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Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DORCHESTER TOWN                            SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Logan McKennie         11    1   12     Gk Yassine Amara          15    2   17
Df Josip Sommer           13    2   15     Sw Bastien Rami           12    2   14
Df Andre Ngwa             13    2   15     Df Vincent Hamidou        15    2   17
Df Hugo Quintero          13    2   15     Df Mauricio López         13    2   15
Df Tobias Kimmich         12    2   14     Df Johan Teulet            8    2   10
Mf Bastiaan de Jong       13    2   15     Df Aymen Mansour           4    2    6
Mf Bertus De leeuw        10    2   12     Mf Ludwig Troell          12    2   14
Mf Harold Thorne           8    2   10     Mf Janek Pawlak            7    2    9
Mf Anthony Brees           7    2    9     Mf Quentin Meunier         4    2    6
Fw Teun Van der berg      13    2   15     Fw Cássio Lemos           20    2   22
Fw Boris Rudenko          13    2   15     Fw Marek Grabara           8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 59 46 30        ROSTER TOTALS      17 14 48 29 32    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  0 59 48 37         T O T A L S       20 17 52 29 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 46.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 39.02 (no red card)

Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.83 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.04 (no second yellow)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 73.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 47.35 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 44.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.97 (no red card)

Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 64.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 96.06 (no red card)

Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 8.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.68 (no red card)

Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 42.67 (no red card)

Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 82.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.06 (no red card)

Mf Anthony Brees: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 30.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.09 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 14.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 72.95 (no red card)

Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 54.19 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 10.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 4.7 (no red card)

Sw Bastien Rami: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 83.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 64.32 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 26.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 13.16 (no red card)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 68.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 8.69 (no red card)

Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 33.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 32.1 (no red card)

Df Aymen Mansour: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 48.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 4.26 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 55.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 10.19 (no red card)

Mf Janek Pawlak: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 9.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 94.56 (no red card)

Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 42.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 83.91 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 72.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 18.85 (no red card)

Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 18.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 90.29 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.62%
Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of injury = 2.62% | Random number = 77.62 (no injury) 
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 76.86 (no injury) 
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 49.0 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 90.23 (no injury) 
Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 75.02 (no injury) 
Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 53.87 (no injury) 
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 52.62 (no injury) 
Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 33.36 (no injury) 
Mf Anthony Brees: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 90.17 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 79.56 (no injury) 
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 83.76 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 3
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 50.37 (no injury) 
Sw Bastien Rami: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 20.07 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 64.05 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 22.52 (no injury) 
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 74.08 (no injury) 
Df Aymen Mansour: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 10.1 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 10.19 (no injury) 
Mf Janek Pawlak: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 70.42 (no injury) 
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 68.9 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 32.93 (no injury) 
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 42.85 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Josip Sommer SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 20
   - Defending Gk: Logan McKennie SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          14   0  59  48  37
  Southend United          20  17  52  29  32

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (37 - 52)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 10 ((48 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 6 ((59 - 32) / 5); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Andre Ngwa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Hugo Quintero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Josip Sommer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Josip Sommer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 66.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Tobias Kimmich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Hugo Quintero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Anthony Brees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 67.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Harold Thorne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Anthony Brees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 79.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 21.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Anthony Brees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Harold Thorne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          20  17  52  29  32
  Dorchester Town          14   0  59  48  37

Dorchester Town is using Offside Trap!
Southend United is Playing For A Draw!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 59)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 48) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 3 ((52 - 37) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Mauricio López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 80.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Mauricio López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 15.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Mauricio López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DORCHESTER TOWN 0  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
Here we go again. Oh dear
Colin (Southend United) 06/29 - 8:26 AM
Chasing down promotion Colin, we on the other end are fighting off relegation.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/01 - 9:55 PM
A different game with one of us in the second round of the YC - promotion is gone this season.
Colin (Southend United) 07/05 - 4:18 AM
Oops
Colin (Southend United) 07/05 - 8:59 PM
We got robbed. Puts us back in trouble.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/10 - 8:46 PM
 
 
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