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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Onel Rönnlund          16    2   18     Gk Timothy James          15    2   17
Sw Ludwig Süle            16    2   18     Sw Ian Butler              7    2    9
Df Walter Olivera         10    2   12     Df Ado Di matteo          14    2   16
Df Walter Hamisu          15    2   17     Df Giancarlo Astua         8    2   10
Df Joan Hierro            10    2   12     Df Jamie Mooy              4    2    6
Mf Arthur Goodwin         17    2   19     Mf Acario Finizio         11    2   13
Mf Kazuo Kawashima        11    2   13     Mf Duje Kramaric           7    0    7
Fw Geovanny Arley         13    2   15     Df Ablaye Ndour            2    2    4
Fw Martyn Palmer          12    2   14     Fw Bienvenido Godoy       14    2   16
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul       10    2   12     Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez       8    2   10
Fw Gustavo da Rocha       10    2   12     Df Bello Chepkurui         0    2    2

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 41 32 53        ROSTER TOTALS      17  9 38 20 26    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 18 41 32 62         T O T A L S       17 12 38 20 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Onel Rönnlund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.14 (no red card)

Sw Ludwig Süle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.42 (no red card)

Df Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.34 (no red card)

Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.79 (no red card)

Df Joan Hierro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.25 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.84 (no red card)

Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.71 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.62 (no red card)

Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.16 (no red card)

Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.04 (no red card)

Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.41 (no red card)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Timothy James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.05 (no red card)

Sw Ian Butler: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 75.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 55.2 (no red card)

Df Ado Di matteo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 23.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 89.42 (no red card)

Df Giancarlo Astua: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 53.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 46.94 (no red card)

Df Jamie Mooy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 2.38 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 25.43 (no second yellow)

Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 31.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 20.85 (no red card)

Mf Duje Kramaric: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 56.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 39.11 (no red card)

Df Ablaye Ndour: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 33.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 32.82 (no red card)

Fw Bienvenido Godoy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 11.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 79.99 (no red card)

Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 98.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 80.65 (no red card)

Df Bello Chepkurui: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 59.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 13.28 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Onel Rönnlund: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 72.12 (no injury) 
Sw Ludwig Süle: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 31.02 (no injury) 
Df Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 58.16 (no injury) 
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 13.16 (no injury) 
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 53.89 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 45.67 (no injury) 
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 61.27 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 15.19 (no injury) 
Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 6.8 (no injury) 
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 85.12 (no injury) 
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 94.81 (no injury) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Timothy James: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 75.6 (no injury) 
Sw Ian Butler: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.02 (no injury) 
Df Ado Di matteo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.56 (no injury) 
Df Giancarlo Astua: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.21 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Mooy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.15 (no injury) 
Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.22 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Acario Finizio is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Acario Finizio new match skill level =  6
      Acario Finizio new match total level =  8
Mf Duje Kramaric: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.81 (no injury) 
Df Ablaye Ndour: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.63 (no injury) 
Fw Bienvenido Godoy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.31 (no injury) 
Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.95 (no injury) 
Df Bello Chepkurui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.93 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Arthur Goodwin SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Timothy James SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ado Di matteo SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Onel Rönnlund SL 16

     intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     18  18  41  32  62
  Oldham Athletic AFC      17  12  38  15  26

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 24 (62 - 38); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((32 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 5 ((41 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 38

1: Attack for Df Walter Olivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Walter Hamisu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Walter Hamisu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Walter Hamisu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Joan Hierro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Kazuo Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Kazuo Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 67.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Kazuo Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 92.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 0.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
32: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 66.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
37: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      17  12  38  15  26
  Preston North End FC     18  18  41  32  62

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 41)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 62) / 3;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 2  -  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Antoine taking his side to I-Man's backyard. Preston at home in Division 1 — Oldham will need more than good intentions to leave with anything.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/15 - 6:30 PM  
 
 
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