(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED BRISTOL CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Dani Cassio 15 2 17 Gk Eugene Vasilev 13 2 15
Sw Philippe Manago 13 0 13 Df Patrick LecLercq 14 2 16
Df Nicola Panucci 15 -1 14 Df Mouhamed Kamal 14 2 16
Df Jonas Schäfer 12 1 13 Df Jeppe Bach 8 2 10
Df Kyria Brozovic 8 2 10 Mf Sebastiaan Blind 14 2 16
Mf Minato Morishima 13 2 15 Mf Valentin Gavranovic 13 2 15
Mf Ousmane Laforest 8 2 10 Mf Isaac Juhlin 13 2 15
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue 15 2 17 Fw Mislav Caleta-Car 15 2 17
Fw Jordan Pérez 15 1 16 Fw Jacob Jones 13 2 15
Fw Yannick Vanaken 12 1 13 Fw José Oliveira 13 2 15
Fw Agustin Martinez 8 2 10 Fw Julius Nwosu 13 2 15
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
17 13 37 25 56 ROSTER TOTALS 15 0 42 46 62
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 5 4 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 13 37 30 60 T O T A L S 15 0 42 46 62
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.98 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.34 (no red card)
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.14 (no red card)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.13 (no red card)
Df Jonas Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.01 (no red card)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.74 (no red card)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.56 (no red card)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.66 (no red card)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.13 (no red card)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.11 (no red card)
Fw Yannick Vanaken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.49 (no red card)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.0 (no red card)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.54 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.32 (no red card)
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.84 (no red card)
Df Mouhamed Kamal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.4 (no red card)
Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.27 (no red card)
Mf Sebastiaan Blind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.23 (no red card)
Mf Valentin Gavranovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.62 (no red card)
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.36 (no red card)
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.98 (no red card)
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.21 (no red card)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.92 (no red card)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.67 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 0.49 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Dani Cassio is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.43 (no injury)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.81 (no injury)
Df Jonas Schäfer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.25 (no injury)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.06 (no injury)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.71 (no injury)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.83 (no injury)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.67 (no injury)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.7 (no injury)
Fw Yannick Vanaken: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.02 (no injury)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.72 (no injury)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 84.1 (no injury)
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.67 (no injury)
Df Mouhamed Kamal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.27 (no injury)
Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.34 (no injury)
Mf Sebastiaan Blind: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.03 (no injury)
Mf Valentin Gavranovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.01 (no injury)
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.28 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Isaac Juhlin is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Isaac Juhlin new match skill level = 7
Isaac Juhlin new match total level = 9
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.57 (no injury)
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.99 (no injury)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.3 (no injury)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.8 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Nicola Panucci SL 15
- Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 13
intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mislav Caleta-Car SL 15
- Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 15
intRndPk = 45
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 17 13 37 30 60
Bristol City FC 15 0 42 40 62
Bristol City FC is using Offside Trap!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 9 (60 - 42) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 40) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 62) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Agustin Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 85.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Agustin Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 6.64 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 66.27 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bristol City FC 15 0 42 40 62
Carlisle United 17 13 37 30 60
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 25 (62 - 37); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((40 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 60) / 5; rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 30
1: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Sebastiaan Blind
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Sebastiaan Blind
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 62.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 50.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 50.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 38.57 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 28.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 18.16 (Shot Saved by Gk)
30: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 1 - BRISTOL CITY FC 0
Match Notes
Halpin flying his lads up from New Jersey to Brunton Park — long way to go to lose. Bristol City in Division 2 and still prioritising youth cups over league points, says it all.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jun 24 (Blyth Spartans AFC)
Dave is always a tough opponent.
~ Jason ~ Jun 27 (Bristol City FC)
Olmec strikes again!
~ Jason ~ Jun 27 (Bristol City FC)
Indeed. Inspired goalkeeping rather than the usual insipid variety.
~ Dave ~ Jun 28 (Carlisle United)