(H)
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SWINDON TOWN FC LINCOLN CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Federico Curbelo 9 0 9 Gk Steven Chapuisat 16 2 18
Df Quentin Mertens 14 0 14 Sw Woo Hyun-soo 15 1 16
Df Hajime Tanaka 13 0 13 Df Emir Selmi 19 2 21
Df Thiago De Paul 6 0 6 Df Kabil Hamdi 8 2 10
Df Alvaro Ochoa 4 2 6 Mf Fabio Luis 11 2 13
Mf Toby Llewellyn 13 0 13 Mf Trevor Relish 8 2 10
Mf Gustavo Moreno 13 0 13 Mf Kliment Ivanova 8 -2 6
Mf Krunoslav Ivusic 7 2 9 Fw Thiago Araujo 12 2 14
Fw Conway Roberts 15 0 15 Fw Victor Asensio 12 2 14
Fw Francois Abdou 10 0 10 Fw Simão DaSilva 10 2 12
Fw Isaias González 4 2 6 Fw Jun-Yeong Ji 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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9 0 39 35 31 ROSTER TOTALS 18 16 31 29 50
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
9 0 39 35 40 T O T A L S 18 16 31 29 50
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.95 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.63 (no red card)
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.81 (no red card)
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.71 (no red card)
Df Thiago De Paul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.11 (no red card)
Df Alvaro Ochoa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.01 (no red card)
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.73 (no red card)
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.46 (no red card)
Mf Krunoslav Ivusic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.63 (no red card)
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.53 (no red card)
Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.29 (no red card)
Fw Isaias González: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.21 (no red card)
******* LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Steven Chapuisat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.72 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.67 (no red card)
Sw Woo Hyun-soo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.31 (no red card)
Df Emir Selmi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.07 (no red card)
Df Kabil Hamdi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.52 (no red card)
Mf Fabio Luis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.6 (no red card)
Mf Trevor Relish: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.3 (no red card)
Mf Kliment Ivanova: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.44 (no red card)
Fw Thiago Araujo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.01 (no red card)
Fw Victor Asensio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.91 (no red card)
Fw Simão DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.74 (no red card)
Fw Jun-Yeong Ji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.87 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 94.4 (no injury)
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.4 (no injury)
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.52 (no injury)
Df Thiago De Paul: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.86 (no injury)
Df Alvaro Ochoa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.02 (no injury)
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.17 (no injury)
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.02 (no injury)
Mf Krunoslav Ivusic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.75 (no injury)
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.1 (no injury)
Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.79 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Francois Abdou loses 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Francois Abdou new match skill level = 5
Francois Abdou new match total level = 5
Fw Isaias González: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.93 (no injury)
******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Steven Chapuisat: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 97.85 (no injury)
Sw Woo Hyun-soo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.49 (no injury)
Df Emir Selmi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.07 (no injury)
Df Kabil Hamdi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.24 (no injury)
Mf Fabio Luis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.02 (no injury)
Mf Trevor Relish: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.77 (no injury)
Mf Kliment Ivanova: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.92 (no injury)
Fw Thiago Araujo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.65 (no injury)
Fw Victor Asensio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.45 (no injury)
Fw Simão DaSilva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.05 (no injury)
Fw Jun-Yeong Ji: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.74 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Jun-Yeong Ji is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Jun-Yeong Ji new match skill level = 4
Jun-Yeong Ji new match total level = 6
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Conway Roberts SL 15
- Defending Gk: Steven Chapuisat SL 16
intRndPk = 28
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Emir Selmi SL 19
- Defending Gk: Federico Curbelo SL 9
intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swindon Town FC 9 0 39 35 35
Lincoln City FC 18 16 31 29 46
Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 4 (35 - 31); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((35 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 46) / 5; rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 7
1: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 94.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.28 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Lincoln City FC 18 16 31 29 46
Swindon Town FC 9 0 39 35 35
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 7 (46 - 39); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 35) / 2; rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 35) / 3; rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 7
1: Attack for Fw Jun-Yeong Ji
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 19.81 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Victor Asensio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Thiago Araujo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Thiago Araujo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Victor Asensio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 13.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Simão DaSilva
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 99.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Victor Asensio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 33.15 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SWINDON TOWN FC 1 - LINCOLN CITY FC 1
Match Notes
Swindon at home, Lincoln coming in — neither side'll want a slow start. Expect a scrappy one, both sets of lads digging in early.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/26 - 6:30 PM