(H)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SOUTHEND UNITED BRENTFORD FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Alonso Lopez 15 2 17 Gk Sion Watkins 17 1 18 Sw Glen Clarke 15 2 17 Sw Anton Jurman 13 1 14 Df Kenzie Fraser 13 2 15 Df Dragan Jedjav 16 2 18 Df Archie Rowe 13 2 15 Df Tobias Damish 12 2 14 Df Vincent Hamidou 8 2 10 Mf Cédric Kamga 13 2 15 Mf Claes Östberg 14 2 16 Mf Simon Shaw 12 2 14 Mf Troy Juric 12 2 14 Mf Geert De Ketelaere 8 2 10 Fw Cássio Lemos 13 2 15 Fw Michael Lagerbäck 13 2 15 Fw Kenzie McDonald 13 2 15 Fw Jack Williams 13 2 15 Fw Rónald Aguilera 8 2 10 Fw Róger Issahaku 17 2 19 Fw Roman Radomski 8 2 10 Fw Jamie Sinclair 10 2 12 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 17 40 30 50 ROSTER TOTALS 18 14 32 39 61 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 20 17 40 30 59 T O T A L S 18 14 32 39 61 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 0.96 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 94.29 (no red card) Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.37 (no red card) Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.88 (no red card) Df Archie Rowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.2 (no red card) Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.94 (no red card) Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.19 (no red card) Mf Troy Juric: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.93 (no red card) Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.2 (no red card) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.38 (no red card) Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.32 (no red card) Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.43 (no red card) ******* BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.39 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.9 (no red card) Sw Anton Jurman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.29 (no red card) Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.62 (no red card) Df Tobias Damish: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.43 (no red card) Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.82 (no red card) Mf Simon Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.41 (no red card) Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.31 (no red card) Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.27 (no red card) Fw Jack Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.05 (no red card) Fw Róger Issahaku: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.39 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.62 (no second yellow) Fw Jamie Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.0 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Southend United Team Hardness = 1 - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 98.18 (no injury) Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.67 (no injury) Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.69 (no injury) Df Archie Rowe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.93 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Archie Rowe is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Archie Rowe new match skill level = 7 Archie Rowe new match total level = 9 Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.18 (no injury) Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.65 (no injury) Mf Troy Juric: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.32 (no injury) Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.97 (no injury) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.65 (no injury) Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.46 (no injury) Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.74 (no injury) ******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0 - Southend United Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 12.02 (no injury) Sw Anton Jurman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.16 (no injury) Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.41 (no injury) Df Tobias Damish: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.13 (no injury) Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.81 (no injury) Mf Simon Shaw: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.74 (no injury) Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.21 (no injury) Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.96 (no injury) Fw Jack Williams: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.5 (no injury) Fw Róger Issahaku: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.22 (no injury) Fw Jamie Sinclair: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.4 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Claes Östberg SL 14 - Defending Gk: Sion Watkins SL 17 intRndPk = 63 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Róger Issahaku SL 17 - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 15 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Southend United 20 17 34 30 59 Brentford FC 18 14 32 39 61 Southend United Fw Attacks = 27 (59 - 32); result rounded up Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 39) / 2; rounded up) Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 61) / 3; rounded up) Southend United Total Attacks = 27 1: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 38.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 13.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 17.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 3.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 79.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 24: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 25.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 27: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) ******* BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brentford FC 18 14 32 39 61 Southend United 20 17 34 30 59 Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 27 (61 - 34); result rounded up Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((39 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 59) / 3; rounded up) Brentford FC Total Attacks = 32 1: Attack for Mf Cédric Kamga Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 27.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Geert De Ketelaere Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Geert De Ketelaere Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Geert De Ketelaere Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Geert De Ketelaere Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Jack Williams Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Jamie Sinclair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Jack Williams Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 89.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Fw Jack Williams Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Jamie Sinclair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 99.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 13: Attack for Fw Jack Williams Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Jamie Sinclair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 25.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 67.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Jack Williams Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 32.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 96.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 23: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Jamie Sinclair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 26: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Jack Williams Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Jamie Sinclair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 30: Attack for Fw Jack Williams Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 31: Attack for Fw Jamie Sinclair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Jack Williams Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SOUTHEND UNITED 1 - BRENTFORD FC 3
Match Notes
Colin dominates this fixture. Looks like a 6 goal loss for our Bees...
Allan (Brentford FC) 03/09 - 1:21 AM
That’s that then. Division two it is
Colin (Southend United) 03/09 - 11:29 PM