
Mf Victor Moreira: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 38.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 23.92 (no red card)
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 71.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 66.5 (no red card)
Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 82.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 20.25 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 5.0%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 16.77 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 51.24 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 34.16 (no injury)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 94.34 (no injury)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 17.21 (no injury)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 6.8 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Noah Martinez is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 31.38 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 82.75 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 34.13 (no injury)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 86.87 (no injury)
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 54.4 (no injury)
******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.14 (no injury)
Sw Tobias Damish: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 98.49 (no injury)
Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 64.17 (no injury)
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 21.52 (no injury)
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 86.72 (no injury)
Df Chung Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 5.83 (no injury)
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 39.53 (no injury)
Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 19.13 (no injury)
Mf Victor Moreira: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 84.51 (no injury)
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 70.76 (no injury)
Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 23.4 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Óscar Vargas SL 16
- Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Geert De Ketelaere SL 13
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16
intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 18 17 45 23 69
Brentford FC 21 13 45 30 16
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 24 (69 - 45); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 10 ((45 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 34
1: Attack for Df Nour Zaroury
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Gualberto Burgos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Nour Zaroury
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Gualberto Burgos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Nour Zaroury
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Df Nour Zaroury
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Df Nour Zaroury
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Df Nour Zaroury
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 6.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Df Martin Persson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 83.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Df Nour Zaroury
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 93.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 10.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 80.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 28.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 72.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
29: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 9.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
32: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 1.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
33: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
34: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 82.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brentford FC 21 13 45 30 16
Nottingham Forest 18 17 45 23 69
Brentford FC is Playing For A Draw!
Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 45)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 23) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 69) / 3; rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Mf Geert De Ketelaere
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 19.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Victor Moreira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 92.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1 - BRENTFORD FC 1
Match Notes
Hmmmm...I guess I won't be writing any "Olmec Loves Steve" posts this week...
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/15 - 7:14 PM
....
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/15 - 9:47 PM