(H)

Brentford FC
Allan Sellers

Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BRENTFORD FC DERBY COUNTY Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Jordan Rose 16 2 18 Gk Muhammed Asamoah 12 0 12 Sw Gustav Hafström 10 2 12 Df Johnny Müller 8 2 10 Df Rasmus Antonsen 13 0 13 Df Khalid Harit 8 2 10 Df Martyn Owen 13 2 15 Mf Ike Azeez 11 2 13 Df Maciek Szymanski 8 2 10 Mf Henry Rowles 10 2 12 Mf Shoji Tanaka 11 2 13 Mf Cédric Kenne 9 2 11 Mf Cédric Kamga 10 1 11 Mf Krystian Sobolewski 8 2 10 Fw Lilian Cazenave 13 1 14 Mf Yahia El mostafa 12 0 12 Fw Oliver Claesson 16 2 18 Fw Reimundo Almada 11 2 13 Fw Michael Lagerbäck 10 2 12 Fw Sadou Moussa 8 1 9 Fw Ye-jun Ji 8 2 10 Fw Stefan Ake 4 2 6 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 12 38 24 54 ROSTER TOTALS 12 0 20 58 28 3 3 4 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 21 15 42 24 63 T O T A L S 12 0 20 60 28 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 10 - Gk Hardness = 3 Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 62.15 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 77.63 (no red card) Sw Gustav Hafström: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 30.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 17.68 (no red card) Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 68.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 32.05 (no red card) Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 9.89 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 94.91 (no second yellow) Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 88.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 93.21 (no red card) Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 55.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 13.51 (no red card) Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 91.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 53.22 (no red card) Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 20.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 67.13 (no red card) Fw Oliver Claesson: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 16.49 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 85.24 (no second yellow) Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 37.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 16.35 (no red card) Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 15.86 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 56.97 (no second yellow) ******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.08 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.68 (no red card) Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 53.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.24 (no red card) Df Khalid Harit: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 25.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 85.64 (no red card) Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 33.95 (no red card) Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 22.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.9 (no red card) Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.73 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 41.48 (no second yellow) Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 27.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.21 (no red card) Mf Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.51 (no red card) Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.67 (no red card) Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 23.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 4.14 (no red card) Fw Stefan Ake: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.97 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10 - Derby County Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.5% - Gk chance of injury = 3.25% Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.9 (no injury) Sw Gustav Hafström: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 7.32 (no injury) Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 36.78 (no injury) Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 37.75 (no injury) Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 95.08 (no injury) Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 85.53 (no injury) Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 92.3 (no injury) Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 79.8 (no injury) Fw Oliver Claesson: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 98.51 (no injury) Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 84.49 (no injury) Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 4.97 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Ye-jun Ji is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Ye-jun Ji new match skill level = 4 Ye-jun Ji new match total level = 6 ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Derby County Team Hardness = 2 - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.5% - Gk chance of injury = 5.25% Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 46.81 (no injury) Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 18.43 (no injury) Df Khalid Harit: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 78.16 (no injury) Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 2.47 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Ike Azeez is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 54.43 (no injury) Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 86.71 (no injury) Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 16.5 (no injury) Mf Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 84.11 (no injury) Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 88.34 (no injury) Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 51.35 (no injury) Fw Stefan Ake: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 59.85 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Oliver Claesson SL 16 - Defending Gk: Muhammed Asamoah SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick) ******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Yahia El mostafa SL 12 - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 22 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick) 6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick) 7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick) 8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick) 9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick) 10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brentford FC 21 15 42 24 59 Derby County 12 0 20 60 28 Derby County is using Offside Trap! Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 20 (59 - 20) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 60) / 2; rounded up) Brentford FC Df Attacks = 5 ((42 - 28) / 3); result rounded up Brentford FC Total Attacks = 25 1: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 65.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 64.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Df Martyn Owen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 3.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Oliver Claesson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 26.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 73.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 59.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 28.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 4.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 64.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Oliver Claesson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 82.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 14: Attack for Fw Oliver Claesson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 52.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Oliver Claesson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 77.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 16: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Oliver Claesson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 51.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Oliver Claesson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 47.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 19.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Oliver Claesson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 49.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 14.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 38.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 24: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) ******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Derby County 12 0 20 60 28 Brentford FC 21 15 42 24 59 Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 42) Derby County Mf Attacks = 18 ((60 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 59) / 5; rounded up) Derby County Total Attacks = 18 1: Attack for Mf Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Mf Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Mf Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 31.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Mf Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Mf Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BRENTFORD FC 3 - DERBY COUNTY 1
Match Notes

Fortunate to get past a tough Derby County team. Well played Martyn!
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/23 - 7:40 PM