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Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            PORT VALE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Eugene Vasilev         14    2   16     Gk Dylan De boer          14    2   16
Sw Atsushi Oshima         15    1   16     Df Philipp Vogel          13    1   14
Df Willy Cerfbeer         13    1   14     Df Sven Thoren            12    2   14
Df Yahya Cheddira         12    1   13     Df Ricardo Fernandes      11    2   13
Mf Sebastiaan Blind       16    1   17     Df Jerome De Ketelaere     8    2   10
Mf Thomas Jacobs          10    2   12     Mf Alan Herdman           13    1   14
Fw José Oliveira          15    2   17     Mf Santiago Villa         13    1   14
Fw Julius Nwosu           13    1   14     Mf Benedicto González      8    2   10
Fw Faber Hernandez        11    2   13     Fw Hermidio Rivera        13    1   14
Fw Ulf Helander           10    2   12     Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi   15    0   15
Fw Gavin Wright           14    0   14     Fw Ayrton Chamot           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 16 27 29 70        ROSTER TOTALS      16  0 51 38 35    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 16 27 29 79         T O T A L S       16  0 51 38 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.14 (no red card)

Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.78 (no red card)

Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.72 (no red card)

Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.24 (no red card)

Mf Sebastiaan Blind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.63 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Jacobs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.22 (no red card)

Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.83 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.16 (no second yellow)

Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.33 (no red card)

Fw Faber Hernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.55 (no red card)

Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.52 (no red card)

Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.16 (no red card)

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.3 (no red card)

Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.4 (no red card)

Df Sven Thoren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.6 (no red card)

Df Ricardo Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.99 (no red card)

Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.38 (no red card)

Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.79 (no red card)

Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.18 (no red card)

Mf Benedicto González: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.96 (no red card)

Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.02 (no red card)

Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.32 (no red card)

Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.76 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 45.77 (no injury) 
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.7 (no injury) 
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.93 (no injury) 
Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.79 (no injury) 
Mf Sebastiaan Blind: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.61 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Jacobs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.84 (no injury) 
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.14 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.21 (no injury) 
Fw Faber Hernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.16 (no injury) 
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.95 (no injury) 
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.39 (no injury) 

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 45.32 (no injury) 
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.2 (no injury) 
Df Sven Thoren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.12 (no injury) 
Df Ricardo Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.43 (no injury) 
Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.18 (no injury) 
Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.47 (no injury) 
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.67 (no injury) 
Mf Benedicto González: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.04 (no injury) 
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.25 (no injury) 
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.47 (no injury) 
Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.85 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sebastiaan Blind SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Dylan De boer SL 14

     intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 14

     intRndPk = 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 6 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          16  16  27  29  79
  Port Vale FC             16   0  51  38  35

Port Vale FC is using Offside Trap!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 14 (79 - 51) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 82.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 7.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 26.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 22.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 64.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Faber Hernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 21.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 73.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 16.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 27.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Faber Hernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             16   0  51  38  35
  Bristol City FC          16  16  27  29  79

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 8 (35 - 27); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((38 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((51 - 79) / 5;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf Benedicto González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 67.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Santiago Villa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 74.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Alan Herdman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Benedicto González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Santiago Villa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 1  -  PORT VALE FC 0
 
Match Notes
We could push Port Vale to the brink.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 02/28 - 3:03 PM  
 
 
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