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Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON TOWN FC                            HEREFORD UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan McAdam            10    0   10     Gk Zak Clarke             11    0   11
Df Carleton Symes         15    0   15     Df Marco  Herrera         11    0   11
Df João Rocha             10    0   10     Df Ashley Brides           9    0    9
Df Thiago Ferreira         9    0    9     Df Ian Charlton            9    0    9
Mf Alessio Fontana        12    0   12     Df David Dominguez         8    0    8
Mf Steven Reed            11    0   11     Mf Lincoln Hills          11    0   11
Mf Luca Lewis              9    0    9     Mf Diogo Sousa             9    0    9
Fw Lukas Bonnin           12    0   12     Mf Jake Stewart            9    0    9
Fw Henry Payne             9    0    9     Mf Joaquin  Mora           8    1    9
Fw Shaun Muir              8    0    8     Fw Graham Mitchell         9    0    9
Fw Tyler Marshall          7    0    7     Fw Iain Hay                9    0    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  0 34 32 36        ROSTER TOTALS      11  0 37 38 18    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  1  1  2  2    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  0 34 32 45         T O T A L S       13  1 38 40 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan McAdam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.17 (no red card)

Df Carleton Symes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.71 (no red card)

Df João Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.88 (no red card)

Df Thiago Ferreira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.81 (no red card)

Mf Alessio Fontana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.72 (no red card)

Mf Steven Reed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.78 (no red card)

Mf Luca Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.01 (no red card)

Fw Lukas Bonnin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.95 (no red card)

Fw Henry Payne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.47 (no red card)

Fw Shaun Muir: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.87 (no red card)

Fw Tyler Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.26 (no red card)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 8
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Zak Clarke: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 65.13 (no red card)

Df Marco  Herrera: Chance of booking = 22.5% | Random number = 22.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.75% | Random number = 40.91 (no red card)

Df Ashley Brides: Chance of booking = 22.5% | Random number = 55.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.75% | Random number = 92.34 (no red card)

Df Ian Charlton: Chance of booking = 22.5% | Random number = 71.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.75% | Random number = 91.43 (no red card)

Df David Dominguez: Chance of booking = 22.5% | Random number = 71.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.75% | Random number = 24.73 (no red card)

Mf Lincoln Hills: Chance of booking = 22.5% | Random number = 60.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.75% | Random number = 1.38 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Lincoln Hills new match skill level =  6
      Lincoln Hills new match total level =  6

Mf Diogo Sousa: Chance of booking = 22.5% | Random number = 94.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.75% | Random number = 34.89 (no red card)

Mf Jake Stewart: Chance of booking = 22.5% | Random number = 93.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.75% | Random number = 39.8 (no red card)

Mf Joaquin  Mora: Chance of booking = 22.5% | Random number = 49.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.75% | Random number = 89.31 (no red card)

Fw Graham Mitchell: Chance of booking = 22.5% | Random number = 27.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.75% | Random number = 1.76 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Graham Mitchell new match skill level =  5
      Graham Mitchell new match total level =  5

Fw Iain Hay: Chance of booking = 22.5% | Random number = 95.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.75% | Random number = 32.36 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 8
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 8.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 4.25%
Gk Ryan McAdam: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 87.65 (no injury) 
Df Carleton Symes: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 12.58 (no injury) 
Df João Rocha: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 95.17 (no injury) 
Df Thiago Ferreira: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 32.92 (no injury) 
Mf Alessio Fontana: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 19.83 (no injury) 
Mf Steven Reed: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 63.0 (no injury) 
Mf Luca Lewis: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 61.65 (no injury) 
Fw Lukas Bonnin: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 75.54 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Payne: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 84.09 (no injury) 
Fw Shaun Muir: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 96.67 (no injury) 
Fw Tyler Marshall: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 32.62 (no injury) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 8
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk Zak Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 17.32 (no injury) 
Df Marco  Herrera: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 24.42 (no injury) 
Df Ashley Brides: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 31.0 (no injury) 
Df Ian Charlton: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 57.12 (no injury) 
Df David Dominguez: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 34.59 (no injury) 
Mf Lincoln Hills: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 40.91 (no injury) 
Mf Diogo Sousa: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 79.12 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Stewart: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 63.59 (no injury) 
Mf Joaquin  Mora: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 60.8 (no injury) 
Fw Graham Mitchell: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 37.36 (no injury) 
Fw Iain Hay: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 99.31 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 8; (8 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Carleton Symes SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Zak Clarke SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 31 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marco  Herrera SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Ryan McAdam SL 10

     intRndPk = 41
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          10   0  34  32  45
  Hereford United FC       13   0  38  35  16

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 7 (45 - 38); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((34 - 16) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df João Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Carleton Symes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Thiago Ferreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Carleton Symes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 19.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Tyler Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Lukas Bonnin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Tyler Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 61.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Shaun Muir
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Henry Payne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 2.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Tyler Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Lukas Bonnin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 18.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       13   0  38  35  16
  Swindon Town FC          10   0  34  32  45

Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 34)
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((35 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 45) / 5;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Diogo Sousa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Lincoln Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 92.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON TOWN FC 1  -  HEREFORD UNITED FC 1
 
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