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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Maddison         16    2   18     Gk Kris Vermant            8    2   10
Sw Nazariy Kozak          16    2   18     Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han         12    2   14
Df Rodrygo Paulinho       13    2   15     Df Andre Ngwa             13    2   15
Mf Cristhian Meza          9    1   10     Df Hugo Quintero          13    2   15
Df Javi Flores             8    2   10     Df Tobias Kimmich         12    2   14
Mf Luis Jarquin           10    1   11     Df Sim Young-gwon          8    2   10
Mf Damian Nabbout          8    2   10     Mf Nazariy Gusak          13    2   15
Mf Roberto Bonano         11    2   13     Mf Bastiaan de Jong       13    2   15
Mf Jean Diouf             13    2   15     Mf Bertus De leeuw        10    2   12
Fw Shinya Soma            11    2   13     Fw Teun Van der berg      13    2   15
Fw Amadou Wagué            8    2   10     Fw Boris Rudenko          13    2   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 25 59 23        ROSTER TOTALS      10 14 54 42 30    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 18 25 68 23         T O T A L S       13 15 61 42 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 59.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 37.76 (no red card)

Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.52 (no red card)

Df Rodrygo Paulinho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.87 (no red card)

Mf Cristhian Meza: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.29 (no red card)

Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.46 (no red card)

Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.02 (no red card)

Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.62 (no red card)

Mf Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.98 (no red card)

Mf Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.47 (no red card)

Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.57 (no red card)

Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.18 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 35.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 51.16 (no red card)

Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 53.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 52.24 (no red card)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 62.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 43.64 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 55.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 74.09 (no red card)

Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 73.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 4.38 (no red card)

Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 89.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 87.55 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 37.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 23.59 (no red card)

Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 89.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 6.58 (no red card)

Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 14.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 80.04 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 97.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 89.93 (no red card)

Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 29.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 0.83 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Boris Rudenko new match skill level =  7
      Boris Rudenko new match total level =  9
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 12.48 (no injury) 
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 52.52 (no injury) 
Df Rodrygo Paulinho: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 6.93 (no injury) 
Mf Cristhian Meza: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 16.51 (no injury) 
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 75.8 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 83.49 (no injury) 
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 13.39 (no injury) 
Mf Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 25.16 (no injury) 
Mf Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 55.64 (no injury) 
Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 31.46 (no injury) 
Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 59.54 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 64.45 (no injury) 
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 24.64 (no injury) 
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 87.7 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 3.23 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Hugo Quintero is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 43.06 (no injury) 
Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 45.88 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 43.7 (no injury) 
Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 57.5 (no injury) 
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 69.65 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 67.57 (no injury) 
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 54.96 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Rodrygo Paulinho SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kris Vermant SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Andre Ngwa SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 19  18  25  68  23
  Dorchester Town          13  15  61  42  24

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 61)
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 13 ((68 - 42) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 1 ((25 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Df Rodrygo Paulinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 10.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Cristhian Meza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Cristhian Meza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 77.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Mf Luis Jarquin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          13  15  61  42  24
  Lewes FC                 19  18  25  68  23

Dorchester Town is Playing For A Draw!
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 25)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((42 - 68) / 2;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 7 ((61 - 23) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Hugo Quintero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 49.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Andre Ngwa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Hugo Quintero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 1  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 0
 
Match Notes
We visit the top dogs in the league who are unbeaten in nine.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/01 - 9:57 PM
We almost pinched a point but not quite.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/10 - 8:47 PM
 
 
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