(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST PRESTON NORTH END FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jonathan Kome 16 2 18 Gk Valentin Lugn 16 2 18
Sw Thiago Boniek 16 2 18 Sw Walter Olivera 16 2 18
Df Martin Persson 13 2 15 Df Walter Hamisu 14 2 16
Df Nicomedes Martino 12 0 12 Df Joel Calvo 11 2 13
Df Jean Courtial 10 1 11 Df Angel Cabrera 11 1 12
Mf Taha Tagnaouti 10 2 12 Mf Tobias Graf 11 2 13
Mf Fernando Bentancur 8 2 10 Mf Issa Daouda 10 2 12
Fw Ederson Fabinho 14 2 16 Fw Geovanny Arley 13 2 15
Fw Keiron Chamberlain 13 2 15 Fw Martyn Palmer 13 2 15
Fw Atef Omar 13 -1 12 Fw Eduardo Luna 17 1 18
Fw Paul Dumont 14 2 16 Fw Atsushi Morioka 10 2 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
18 18 38 22 59 ROSTER TOTALS 18 18 41 25 60
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 2 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 18 40 22 66 T O T A L S 18 18 41 25 60
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.02 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.33 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.19 (no red card)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.43 (no red card)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.07 (no red card)
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.93 (no red card)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.51 (no red card)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.46 (no red card)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.34 (no red card)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.47 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.72 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.61 (no red card)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.44 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.91 (no red card)
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.6 (no red card)
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.17 (no red card)
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.29 (no red card)
Df Angel Cabrera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.77 (no red card)
Mf Tobias Graf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.68 (no red card)
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.98 (no red card)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.65 (no red card)
Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.15 (no red card)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.3 (no red card)
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.98 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 60.27 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.61 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.38 (no injury)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.85 (no injury)
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.66 (no injury)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.89 (no injury)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.87 (no injury)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.78 (no injury)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.46 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.89 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.6 (no injury)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 80.38 (no injury)
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.86 (no injury)
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.94 (no injury)
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.68 (no injury)
Df Angel Cabrera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.4 (no injury)
Mf Tobias Graf: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.57 (no injury)
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.16 (no injury)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.16 (no injury)
Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.48 (no injury)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.34 (no injury)
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.53 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ederson Fabinho SL 14
- Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 16
intRndPk = 4
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 59 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Eduardo Luna SL 17
- Defending Gk: Jonathan Kome SL 16
intRndPk = 2
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 11 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 18 18 40 22 66
Preston North End FC 18 18 41 25 60
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 25 (66 - 41); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 25) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 60) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 9.55 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 10.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 79.71 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 97.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 73.8 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 3.1 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 77.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 18 18 41 25 60
Nottingham Forest 18 18 40 22 66
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 20 (60 - 40); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((25 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 66) / 3; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 22
1: Attack for Mf Issa Daouda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Issa Daouda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 18.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 94.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 89.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
22: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 2 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 4
Match Notes
Is all the pressure on Ian today?
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/15 - 12:05 AM
Difficult session for the Reds.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/21 - 12:05 PM
And Olmec does it again
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/21 - 7:36 PM
Preston wins all 4 games this weekend. Amazing!!
Abe (Leeds United) 02/26 - 1:14 AM