Session 3 Coaches Poll deadline in 70 hours and 21 minutes
SEASON 51 is LIVE!
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Sunday, January 18th, 2026 - 07:38:06 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
Home Auctions Blog Forum History Login Rules Scores Stats TablesTeams
 
Coaches Directory Donate Guest Rankings Schedule Updates Waitlist Wall
 

Join
MSWL
UNITED!
(H)
Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dylan De boer          10    2   12     Gk Valentin Lugn          13    0   13
Sw Fokke Taylor           13    0   13     Sw Walter Olivera         13    1   14
Df Philipp Vogel          13    0   13     Df Joel Calvo             11    1   12
Df Carsten Kragelund      12    0   12     Df Harry Martyn           10    1   11
Df Sven Thoren            10    2   12     Df Joan Hierro             6    2    8
Mf Alan Herdman           10    2   12     Mf Issa Daouda            10    1   11
Mf Benedicto González      5    2    7     Mf Kazuo Kawashima         6    2    8
Fw Adam Vasilev           14    0   14     Fw Geovanny Arley         13    1   14
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi   15    0   15     Fw Eduardo Luna           16    1   17
Fw Hermidio Rivera        10    2   12     Fw Victor Pino            10    1   11
Fw Ayrton Chamot           2    2    4     Fw Gustavo da Rocha        6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 13 37 19 45        ROSTER TOTALS      13 14 31 19 50    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 13 37 19 54         T O T A L S       13 14 31 19 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 8.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 58.79 (no red card)

Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.96 (no red card)

Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.41 (no red card)

Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.1 (no red card)

Df Sven Thoren: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.85 (no red card)

Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.44 (no red card)

Mf Benedicto González: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.98 (no red card)

Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.81 (no red card)

Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.74 (no red card)

Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.11 (no red card)

Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.62 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.61 (no red card)

Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.43 (no red card)

Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.47 (no red card)

Df Harry Martyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.22 (no red card)

Df Joan Hierro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.65 (no red card)

Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.25 (no red card)

Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.56 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.59 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.4 (no red card)

Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.68 (no red card)

Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.51 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 92.46 (no injury) 
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.76 (no injury) 
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.03 (no injury) 
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.89 (no injury) 
Df Sven Thoren: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.9 (no injury) 
Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.09 (no injury) 
Mf Benedicto González: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.63 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.56 (no injury) 
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.81 (no injury) 
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.94 (no injury) 
Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.15 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 64.57 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.21 (no injury) 
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.42 (no injury) 
Df Harry Martyn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.21 (no injury) 
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.17 (no injury) 
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.04 (no injury) 
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.9 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.68 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.33 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.39 (no injury) 
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.49 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 13

     intRndPk = 82
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Eduardo Luna SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Dylan De boer SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             13  13  37  19  54
  Preston North End FC     13  14  31  19  50

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 23 (54 - 31); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 19) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 4.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 10.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     13  14  31  19  50
  Port Vale FC             13  13  37  19  54

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 13 (50 - 37); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 19) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 24.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 38.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 78.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 39.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 0  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 1
 
Match Notes
Thank you OLMEC we love you
John (Port Vale FC) 01/18 - 4:31 PM
 
 
Terms and Conditions