(H)
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SWINDON TOWN FC BRENTFORD FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Federico Curbelo 8 2 10 Gk John Kosowski 14 2 16
Df Hajime Tanaka 12 0 12 Sw Joseph Hadja 8 2 10
Df Yahaya Etim 11 0 11 Df Christian Hennessey 14 2 16
Df Quentin Mertens 8 0 8 Df Philippe Fabinho 14 2 16
Mf Gustavo Moreno 13 0 13 Df Haris Seferovic 8 2 10
Mf Toby Llewellyn 8 0 8 Df Gildardo Aguilar 4 2 6
Mf Kees Van dijk 6 2 8 Mf Paul Mahamat 15 2 17
Fw Conway Roberts 14 0 14 Mf Muhammed Kwadwo 8 2 10
Fw Valeriy Yastenko 11 0 11 Fw Miguel Díaz 14 2 16
Fw Maxi Olivera 10 2 12 Fw Ye-jun Ji 13 2 15
Fw Francois Abdou 7 2 9 Fw Lance James 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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10 0 31 29 46 ROSTER TOTALS 16 10 48 27 41
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 4 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
10 0 31 29 59 T O T A L S 16 10 48 27 41
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.49 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.49 (no red card)
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.99 (no red card)
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.83 (no red card)
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.49 (no red card)
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.55 (no red card)
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.47 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Toby Llewellyn new match skill level = 4
Toby Llewellyn new match total level = 4
Mf Kees Van dijk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.32 (no red card)
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.62 (no red card)
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.2 (no red card)
Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.61 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.67 (no second yellow)
Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.92 (no red card)
******* BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.29 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.96 (no red card)
Sw Joseph Hadja: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.46 (no red card)
Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.11 (no red card)
Df Philippe Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.84 (no red card)
Df Haris Seferovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.92 (no red card)
Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.05 (no red card)
Mf Paul Mahamat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.22 (no red card)
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.44 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.58 (no second yellow)
Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.61 (no red card)
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.35 (no red card)
Fw Lance James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.71 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 49.31 (no injury)
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.56 (no injury)
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.27 (no injury)
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.28 (no injury)
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.12 (no injury)
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.89 (no injury)
Mf Kees Van dijk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.35 (no injury)
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.59 (no injury)
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.56 (no injury)
Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.16 (no injury)
Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.33 (no injury)
******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
- Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 41.03 (no injury)
Sw Joseph Hadja: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.9 (no injury)
Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.09 (no injury)
Df Philippe Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.5 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Philippe Fabinho is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Philippe Fabinho new match skill level = 7
Philippe Fabinho new match total level = 9
Df Haris Seferovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.42 (no injury)
Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.2 (no injury)
Mf Paul Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.13 (no injury)
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.45 (no injury)
Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.51 (no injury)
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.44 (no injury)
Fw Lance James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.83 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Conway Roberts SL 14
- Defending Gk: John Kosowski SL 14
intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Paul Mahamat SL 15
- Defending Gk: Federico Curbelo SL 8
intRndPk = 92
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swindon Town FC 10 0 31 25 59
Brentford FC 16 10 41 27 41
Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 18 (59 - 41); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 27) / 2; rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 41) / 5; rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 60.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 30.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 46.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 12.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 87.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
******* BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brentford FC 16 10 41 27 41
Swindon Town FC 10 0 31 25 59
Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 10 (41 - 31); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 59) / 3; rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Mf Paul Mahamat
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 6.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Lance James
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 15.37 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 72.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 19.29 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 53.8 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 46.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 85.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 53.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 88.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SWINDON TOWN FC 1 - BRENTFORD FC 3
Match Notes
Matt's Swindon leads in wins 17-8. Uphill battle today...
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/15 - 12:04 AM
Fortunate to get a road win. Good game Matt.
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/21 - 7:05 PM