(H)
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC DERBY COUNTY
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Per Holmdahl 10 2 12 Gk Carlos Ferreto 9 2 11
Sw Piotr Sobolewski 13 2 15 Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo 14 0 14
Df Magnus Waering 14 2 16 Mf Andrew Vaughan 7 2 9
Df Festus Abubakar 13 2 15 Df Jan Janssens 4 2 6
Df Gavin Jordan 4 2 6 Df Lionel Torres 4 2 6
Mf Ivan Jackson 14 2 16 Fw Cédric Kenne 9 2 11
Mf Óscar Cota 13 2 15 Mf Logan Gates 4 2 6
Mf Clement Harouna 8 2 10 Fw Donal O'Moore 13 0 13
Fw Olivier Havet 15 2 17 Fw Roque Ramos 13 0 13
Fw Gonzalo Lopez 14 2 16 Fw Jose Leao 9 2 11
Fw Kalle Ljungberg 8 2 10 Fw Meliton Molina 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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12 15 37 41 43 ROSTER TOTALS 11 14 12 15 54
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 1 0 1
0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 6 4 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
12 15 37 43 50 T O T A L S 11 14 19 19 55
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.28 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.87 (no red card)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.42 (no red card)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.05 (no red card)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.48 (no red card)
Df Gavin Jordan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.69 (no red card)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.82 (no red card)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.11 (no red card)
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.41 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Clement Harouna new match skill level = 4
Clement Harouna new match total level = 6
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.18 (no red card)
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.48 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.09 (no second yellow)
Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.29 (no red card)
******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.51 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.17 (no red card)
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 69.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.33 (no red card)
Mf Andrew Vaughan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.02 (no red card)
Df Jan Janssens: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 9.26 (no red card)
Df Lionel Torres: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 6.97 (no red card)
Fw Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.7 (no red card)
Mf Logan Gates: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.99 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 81.0 (no second yellow)
Fw Donal O'Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 93.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 47.6 (no red card)
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 7.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 92.47 (no red card)
Fw Jose Leao: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 16.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.42 (no red card)
Fw Meliton Molina: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 14.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 5.87 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 43.04 (no injury)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.21 (no injury)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 53.68 (no injury)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 11.49 (no injury)
Df Gavin Jordan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 12.52 (no injury)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 66.59 (no injury)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 25.84 (no injury)
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 0.27 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Clement Harouna is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.24 (no injury)
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 53.8 (no injury)
Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.67 (no injury)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 38.9 (no injury)
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 32.2 (no injury)
Mf Andrew Vaughan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 4.49 (no injury)
Df Jan Janssens: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.94 (no injury)
Df Lionel Torres: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 0.94 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Lionel Torres is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Lionel Torres new match skill level = 2
Lionel Torres new match total level = 4
Fw Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 72.29 (no injury)
Mf Logan Gates: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 86.99 (no injury)
Fw Donal O'Moore: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 86.31 (no injury)
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 11.9 (no injury)
Fw Jose Leao: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 0.58 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 6
Jose Leao is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Jose Leao new match skill level = 5
Jose Leao new match total level = 7
Fw Meliton Molina: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 91.81 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Olivier Havet SL 15
- Defending Gk: Carlos Ferreto SL 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Donal O'Moore SL 13
- Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 10
intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 12 15 37 39 50
Derby County 11 14 17 19 51
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 33 (50 - 17); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((39 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 51) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 43
1: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Clement Harouna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 15.97 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Clement Harouna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 59.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 20.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 80.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 64.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
19: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 26.76 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
33: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
34: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
35: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 10.84 (Shot Saved by Gk)
36: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
37: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
38: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
39: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
40: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
41: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
42: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
43: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Derby County 11 14 17 19 51
Crewe Alexandra FC 12 15 37 39 50
Derby County Fw Attacks = 14 (51 - 37); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 39) / 2; rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((17 - 50) / 3; rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 14
1: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 48.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Meliton Molina
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Cédric Kenne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Cédric Kenne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Cédric Kenne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Jose Leao
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 4.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Cédric Kenne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Cédric Kenne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 28.49 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Jose Leao
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2 - DERBY COUNTY 0
Match Notes
A defeat in this game could leave us propping up Div 2
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/21 - 6:27 AM
Cautious Carl at home — he'll have his clipboard out and his low-risk hat on. Derby'll fancy this if Crewe sit too deep again.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/22 - 6:30 PM
Big relegation battle win
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/28 - 11:37 AM