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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Reuben Lennon           7    0    7     Gk Samir Bouaziz           6    2    8
Sw Bryn Gough             13    1   14     Df Michael Addo            9    0    9
Df Gustavo García         12    0   12     Df Joshua Partey           6    2    8
Df Mohamadou Sy           10    2   12     Df Jason McDiarmid         2    2    4
Df Robert Bak              5    2    7     Mf Yuriy Taran            11    2   13
Mf Tatsuo Itakura         11    0   11     Mf Ibrahim Yusuf           9    0    9
Mf Faustino Verón          6    2    8     Mf Jacques Mefire          6    2    8
Fw Si-Won Min-woo         13    0   13     Mf Minki Sung-yeung        2    2    4
Fw Syam Arfaoui           16    0   16     Fw Vukmir Kovalenko        6    2    8
Fw Evaristo Masis         11    1   12     Fw Ruben Gutiérrez         6    2    8
Fw Farzan Vestergaard      6    2    8     Fw Elias Mayer             2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7 14 31 19 49        ROSTER TOTALS       8  0 21 34 20    
       0  0  0  1  2          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
       7 14 31 20 60         T O T A L S        8  0 28 34 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.88 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 19.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 56.45 (no red card)

Df Gustavo García: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 17.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 86.66 (no red card)

Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 72.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 30.94 (no red card)

Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 34.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 85.65 (no red card)

Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 71.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 23.65 (no red card)

Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 1.35 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 78.4 (no second yellow)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 32.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 1.38 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Si-Won Min-woo new match skill level =  7
      Si-Won Min-woo new match total level =  7

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 71.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 14.72 (no red card)

Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 42.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 46.27 (no red card)

Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 0.26 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 37.74 (no second yellow)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.86 (no red card)

Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.88 (no red card)

Df Joshua Partey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.25 (no second yellow)

Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.5 (no red card)

Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.68 (no red card)

Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.39 (no red card)

Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.85 (no red card)

Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.0 (no red card)

Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.76 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.5 (no second yellow)

Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.48 (no red card)

Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.28 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 3
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 85.35 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.72 (no injury) 
Df Gustavo García: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.53 (no injury) 
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.23 (no injury) 
Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.07 (no injury) 
Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.53 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Tatsuo Itakura is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Tatsuo Itakura new match skill level =  6
      Tatsuo Itakura new match total level =  6
Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.91 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.45 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.96 (no injury) 
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.12 (no injury) 
Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.46 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 1.46 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Samir Bouaziz is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 81.01 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Partey: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 88.74 (no injury) 
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 8.85 (no injury) 
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 37.04 (no injury) 
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 71.65 (no injury) 
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 54.15 (no injury) 
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 49.12 (no injury) 
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 19.88 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 23.94 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 46.38 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Syam Arfaoui SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 6

     intRndPk = 26
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Yuriy Taran SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Reuben Lennon SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       7  14  31  15  54
  Brighton & Hove Albion   8   0  28  34  20

Brighton & Hove Albion is using Offside Trap!
Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 13 (54 - 28) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 4 ((31 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Df Mohamadou Sy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 22.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Gustavo García
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 31.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Mohamadou Sy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 2.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Mohamadou Sy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 19.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 2.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 98.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 23.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 35.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 18.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 20.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 60.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 89.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 43.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   8   0  28  34  20
  Plymouth Argyle FC       7  14  31  15  54

Brighton & Hove Albion is Playing For A Draw!
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 31)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 5 ((34 - 15) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 54) / 5;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 68.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 63.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 3  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2
 
Match Notes
So soon again? After our incredibly early exit from the FA at the hands of these Pilgrims?! Oh the shame.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/06 - 1:51 AM
Oh, this is going to be fun.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/11 - 3:29 PM
Bourse’s kept us in a close game. We scored two despite PFD!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/12 - 5:29 PM
Good win for you, Rob. (Not) sorry for another injury.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/12 - 5:30 PM
A straight red AND an injury?! How come this only happens to us? sheesh.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/18 - 2:59 AM
 
 
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