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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Samir Bouaziz          15   -2   13     Gk Per Holmdahl           14    1   15
Sw Bradley Perry          13    2   15     Sw Piotr Sobolewski        8    2   10
Df Jaap De wit            13    2   15     Df Edwin O'Doherty        13    2   15
Df Eric Aidoo             11    2   13     Df Cedric Jeandel         13    2   15
Df Jason McDiarmid         8    2   10     Df Festus Abubakar         8    2   10
Mf Yuriy Taran            12    2   14     Mf Patrice Djemba         13    2   15
Mf Minki Sung-yeung        8    2   10     Mf Smahi Youssef          13    2   15
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez        16    0   16     Mf Ivan Jackson            4    2    6
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko       13    1   14     Fw Slava Levchenko        13    2   15
Fw Bastien Troussier      15    1   16     Fw Joel Zamora            15    2   17
Fw Elias Mayer             8    2   10     Fw Bassem Mkademi          8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 15 38 24 56        ROSTER TOTALS      15 10 40 36 42    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  2  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 18 38 24 65         T O T A L S       15 13 40 36 42    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.78 (no red card)

Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.69 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.13 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.69 (no red card)

Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.09 (no red card)

Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.48 (no red card)

Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.44 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.42 (no red card)

Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.93 (no red card)

Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.03 (no red card)

Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.24 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.25 (no red card)

Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.46 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.61 (no red card)

Df Cedric Jeandel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.74 (no red card)

Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.35 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.83 (no red card)

Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.66 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.82 (no red card)

Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.21 (no red card)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.4 (no red card)

Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.89 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 73.54 (no injury) 
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.87 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.71 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.15 (no injury) 
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.75 (no injury) 
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.91 (no injury) 
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.88 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.67 (no injury) 
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.9 (no injury) 
Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.94 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.91 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 11.41 (no injury) 
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.86 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.44 (no injury) 
Df Cedric Jeandel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.23 (no injury) 
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.42 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.17 (no injury) 
Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.92 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.34 (no injury) 
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.03 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.18 (no injury) 
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.47 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ruben Gutiérrez SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 14

     intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joel Zamora SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   16  18  38  24  65
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  13  40  36  42

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 25 (65 - 40); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 37.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 33.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 36.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 87.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 95.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 6.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 60.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 58.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 20.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  13  40  36  42
  Brighton & Hove Albion   16  18  38  24  65

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 4 (42 - 38); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((36 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 90.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 85.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2
 
Match Notes
One of those, need to avoid defeat games
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/06 - 12:55 PM
Same here, Carl. I suspect our HA will see us lose by only one goal.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 07/11 - 4:20 PM
I just don’t get this season.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 07/12 - 9:44 PM
Good result for you, Carl.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 07/12 - 9:44 PM
Have to be very happy with that point.
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/14 - 11:05 AM
 
 
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