(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Jonathan Kome 16 2 18 Gk Timothy James 15 2 17
Df Ibra Gueye 14 2 16 Sw Ian Butler 8 2 10
Df Mbaye Dieng 16 2 18 Df Luis Ballestro 12 2 14
Sw Nicomedes Martino 10 2 12 Df Zinedine Castex 10 2 12
Df Pieter Willems 9 2 11 Df Giancarlo Astua 8 2 10
Mf Fernando Bentancur 10 2 12 Df Jamie Mooy 4 2 6
Mf Paul Simons 8 2 10 Mf Acario Finizio 11 1 12
Fw Ederson Fabinho 14 2 16 Mf Duje Kramaric 8 0 8
Fw Rico Santambrogio 13 2 15 Mf Ablaye Ndour 4 2 6
Fw Cadwallader Gwilt 12 2 14 Fw Wladimir Groen 6 2 8
Fw Ghaith Abid 9 2 11 Fw Bello Chepkurui 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 12 45 22 56 ROSTER TOTALS 17 10 42 26 14
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
21 12 45 22 65 T O T A L S 17 10 42 26 14
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.15 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.29 (no red card)
Df Ibra Gueye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.21 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.22 (no red card)
Sw Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.78 (no red card)
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.09 (no red card)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.91 (no red card)
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.04 (no red card)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.82 (no red card)
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.57 (no red card)
Fw Cadwallader Gwilt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.82 (no red card)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.99 (no red card)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Timothy James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.21 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.07 (no red card)
Sw Ian Butler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.69 (no red card)
Df Luis Ballestro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.65 (no red card)
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.51 (no red card)
Df Giancarlo Astua: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.4 (no red card)
Df Jamie Mooy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.31 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.29 (no second yellow)
Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.82 (no red card)
Mf Duje Kramaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.39 (no red card)
Mf Ablaye Ndour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.18 (no red card)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.05 (no red card)
Fw Bello Chepkurui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.37 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Bello Chepkurui new match skill level = 2
Bello Chepkurui new match total level = 4
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 15.63 (no injury)
Df Ibra Gueye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.46 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.67 (no injury)
Sw Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.98 (no injury)
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.5 (no injury)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.84 (no injury)
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.63 (no injury)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.7 (no injury)
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.37 (no injury)
Fw Cadwallader Gwilt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.78 (no injury)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.32 (no injury)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Timothy James: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 35.73 (no injury)
Sw Ian Butler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.2 (no injury)
Df Luis Ballestro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.77 (no injury)
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.17 (no injury)
Df Giancarlo Astua: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.54 (no injury)
Df Jamie Mooy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.47 (no injury)
Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.68 (no injury)
Mf Duje Kramaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.03 (no injury)
Mf Ablaye Ndour: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.51 (no injury)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.05 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Wladimir Groen is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Wladimir Groen new match skill level = 3
Wladimir Groen new match total level = 5
Fw Bello Chepkurui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.24 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mbaye Dieng SL 16
- Defending Gk: Timothy James SL 15
intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Luis Ballestro SL 12
- Defending Gk: Jonathan Kome SL 16
intRndPk = 63
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 21 12 45 22 65
Oldham Athletic AFC 17 10 42 26 9
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 23 (65 - 42); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 26) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 12 ((45 - 9) / 3); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 35
1: Attack for Df Mbaye Dieng
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 63.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Ibra Gueye
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Ibra Gueye
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Mbaye Dieng
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Ibra Gueye
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Ibra Gueye
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Df Mbaye Dieng
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 74.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Df Ibra Gueye
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Df Pieter Willems
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Df Mbaye Dieng
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Df Pieter Willems
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Df Mbaye Dieng
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 36.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Ghaith Abid
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 67.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 5.98 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 53.16 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Ghaith Abid
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Ghaith Abid
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
28: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
29: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.78 (Shot Saved by Gk)
30: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
31: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 11.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
32: Attack for Fw Ghaith Abid
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
33: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
34: Attack for Fw Ghaith Abid
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
35: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Oldham Athletic AFC 17 10 42 26 9
Nottingham Forest 21 12 45 22 65
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (9 - 45)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((26 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 65) / 3; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Mf Acario Finizio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 43.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Ablaye Ndour
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0 - OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0
Match Notes
Olmec Steve vs Antoine — two managers who'd argue over a throw-in. Forest at home but Oldham don't travel quiet. Spicy one.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/22 - 6:30 PM
Nobody say a word!
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/27 - 6:20 PM