Session 4 Coaches Poll deadline in 8 hours and 39 minutes
Is it time to rename "WALL" as "COMPLAINING WALL"...again?
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Wednesday, June 11th, 2025 - 09:20:36 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 50 // Landing
 
Home Auctions Blog Forum History Login Rules Scores Stats TablesTeams
 
Coaches Directory Donate Guest Rankings Schedule Updates Waitlist Wall
 

Join
MSWL
UNITED!
(H)
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alberto Flores         13    1   14     Gk Riccardo Di matteo     13    1   14
Df Martin Rodríguez       13    0   13     Sw Saul Aquino            13    0   13
Df Willy Cerfbeer         10    0   10     Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk       14    0   14
Df Patrick LecLercq        2    2    4     Df Walter McGree          12   -1   11
Mf Isaac Juhlin           11    1   12     Fw Tin Perisic            13    0   13
Mf Isaac Semenyo          10    0   10     Mf Seth Sibley            10    1   11
Mf Thomas Jacobs           6    2    8     Mf Federico Machado        9    1   10
Fw Gavin Wright           17    0   17     Fw Edgar Jimenez          13   -1   12
Fw Ulf Helander           13    0   13     Fw Claudio Prado          10    1   11
Fw Mbark Sabiri           10    1   11     Fw Julien De Boeck        10    0   10
Fw José Oliveira           6    2    8     Fw Hakim Aboukhlal         8    1    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  0 27 30 49        ROSTER TOTALS      14 13 25 21 55    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  1  0  0    
       0  0  7  0  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  0 34 30 51         T O T A L S       17 13 26 21 55    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.66 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.01 (no red card)

Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.71 (no red card)

Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.64 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.67 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.93 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Jacobs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.28 (no red card)

Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.48 (no red card)

Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.14 (no red card)

Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.38 (no red card)

Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.33 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.3 (no red card)

Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.78 (no red card)

Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.17 (no red card)

Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.6 (no red card)

Fw Tin Perisic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.34 (no red card)

Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.62 (no red card)

Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.35 (no red card)

Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.6 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.18 (no red card)

Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.07 (no red card)

Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.95 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 73.74 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.7 (no injury) 
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.37 (no injury) 
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.43 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.24 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.89 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Jacobs: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.32 (no injury) 
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.4 (no injury) 
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.1 (no injury) 
Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.5 (no injury) 
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.01 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 72.49 (no injury) 
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.85 (no injury) 
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.81 (no injury) 
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.51 (no injury) 
Fw Tin Perisic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.15 (no injury) 
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.8 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Seth Sibley is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Seth Sibley new match skill level =  5
      Seth Sibley new match total level =  6
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.34 (no injury) 
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.05 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.5 (no injury) 
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.86 (no injury) 
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.39 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gavin Wright SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mykhailo Pavlyuk SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 13

     intRndPk = 41
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          14   0  34  30  51
  Watford                  17  13  26  16  55

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 25 (51 - 26); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((30 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 55) / 5;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Thomas Jacobs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Isaac Semenyo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Thomas Jacobs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 13.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Thomas Jacobs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Thomas Jacobs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 90.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 86.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 9.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 30.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 58.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 11.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  17  13  26  16  55
  Bristol City FC          14   0  34  30  51

Bristol City FC is using Offside Trap!
Watford Fw Attacks = 11 (55 - 34) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 40.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Tin Perisic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 86.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 8.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 24.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Tin Perisic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 41.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 2  -  WATFORD 1
 
Match Notes
The home team hasn't won this matchup in a while.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 05/31 - 1:23 PM
We could have done better, but a win is a win.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 06/07 - 12:35 AM
 
 
Terms and Conditions